We have another 16-game slate today, courtesy of a Dodgers vs. Yankees doubleheader, and plenty of bangers to offer you.
Read on for my 4 MLB Home Run Picks Today.
MLB Home Run Picks Today
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 12:15 PM | |
  | 2:10 PM | |
  | 4:05 PM | |
  | 4:10 PM | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
White Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction, Pick
After starting off the season allowing no home runs through 7 games, Blue Jays starter Trey Yesavage has finally had some negative regression.
He's been an above-average matchup for righty power since the beginning of June. He grades out as a plus matchup for righty power given his reverse splits.
I have the true odds on White Sox 3B Miguel Vargas at around +320.
Pick: Miguel Vargas Home Run
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Orioles vs Astros Prediction, Pick
This is a price play for Pete Alonso. The spot against Astros SP Hunter Brown is a downgrade for righty power, but the ballpark is a big upgrade from Baltimore with the Crawford Boxes.
Alonso is one of the best HR hitters in the league, and there's no way he should be priced like this in a slightly below-average spot.
I have the true odds on the Orioles 1B at around +370.
Pick: Pete Alonso Home Run
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Nationals vs Athletics Prediction, Pick
Nationals starter Foster Griffin has been a big plus matchup for righty power this season, allowing a 1.49 HR/9.
The ballpark is one of the best in the league for power, and the weather is a plus for hitting.
Shea Langeliers is one of the best homer hitters in the league, and I have the true odds for the Athletic catcher at around +230.
Pick: Shea Langeliers Home Run
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Giants vs Mariners Prediction, Pick
The ballpark is an upgrade for power over San Francisco, and the weather is decent for hitting.
The matchup against Mariners SP Logan Gilbert is a slightly below-average one for lefty power.
Rafael Devers has been one of the hottest hitters in the league, with 13 dingers since the beginning of June.
I have the true odds for the Giants 1B at around +350.
Pick: Rafael Devers Home Run
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