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MLB Home Run Props: Expert HR Picks for Tuesday, March 31

MLB Home Run Props: Expert HR Picks for Tuesday, March 31 article feature image
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Kevin Sousa-Imagn Images

Pictured: Kazuma Okamoto

Tuesday has long been a great day for dingers, and with 14 games on the slate, there's plenty of value to be had on the longball.

I've got three MLB Home Run Props and home-run picks, including picks for Rangers vs Orioles, White Sox vs Marlins, and Rockies vs Blue Jays.


MLB Home Run Props: Today's Expert HR Picks

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Rangers vs Orioles HR Pick

Rangers Logo
Tuesday, Mar 31
6:35 p.m. ET
MASN
Orioles Logo
Jake Burger Home Run (+475)
bet365 Logo

I'm hammering all of the Rangers' power bats today, as their odds are far too high.

Opposing pitcher Zach Eflin got absolutely crushed last season by bombs, giving up a massive 2.27 HR/9.

The weather should be fantastic for hitting, with winds blowing out heavily and temperatures around 80 degrees during game time.

I have the true odds here under +400, making this a great bet.

Pick: Jake Burger Home Run (+475 or Better)


White Sox vs Marlins Expert HR Pick

White Sox Logo
Tuesday, Mar 31
6:40 p.m. ET
MIAM
Marlins Logo
Munetaka Murakami Home Run (+550)
bet365 Logo

There is no reason for the odds here to be this high.

Junk is an above-average matchup for HRs, and Murakami has been great so far this season.

He's got tons of pop, and there is no way that this line should be this high given the spot.

I have the true odds under +400, making this a great EV bet.

Pick: Munetaka Murakami Home Run (+550 or Better)


Rockies vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop

Rockies Logo
Monday, Mar 31
7:07 p.m. ET
COLR
Blue Jays Logo
Kazuma Okamoto Home Run +750
bet365 Logo

I have no idea why Okamoto keeps getting priced this high, but I'm going to keep taking advantage.

Okamoto is a big home-run threat, and the matchup vs. Ryan Feltner is above average.

If you can get Okamoto at this price, I'd roll with a full unit. At +550 and below, I'd roll with 0.25 units.

Pick: Kazuma Okamoto Home Run (+550 or Better)

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About the Author
Grant NeifferVerified Action Expert

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