Happy Dinger Tuesday! You know I've got some bangers.
Here are my three favorite MLB Home Run Picks Today.
MLB Home Run Picks Today
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 6:40 PM | |
  | 6:45 PM | |
  | 9:40 PM | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Yankees vs Tigers
Carlos Rodon has been great this season at suppressing righty power, but he's due for some pretty heavy negative regression.
His underlying numbers aren't great, with heavy fly balls and hard contact, and he's been a plus matchup the last 4 seasons for righty power.
Tork is due for some positive regression, and I have the true odds here around +450, making this a great bet.
Pick: Spencer Torkelson Home Run
| | |
Phillies vs Nationals
The weather should be a bit below average, but Harper gets one of the best matchups in the league for lefty power.
Zack Littell has been absolutely crushed this season by lefty power, allowing a massive 3.82 HR/9.
I have the true odds here around +300, making this a great bet.
Pick: Bryce Harper Home Run
| | |
Braves vs Padres
It hasn't been confirmed yet, but it's likely German Marquez starting for the Padres, which is a great spot for the Atlanta lefties.
Marquez is well past his prime and is a complete gas can for lefty power at this point in his career, allowing a high 3.38 HR/9 this season.
This ballpark is a downgrade with the current weather, but Olson has been hammering the ball this season, with 20 bombs.
I have the true odds here around +280, making this a great bet.
Pick: Matt Olson Home Run
| | |
