The Brewers host the Mets on Wednesday, July 22. First pitch from American Family Field is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on BREW.
The Brewers are favored by -147 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Mets are +121 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Mets vs Brewers prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Mets vs Brewers Prediction
- Mets vs Brewers Pick: NRFI + Jackson Chourio Over 1.5 HRR
My Mets vs Brewers best bet is no runs in the first inning and Chourio to record 2+ HRR. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Mets vs Brewers Odds, Run Line
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +143 | 7.5 -115o / -105u | +121 |
| Brewers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -170 | 7.5 -115o / -105u | -147 |
- Mets vs Brewers moneyline: Mets +121, Brewers -147
- Mets vs Brewers over/under: 7.5 runs
- Mets vs Brewers spread: Brewers -1.5
Mets vs Brewers Probable Pitchers
| Christian Scott | Stat | Logan Henderson |
|---|---|---|
| 3-1 | W-L | 3-1 |
| 1.1 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.1 |
| 2.87 / 4.12 | ERA / xERA | 2.97 / 2.91 |
| 3.77 / 3.85 | FIP / xFIP | 2.71 / 3.26 |
| 18.2 | K-BB% | 24.2 |
| 31.5 | GB% | 28 |
| .280 | BABIP | .266 |
| 107 | Stuff+ | 105 |
| 96 | Location+ | 104 |
Mets vs Brewers MLB Betting Preview
Mets vs Brewers Pick, Betting Analysis
In what sets up to be a great pitching matchup, right-hander Christian Scott will take the mound for the Mets while the Brewers send out young righty Logan Henderson.
In just five starts on the mound last season, Henderson was phenomenal, recording a 1.78 ERA along with a very efficient 0.99 WHIP across just over 25 frames.
Henderson has picked up right where he left off this season, entering Wednesday with a 2.97 ERA and 0.93 WHIP throughout seven appearances.
While not quite as efficient as his counterpart, Scott is having himself a stellar campaign as well, posting a 2.87 ERA across just shy of 60 innings of work.
Given how impressive both starters have been entering Wednesday’s National League clash, I see NRFI being a valuable angle.
Also, I am willing to take a shot on Brewers’ slugger Jackson Chourio to find success at the plate, despite Scott’s impressive form.
Despite having missed time to start the season after injuring his hand in a World Baseball Classic exhibition game, the Brew Crew’s phenom has been on a tear since returning from the injured list, smashing 13 homers and driving in 39 runs.
While Scott boasts exceptional strikeout prowess with his two primary offerings (4-Seam Fastball & Sweeper) generating 27% / 30% & 35% / 38% strikeout & whiff rates, respectively per BARTOLO, he has shown command issues on the mound, posting a 10.3% walk rate.
Scott’s elevated walk rate could prove problematic versus Chourio’s elite plate discipline, which is why I am willing to bank on Milwaukee’s superstar to exceed his 1.5 HRR mark.
Picks:
- NRFI (-132)
- Jackson Chourio Over 1.5 HRR (-120)
