The Cincinnati Reds host the New York Mets on June 15, 2026. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on SNY.
The Reds are favored by -145 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Mets are +118 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Mets vs Reds prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Mets vs Reds Prediction
- Mets vs Reds Pick: Reds F5 Moneyline (-160)
My Mets vs Reds best bet is on Cincinnati to be ahead after the first five innings. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Mets vs Reds Odds
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -185 | 8.5 100o / -120u | +118 |
| Reds Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +150 | 8.5 100o / -120u | -145 |
- Mets vs Reds moneyline: Mets +118, Reds -145
- Mets vs Reds over/under: 8.5 (-100o / -120u)
- Mets vs Reds spread: Mets +1.5 (-185), Reds -1.5 (+150)
Mets vs Reds Probable Pitchers
| Tobias Myers (RHP, NYM) | Stat | Chase Burns (RHP, CIN) |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | W-L | 7-1 |
| 0.1 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 2.2 |
| 4.05 / 3.41 | ERA / xERA | 2.14 / 2.95 |
| 4.51 / 4.12 | FIP / xFIP | 3.24 / 3.21 |
| 14.2 | K-BB% | 21.9 |
| 35.0 | GB% | 39.9 |
| .242 | BABIP | .243 |
| 104 | Stuff+ | 113 |
| 100 | Location+ | 101 |
Mets vs Reds MLB Betting Preview
New York Mets Betting Preview
Tobias Myers gets the ball for the Mets in Cincy. His last three outings have come in Triple-A, where he threw fewer than three innings each time.
So it's a bullpen-heavy attack for the Mets. But they'll hope to get three innings from Myers nonetheless as they open a series. It's always tough to open a new series on Monday after playing at least three straight over the weekend, since no MLB team gets a weekend day off besides weird circumstances.
Myers throws a lot of strikes, but doesn't have much whiff ability with a 19.5% K% and a 9.7% SwStr% on his big league record in 2026. He's a fly ball pitcher who throws 50% four-seamers, and in this case, it's a very poor fastball with a 90 Stuff+ and 7.7% SwStr%.
Fortunately for Myers and company, the Reds don't have a great-looking lineup with Elly De La Cruz still on the shelf. They're hitting .227 with a poor .309 xwOBA over the last two weeks without their best player.
The Myers plus bullpen approach just might get by in this case, although a couple of homers from the Reds is a likely thing to happen in this small ballpark.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
Chase Burns is fantastic. He's the #12 SP in the game per BARTOLO with a neat little 2.94 xERA on the year and a K-BB% just a hair under 22%:
And Burns seems to be getting better as the year goes on. Over his last five starts, he has a 35% K% with a 6% BB% and just three homers allowed. The fastball is great, and the slider is one of the best pitches in the entire league.
He really doesn't need anything else. He's been better against lefties this year with a 32% K% and a .266 xwOBA allowed, and he's elite against the righties as well, just not quite as good (26% K%, .263 xwOBA)
Mets vs Reds Pick, Betting Analysis
We have the Reds at home, with a massive pitching advantage, available at -136 on the moneyline. That seems like a steal to me.
I'd rather go to the first five innings market to put the maximum amount of weight on the starting pitcher advantage that the Reds possess.
Pick: Reds F5 Moneyline (-160, BetMGM)
