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Mets vs Rockies Prediction, Pick, Odds: Top-Rated MLB Projection for Wednesday

Mets vs Rockies Prediction, Pick, Odds: Top-Rated MLB Projection for Wednesday article feature image
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May 4, 2026; Denver, Colorado, USA; Detailed view of a baseball in the dugout of the New York Mets during the game against the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-Imagn Images

The Colorado Rockies host the New York Mets on May 6, 2026. First pitch from Coors Field is scheduled for 9:20 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SNY.

The Mets are favored by -166 on the moneyline. The Rockies are +140 on the moneyline. The total is set at 9.5 runs.

Find my MLB picks and Mets vs Rockies prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.


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Mets vs Rockies Predictions, Pick

  • Mets vs Rockies Pick: Under 9.5 (-110 or Better)

My Mets vs Rockies best bet is on the Under. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.


Mets vs Rockies Odds

Mets Logo
Wednesday, May 6
9:20 p.m. ET
SNY
Rockies Logo
Mets Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-1.5
-108
9.5
-114o / -106u
-166
Rockies Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+1.5
-111
9.5
-114o / -106u
+140
Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.
FanDuel Logo
  • Mets vs Rockies moneyline: Mets -166, Rockies +140
  • Mets vs Rockies over/under: 9.5 (-114 / -106)
  • Mets vs Rockies spread: Mets -1.5 (-108), Rockies +1.5 (-111)

Mets vs Rockies Kalshi Odds


Mets vs Rockies Probable Pitchers

Freddy Peralta (RHP, NYM)StatMichael Lorenzen (RHP, COL)
1-3W-L2-3
0.7fWAR (FanGraphs)0.1
3.52 / 3.69ERA / xERA6.09 / 5.54
3.72 / 3.66FIP / xFIP5.09 / 4.34
15.9%K-BB%9.1%
42.6%GB%46.9%
.260BABIP.369
97Stuff+88
107Location+101

Mets vs Rockies MLB Betting Preview

Our own Sean Zerillo projects value on the Under in this matchup.

While the consensus line sits around 9.5, Zerillo projects just 9.01 runs for this game.

As a reminder, you can see all of Zerillo's MLB game projections with an Action PRO Subscription. Find his projected lines every day on the PRO Projections tab.


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Mets vs Rockies Pick, Betting Analysis

Zerillo logged the Under in the Action App, telling us we should bet this total down to 9.5 (-110).

This is mainly a weather-related Under, as it's supposed to be a ridiculous 36 degrees during game time today. The ball should be dead in the freezing cold weather in Denver.

Pick: Under 9.5 (-110 or Better)


Mets vs Rockies Weather


Get the latest coverage on MLB Weather.
Author Profile
About the Author

Tanner McGrath covers college basketball, college football and Major League Baseball at Action Network. He is a contributor to Payoff Pitch, Action Network’s Major League Baseball betting podcast. He's been working in the space for more than five years with past journalism experience in Canadian collegiate sports, finance and economics. He has an obsession with America East basketball, betting the Miami Marlins and sweating out home underdogs.

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