We are set to start the weekend with plenty of bangers as Friday's 15-game slate is loaded with great spots.
Read on for my 3 MLB Home Run Picks Today.
MLB Home Run Picks Today
In the table below, you'll find each of Grant Neiffer's top home run prop picks from today's slate of games. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 4:10 PM | |
| 6:45 PM | |
| 7:05 PM | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Rockies vs. Brewers Homer Pick
Jackson Chourio
Home Run
This is a great spot, and these odds are a bit too high.
Tomoyuki Sugano has been an absolute gas can for power since coming into the league, and while he's been a worse matchup for righties, he still grades out as a great matchup for righty power.
Chourio has above-average power, and I have the true odds here around +330, making this a great bet.
Pick: Jackson Chourio Home Run +350
Diamondbacks vs. Nationals Home Run Pick
Ketel Marte
Home Run
Marte was scratched yesterday, but if he plays today, this spot is far too good to pass up.
The Nationals are likely going with an opener, and then Zack Littell in long relief, and Littell is one of the best matchups in the league for power.
Littell has already given up a massive 18 bombs to lefties this season (for a 3.02 HR/9).
This ballpark is an upgrade for power, and I have the true odds here around +250.
Pick: Ketel Marte Home Run +280
Braves vs. Orioles HR Prop
Pete Alonso
Home Run
This is a good spot for Alonso, and the odds are far too high. Grant Holmes has only given up a 1.36 HR/9 this season to righties, but he grades out as a better matchup and has given up a 1.46 HR/9 in his career.
This ballpark isn't great for righty power, but the weather should be above average for hitting, with temps in the low-80s and wind blowing out to left field.
I have the true odds here around +270.
Pick: Pete Alonso Home Run +350
