Opening weekend wraps up with the first Sunday slate of the MLB season.
I've got 3 MLB Home Run Props and home-run picks, including picks for A's vs Blue Jays, Red Sox vs Reds, and White Sox vs Brewers.
MLB Home Run Props: Today's Expert HR Picks
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A's vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop
These odds are far too high.
The matchup vs. Eric Lauer is average, but these odds are likely inflated due to Lauer being a lefty (even though he is a splits-neutral lefty).
Kurtz is one of the best HR hitters in the league, and I have the true odds here around +350, making this a great bet.
Pick: Nick Kurtz Home Run (+350 or Better)
Red Sox vs Reds Expert HR Pick
Abreu draws a good spot going up against Rhett Lowder in the latter's first start since 2024.
Lowder didn't give up a ton of bombs in his last stint in the majors, but he grades out as an above-average matchup for lefty power.
The ballpark is great for bombs, and the weather is only a bit below average.
I have the true odds on Abreu around +420.
Pick: Wilyer Abreu Home Run (+420 or Better)
White Sox vs Brewers HR Pick
Murakami is a bit underpriced again.
We don't have a big sample size of him in the majors, but he has a ton of power and should hit over 30 home runs this season.
The matchup versus Brandon Sproat is about an average one for lefty power, and I have the true odds here around +400, making this a great bet.
Pick: Munetaka Murakami Home Run (+400 or Better)
