We have an 8-game slate on Monday, starting early with Phillies vs. Royals at 2:10 p.m. ET and finishing with Rockies vs. Dodgers at 10:10 p.m. ET.
As always, I've got some bangers for you, selecting players from four of those matchups.
Read on for my 4 MLB Home Run Picks Today.
MLB Home Run Picks Today
In the table below, you'll find each of Grant Neiffer's top Home Run prop picks from today's slate of games. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 2:10 PM | |
  | 6:40 PM | |
  | 6:45 PM | |
  | 7:15 PM | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Phillies vs Royals Prediction, Pick
While this is a lefty/lefty matchup, these odds are still too high for Kyle Schwarber.
Royals SP Noah Cameron isn't bad, but he grades out as a reverse-splits pitcher and has allowed an above-average 1.42 HR/9 to lefties this season.
This ballpark is a downgrade for Schwarber, but the weather should be warm, and the Phillies DH is the best home run hitter in the league at the moment.
I have the true odds here at around +230.
Pick: Kyle Schwarber Home Run
| | | |
Yankees vs Rays Prediction, Pick
This isn't a great spot, but getting Junior Caminero at these odds, given his recent form, is too much to pass up.
Caminero has been the hottest hitter in baseball over the last few weeks, with 10 bombs in the last 10 games.
Yankees starter Cam Schlittler has been great this season at suppressing power, but the regression has finally started coming recently, and he grades out as around a 20% decrease to righty power.
I have the true odds here for the Rays slugger under +300, making this a good bet.
Pick: Junior Caminero Home Run
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Astros vs Nationals Prediction, Pick
There could be some rain issues in this game, but I'm guessing there will be a delay at some point and they'll play the game in full.
Astros SP Mike Burrows has been absolutely hammered by lefty power this season, allowing a 2.40 HR/9. While Burrows is due for some positive regression, he grades out as a great matchup for lefty power.
Whenever this game does play, the weather should be a plus for power, and I have the true odds for the Nationals' James Wood at around +230, making this a great bet.
Pick: James Wood Home Run
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Mets vs Braves Prediction, Pick
Freddy Peralta is a good pitcher, but he's having an off year with the Mets and is struggling heavily with lefty power (1.73 HR/9).
The weather should be good for hitting, and Matt Olson is one of the best HR hitters in the league. I have the true odds for the Braves 1B at around +300.
Pick: Matt Olson Home Run
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