Happy Dinger Tuesday!
I've got some bangers, including one home run prop pick for six Tuesday games.
MLB Home Run Picks Today
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 6:10 PM | |
  | 7:07 PM | |
  | 7:10 PM | |
  | 7:40 PM | |
  | 7:40 PM | |
  | 9:40 PM | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Angels vs Guardians
Trout hasn't been great recently, but the underlying numbers for the season are still great.
He's hitting the ball with power just as well as at any other point in his career, and this is a great spot.
Slade Cecconi is an absolute gas can for righty power, giving up a massive 1.82 HR/9 in his career.
The weather will be a bit below average for hitting, but I make the fair odds on this home run prop around +350.
Pick: Mike Trout Home Run (+350, FanDuel)
| | | | | |
Rays vs Blue Jays
Caminero is one of the best HR hitters in the league, and this spot is great.
Patrick Corbin isn't the same gas can for righty power that he has been in the past, but he's still a matchup that is well above average for righty power.
This ballpark is an upgrade for righty power, and I make the fair odds on this home run prop around +300.
Pick: Junior Caminero Home Run (+340, FanDuel)
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Tigers vs Mets
Tork hasn't been off to a great start this season, but he's sitting at the highest barrel rate of his career (15.7%), and this spot isn't bad.
The wind will be blowing out at 10 MPH, and while the matchup against Freddy Peralta is tough overall, it's a plus for righty power.
Peralta has been reverse splits in his career when it comes to power, allowing an above-average 1.32 HR/9.
I make the fair odds on this home run prop around +500.
Pick: Spencer Torkelson Home Run (+590, FanDuel)
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Royals vs White Sox
Witt hasn't had a ton of power this season, but the power is there, and this spot is great.
Erick Fedde grades out as an above-average matchup for righty power and has been absolutely crushed this season by righties, giving up a massive 3.32 HR/9.
The weather in Chicago should be great for hitting, with wind blowing out to left field at 20 MPH.
I make the fair odds on this home run prop around +325.
Pick: Bobby Witt Home Run (+390, FanDuel)
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Marlins vs Twins
Buxton has been the best HR hitter in the league recently, and he's far too hot to be priced this high given the spot.
The weather should be great for hitting in Minnesota, with winds blowing out at 19 MPH.
Rudy Perez is a good young pitcher, but he struggles with right-handed power, allowing 1.52 HR/9 in his career.
I make the fair odds on this home run prop around +225.
Pick: Byron Buxton Home Run (+270, FanDuel)
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Cardinals vs Athletics
Walker has been incredible this season, and this spot is far too good.
Walker has been hammering the ball, and Jeffrey Springs is a complete gas can for righty power.
Springs has allowed an above-average 1.36 HR/9 in his career to lefties, but he's been much worse playing for the A's, allowing around 1.60 HR/9 since the beginning of last season.
The weather should be great for hitting, with wind blowing out at 10 MPH and temperatures in the low-80s, in what is already a great ballpark for power.
I make the fair odds on this home run prop around +300.
Pick: Jordan Walker Home Run (+360, FanDuel)
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