Saturday's slate gives us action on the diamond all day long. Which means I've got bangers from afternoon to night.
Let's dive into my three favorite MLB Home Run Picks Today.
MLB Home Run Props
In the table below, you'll find each of Grant Neiffer's top home run prop picks from today's slate of games. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 4:10 PM | |
| 6:10 PM | |
| 7:05 PM | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Phillies vs. Mets HR Pick
Juan Soto
Home Run
Juan Soto has been on a tear this season, and he gets a great spot today.
Alan Rangel is a plus matchup for lefty power, and the weather is good for hitting, with temps in the high 70s.
I have the true odds on Soto around +270.
Pick: Juan Soto Home Run +320
Diamondbacks vs. Rays Home Run Prop
Corbin Carroll
Home Run
Today is looking like a bullpen game for the Rays, and the odds are a bit too low for Corbin Carroll.
Carroll has been hitting the ball well this season, and the TB bullpen has been one of the worst in the league.
I have the true odds on Carroll around +380, making this a great EV bet.
Pick: Corbin Carroll Home Run +422
Nationals vs. Orioles Homer Pick
C.J. Abrams
Home Run
We don't have a huge sample size of Brandon Young in the majors, but he's been a plus matchup for lefty power.
This season, Young hasn't allowed a ton of bombs to lefties, but he's due for some massive regression and grades out as a big plus matchup for lefty power.
The ballpark is one of the best in the league for lefty power, and I have the true odds around +420
Pick: C.J. Abrams Home Run +520
