The Colorado Rockies host the New York Mets on May 7, 2026. First pitch from Coors Field is scheduled for 3:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SNY.
The Mets are favored by -144 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Rockies are +122 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 11 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Mets vs Rockies prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Mets vs Rockies Prediction
- Mets vs Rockies Pick: Over 11
My Mets vs Rockies best bet is on the Over. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Mets vs Rockies Odds
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +108 | 11 -100o / -122u | -144 |
| Rockies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -130 | 11 -100o / -122u | +122 |
- Mets vs Rockies moneyline: Mets -144, Rockies +122
- Mets vs Rockies over/under: 11 (-100 / -122)
- Mets vs Rockies spread: Mets -1.5 (+108), Rockies +1.5 (-130)
Mets vs Rockies Pitchers
| Christian Scott (RHP, NYM) | Stat | Jose Quintana (LHP, COL) |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | W-L | 1-2 |
| 0.0 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | -0.1 |
| 4.26 / 4.69 | ERA / xERA | 4.07 / 5.32 |
| 5.67 / 5.19 | FIP / xFIP | 6.31 / 6.04 |
| 13.8% | K-BB% | 1.0% |
| 25.0% | GB% | 31.3% |
| .167 | BABIP | .224 |
| 113 | Stuff+ | 81 |
| 94 | Location+ | 103 |
Mets vs Rockies MLB Betting Preview
What are we doing with Jose Quintana?
He’s in the twilight of his career. He’s lost all of his velocity (barely 90 MPH on average), he can’t miss bats (1% K-BB), and he’s on pace for a career-low ground-ball rate (31%).
So, let’s throw him in Colorado! Where he can throw 89 MPH meatballs down the middle at mile-high altitude!
The only reason he's running a 4.07 ERA is because of BABIP (.224) and strand (78%) luck. Once those regress, he should regress to his earned run indicators (5.32 xERA, 6.31 FIP, 6.04 xFIP, 5.09 botERA, -0.1 fWAR).
I have a feeling I’ll be betting plenty of Overs with Quintana on the mound this season, especially when the Rockies suit up in Denver.
On the other side of this matchup, I’m fine with fading Christian Scott.
He’s an enticing prospect, but he’s coming off Tommy John surgery, and the last thing to come back after TJ is control, which explains his 17% walk rate and 94 Location+ rating. He posted a 5.27 ERA and 4.17 FIP across 13 ⅔ Triple-A innings, and he’s since posted a 4.26 ERA and 5.19 xFIP across 6 ⅓ MLB innings.
It’s also worth noting that I power rate the Mets among MLB’s worst defensive teams, which doesn’t help Scott but does help our wager on the Over.
Another thing that helps the Over is Colorado's MLB-worst bullpen.
Mets vs Rockies Pick, Betting Analysis
Between Quintana, Scott, New York's defense, Colorado's bullpen, and a +31% weather adjustment (per BallParkPal), I project this total near 14 runs!
While that might be a slight overprojection (I have some modeling tweaks to make at the extremes), BallParkPal's model projects this total around 12.4.
Pick: Over 11
