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MLB Home Run Picks Today: Player Props for Cardinals vs Cubs, Pirates vs Nationals, More for Friday, July 3

MLB Home Run Picks Today: Player Props for Cardinals vs Cubs, Pirates vs Nationals, More for Friday, July 3 article feature image
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Photos Courtesy of Imagn Images.

Congrats on making it to Friday.

To celebrate, I've got some bangers.

Here are my SIX favorite MLB Home Run Picks Today.


MLB Home Run Picks Today

GameTime (ET)Pick
St. Louis Cardinals LogoChicago Cubs Logo
4:05 PM
Pittsburgh Pirates LogoWashington Nationals Logo
6:45 PM
Baltimore Orioles LogoCincinnati Reds Logo
7:10 PM
Tampa Bay Rays LogoHouston Astros Logo
8:15 PM
Miami Marlins LogoOakland Athletics Logo
9:40 PM
Milwaukee Brewers LogoArizona Diamondbacks Logo
9:45 PM
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.


Cardinals vs Cubs

St. Louis Cardinals Logo
46206
4:05 PM ET
MLB.TV
Chicago Cubs Logo
Pete Crow-Armstrong Home Run
FanDuel Logo

Andre Pallante isn't a great matchup for home runs, but the weather in Chicago will be too good to pass up.

The winds are blowing out at 10 MPH, and the temps and humidity are high.

PCA has been on a tear and is one of the best home run hitters in the league.

I have the true odds here around +250, making this a great bet.

Pick: Pete Crow-Armstrong Home Run



Pirates vs Nationals

Pittsburgh Pirates Logo
46206
6:45 PM ET
MLB.TV
Washington Nationals Logo
CJ Abrams Home Run
FanDuel Logo

Mitch Keller has struggled a bit this season and grades out as a plus matchup for lefty power.

The weather in Washington should be great for hitting, with temps around 100 degrees and wind blowing out to right field at 5 MPH.

CJ Abrams has been one of the best home run hitters in the league this season, and I have the true odds here around +375, making this a great bet.

Pick: CJ Abrams Home Run



Orioles vs Reds

Baltimore Orioles Logo
46206
7:10 PM ET
MLB.TV
Cincinnati Reds Logo
Pete Alonso Home Run
FanDuel Logo

This spot is incredible for the Orioles, and some of their bats are priced way too high.

Brady Singer has been a gas can for power this season, allowing a 2.47 HR/9 to lefties and a 1.80 HR/9 to righties.

This ballpark is one of the best in the league for power, and the weather should be great for hitting, with temps in the mid-90s.

I have the true odds here around +250, making this a great bet.

Pick: Pete Alonso Home Run



Rays vs Astros

Tampa Bay Rays Logo
46206
8:15 PM ET
MLB.TV
Houston Astros Logo
Junior Caminero Home Run
FanDuel Logo

After hitting a bomb in six straight games, Junior Caminero didn't go yard yesterday, but he gets a good spot tonight.

This ballpark is good for righty power, and the matchup is solid.

Spencer Arrighetti hasn't allowed a ton of power to righties this season, but he's due for some pretty heavy regression and has historically been a plus matchup for righty power.

I have the true odds here around +250, making this a great bet.

Pick: Junior Caminero Home Run



Marlins vs Athletics

Miami Marlins Logo
46206
9:40 PM ET
MLB.TV
Oakland Athletics Logo
Nick Kurtz Home Run
FanDuel Logo

Tyler Phillips hasn't allowed a ton of power this season, but a lot of his work has come out of the bullpen, and he grades out as a plus matchup for lefty power.

This ballpark is one of the best in the league for power, and the weather should be great for hitting, with temps in the high-80s and wind blowing out at 9 MPH.

Nick Kurtz is one of the best home run hitters in the league, and I have the true odds here around +230, making this a great bet.

Pick: Nick Kurtz Home Run



Brewers vs Diamondbacks

Milwaukee Brewers Logo
46206
9:45 PM ET
MLB.TV
Arizona Diamondbacks Logo
Ketel Marte Home Run
FanDuel Logo

By Grant Neiffer

Ketel Marte gets a great spot, and these odds are a bit too high.

Marte has been on a tear recently, and Kyle Harrison has been a big plus matchup for righty power this season.

I have the true odds here around +300, making this a great bet.

Pick: Ketel Marte Home Run



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About the Author
Grant NeifferVerified Action Expert

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