For Monday, August 11, I'm on three MLB home run props: Andrew Vaughn, Brent Rooker, and Junior Caminero.
Continue below for my MLB home run prop bets and HR parlay for Monday.
MLB Home Run Props, Picks, Odds — Monday, August 11
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 7:40 p.m. | |
| 10:05 p.m. | |
| 10:05 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
MLB Home Run Picks for Monday, August 11
Andrew Vaughn Home Run (+370)
Pirates vs Brewers, 7:40 p.m. ET
Vaughn has been on a heater since coming over to the Brewers with seven bombs in the last 35 days.
The matchup vs. Heaney is great for righty power, who has allowed 1.48 HR/9 this season and 1.75 in his career.
I have the true odds on Vaughn around +300 today, making this a great EV bet.
Junior Caminero Home Run (+280)
Rays vs Athletics, 10:05 p.m. ET
Junior is in a great spot today going up against Springs.
Springs is a well above-average matchup for righty power, giving up a large 1.67 HR/9.
The ballpark is one of the best in the league for power, and the weather is great for hitting with temperatures around 90 degrees and the wind blowing out at 9 MPH.
I have the true odds on Junior around +240 in this spot, making this a great EV bet.
Brent Rooker Home Run (+300)
Rays vs Athletics, 10:05 p.m. ET
The A's are in a great spot today going up against Pepiot in Sacramento.
Pepiot is a reverse splits pitcher who is very susceptible to power.
While he's much worse vs. righties, giving up a 1.89 HR/9 this season, he's still an above-average matchup for lefty power, giving up 1.28 HR/9 on the season.
The weather over in Sacramento is great for hitting today with temperatures around 90 degrees and the wind blowing out around 9 MPH at the start of the game.
I have the true odds on Rooker around +250 today, making this a great EV bet.
