We only have five games on Thursday, but that won't keep me from bringing you some bangers.
Read on for my 4 MLB Home Run Picks Today.
MLB Home Run Picks Today
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 1:10 PM | |
  | 3:07 PM | |
  | 5:15 PM | |
  | 6:40 PM | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Twins vs Guardians Prediction, Pick
Byron Buxton should be back in the lineup today, and these odds are far too high given the spot.
Guardians starter Gavin Williams has been good this season, but he's struggled heavily with righty power, giving up a high 1.93 HR/9.
The weather should be below average for hitting, but Buxton is one of the best home run hitters in the league.
I have the true odds here for the Twins CF at around +330.
Pick: Byron Buxton Home Run
| | | |
Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction, Pick
Shane Bieber is not the same pitcher he used to be, and he's been an absolute gas can for power this season, allowing a high 2.66 HR/9.
While the Blue Jays SP has been more susceptible to righty power, he's still been a great matchup for lefty power this season (2.06 HR/9).
This ballpark is a big upgrade for Jonathan Aranda, and I have the true odds for the Rays 1B at around +450.
Pick: Jonathan Aranda Home Run
| | | |
Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Prediction, Pick
Diamondbacks starter Brandon Pfaadt has been an absolute gas can for lefty power this season, allowing a massive 2.03 HR/9.
JJ Wetherholt has been having a fantastic season, with 15 homers in 96 games.
The weather should be a slight downgrade for hitting, but I still have the true odds for the Cardinals 2B at around +600.
Pick: JJ Wetherholt Home Run
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Royals vs Tigers Prediction, Pick
Not sure why these odds are so high, but I'm not going to argue. The matchup vs. Royals SP Randy Dobnak is a plus, as he's allowed an above-average 1.33 HR/9 to lefties in his career.
Riley Greene has been having a down season, but he's due for some massive positive regression.
I have the true odds for the Tigers LF at under +400.
Pick: Riley Greene Home Run
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