With a 13-game slate on Monday night, we bring you four bangers that I'm targeting.
Read on for my MLB home run picks today for June 29.
MLB Home Run Best Bets Today
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 6:35 PM | |
  | 7:07 PM | |
  | 8:05 PM | |
  | 9:40 PM | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
White Sox vs Orioles Home Run Pick
Alonso has been on a heater recently, and when he gets hot, he tends to stay hot.
Sean Burke has been good at suppressing righty power this season, but he's due for some pretty heavy regression and has historically been a plus matchup for righty power.
I have the true odds here around +300, making this a great bet.
Pick: Pete Alonso o0.5 Home Runs (+260)
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Mets vs Blue Jays Home Run Pick
This spot is much better than it looks on paper, and these odds are too high.
Soto gets a matchup against Trey Yesavage, who has been one of the luckiest pitchers in the league this season when it comes to HR variance.
After not giving up a home run in his first seven starts, he's come back to earth, giving up five homers in his last four starts.
He grades out as a plus matchup for lefty power, and Soto is one of the best HR hitters in the league. This ballpark is a big upgrade for lefty power, and I have the true odds here around +300.
Pick: Juan Soto o0.5 Home Runs (+340)
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Padres vs Cubs Home Run Pick
This is a great spot, and these odds are a bit too high.
The weather should be incredible for hitting, with temps around 90 degrees and wind blowing out heavily at 16 mph. The matchup vs. Griffin Canning is a big plus for lefty power (2.81 HR/9 this season).
I have the true odds here around +250.
Pick: Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 0.5 Home Runs (+265)
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Dodgers vs Athletics Home Run Pick
This is a great spot for the Dodgers righties.
Gage Jump has been great to start the season, but similarly to Yesavage, he's been incredibly lucky when it comes to home-run variance.
He's allowed no bombs on the season, but with above-average fly-ball and hard-contact rates, he grades out as a plus matchup for power.
This ballpark is one of the best in the league for power, and the weather should be a plus for hitting.
I have the true odds here around +420.
Pick: Mookie Betts o0.5 Home Runs (+440)
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