Memorial Day grants us a loaded slate of plus matchups for hitters around the league. Which means, I've got some bangers.
Read on for my 3 home run picks today, including picks for Astros vs Rangers, Marlins vs Blue Jays, and Mariners vs Athletics.
MLB Home Run Picks Today
In the table below, you'll find each of our MLB staff's top player prop picks from today's slate of games. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 7:05 p.m. | |
| 7:07 p.m. | |
| 9:40 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Astros vs. Rangers Home Run Prop
Yordan Alvarez
Over 0.5 Home Runs +336
The ballpark isn't great here, but the odds are a bit too high on Yordan Alvarez here.
Kumar Rocker hasn't been a great matchup for lefty power in his career, but he grades out as around an average matchup.
Alavarez is one of the best power hitters in the league and shouldn't be over +300 in an average spot.
I have the true odds around +290, making this a great EV bet.
Pick: Yordan Alvarez Over 0.5 Home Runs +336
Marlins vs. Blue Jays Homer Pick
George Springer
Over 0.5 Home Runs +498
Junk has been a below-average matchup for righty power in his career, but he is due for some negative regression and grades out as a slightly below-average matchup.
The ballpark is a plus for righty power, and Springer has been in great form recently.
I have the true odds around +420 today, making this a great EV bet.
Pick: George Springer Over 0.5 Home Runs +498
Mariners vs. Athletics HR Pick
Tyler Soderstrom
Over 0.5 Home Runs +425
The lefties for the A's are in a fantastic spot today. As of right now, it looks like some combination of Luis Castillo and Bryce Miller will be starting for the Mariners, and both of them are complete gas cans for lefty power, grading out as around 1.7 HR/9 pitchers.
The ballpark is one of the best in the league for power, and with winds blowing out at 13 MPH, the ball should be flying.
I have the true odds around +350, making this a great EV bet.
