The Philadelphia Phillies (32-29) host the San Diego Padres (32-28) on June 4, 2026. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on NBC 10.
The Phillies are favored by -215 on the moneyline and by -1.5 (-105) on the run line. The Padres are +180 on the moneyline and +1.5 (-114) on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs (-102 / -120).
Find my MLB picks and Padres vs Phillies prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Padres vs Phillies Prediction and Pick
- Padres vs Phillies Pick: Under 8 (-105)
My Padres vs Phillies best bet is on the Under. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Padres vs Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under
| Padres Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -114 | 8.5 -102o / -120u | +180 |
| Phillies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -105 | 8.5 -102o / -120u | -215 |
- Padres vs Phillies moneyline: Padres +176, Phillies -210
- Padres vs Phillies over/under: 8.5 (-100 / -122)
- Padres vs Phillies spread: Padres +1.5 (-114), Phillies -1.5 (-105)
Padres vs Phillies Probable Pitchers
| Lucas Giolito (RHP, SDP) | Stat | Zack Wheeler (RHP, PHI) |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | W-L | 4-1 |
| -0.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.9 |
| 4.97 / 5.04 | ERA / xERA | 2.27 / 3.18 |
| 7.28 / 7.25 | FIP / xFIP | 3.43 / 3.28 |
| -10.5% | K-BB% | 18.9% |
| 26.3% | GB% | 44.7% |
| .222 | BABIP | .211 |
| 87 | Stuff+ | 104 |
| 97 | Location+ | 109 |
Padres vs Phillies Expert MLB Pick for Today
This game triggered one of our Action PRO betting systems, powered by Evan Abrams:
In matchups between winning teams, sportsbooks often inflate totals due to perceived offensive capability, yet these teams also tend to have stronger pitching and tighter late-game execution — leading to a profitable edge on the Under.
How To Make Padres vs Phillies Picks and Best Bets
Zack Wheeler is still pitching like one of the league’s best. Sure, his last start against the Dodgers looks iffy on the surface (four earned over six frames), but he actually posted his highest single-game Pitching+ mark of any start this season (127).
This is a great bounce-back spot for Wheeler against a Padres offense that has been in a slump for the better part of a month — the lineup has posted a league-low 76 wRC+ over the past month.
I’m no believer in Lucas Giolito, but the Padres have a great defense and an elite bullpen behind him. Plus, the Phillies haven’t been world-beaters in the batter’s box (88 wRC+ over the past 30 days).
Pick: Under 8 (-105)
