The Atlanta Braves host the New York Mets on July 6, 2026. First pitch from Truist Park is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on BravesVsn.
The Braves are favored by -131 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Mets are +111 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 9 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Mets vs Braves prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Mets vs Braves Prediction
- Mets vs Braves Pick: Juan Soto 2+ H+R+RBI
My Mets vs Braves best bet is a prop on New York's outfielder Juan Soto. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Mets vs Braves Odds
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -185 | 9 -105o / -113u | +111 |
| Braves Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +154 | 9 -105o / -113u | -131 |
- Mets vs Braves moneyline: Mets +111, Braves -131
- Mets vs Braves over/under: 9 (-105o / -113u)
- Mets vs Braves spread: Braves -1.5 (+154 ), Mets +1.5 (-185)
Mets vs Braves Probable Pitchers
| RHP Freddy Peralta (NYM) | Stat | RHP Reynaldo Lopez (ATL) |
|---|---|---|
| 5-7 | W-L | 4-1 |
| 1.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.4 |
| 4.81 / 3.78 | ERA / xERA | 3.31 / 4.61 |
| 4.28 / 4.16 | FIP / xFIP | 4.18 / 4.52 |
| 12.8% | K-BB% | 11.0% |
| 42.5% | GB% | 35.8% |
| .305 | BABIP | .271 |
| 95 | Stuff+ | 90 |
| 105 | Location+ | 98 |
Mets vs Braves MLB Betting Preview
The wrap-around series here. The Braves and Mets square off for a fourth time after a three-game weekend set, and the runs have been flying in this series so far.
New York Mets Betting Preview
Peralta's struggles are well-known this year.
He has a 4.63 ERA with a 1.41 WHIP on the year; he's been a big part of the Mets' disappointing 2026 season. His fastball just isn't the same as it has been in his career — just a 9.7% SwStr% and 96 Stuff+ on the pitch this year.
It's legitimately worse in shape, and the results show that.
However, I think Peralta can correct back toward his career norms, at least to some extent. He's given up a high 18% HR/FB this year, and he's allowed a .305 BABIP, which is a bit above his career average.
Also, I think he can handle his business well enough to help the Mets to some victories, and especially so tonight.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
I am not a believer in Reynaldo Lopez since his breakout 2024 season (1.99 ERA in 136 innings).
He has a 3.49 ERA with a 19% K% and a 9.8% BB% in limited action these last two seasons. His SwStr% is awful this year at 9.7%, and he's giving up a lot of batted balls hit into the air (36% GB%).
Lefties have really crushed him with a .363 xwOBA — he just doesn't have a good secondary pitch to have success without the platoon advantage.
Mets vs Braves Pick, Betting Analysis
I like the Mets' power lefties here. Juan Soto should see the ball very well here and probably get on base a couple of times.
Lopez walks lefties at a high rate, and you know Soto likes himself a free pass, but more generally, I like the Mets to get a win here behind Freddy Peralta.
Pick: Juan Soto 2+ H+R+RBI (+115), Mets Moneyline (+110)
