The Seattle Mariners (10-10) and Toronto Blue Jays (12-8) continue their series on Saturday afternoon at Rogers Centre. First pitch is set for 3:07 p.m. ET; the game can be streamed on MLB.TV.
The Blue Jays triumphed in the series opener and are on a modest three-game winning streak entering Saturday. They have a tough task today, however, with Mariners ace Logan Gilbert on the hill.
How should bettors attack this one? Continue below for my Saturday Mariners vs Blue Jays predictions and picks on two home run props with value.
Note: A parlay of these home run picks is not the author's formal recommendation. These are recommended as straight bets that are explained in detail below.
Mariners vs Blue Jays Parlay Picks
- Cal Raleigh Home Run
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Home Run
Parlay Odds: +1500 (BetMGM)
Mariners vs Blue Jays Odds
| Mariners Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -170 | 7.5 -115o / -105u | -122 |
| Blue Jays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +141 | 7.5 -115o / -105u | +102 |
Mariners vs Blue Jays Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Logan Gilbert (SEA) | Stat | RHP Jose Berrios (TOR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | W-L | 1-1 |
| 0.7 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.0 |
| 2.38 / 2.21 | ERA /xERA | 5.16 / 4.78 |
| 2.46 / 1.57 | FIP / xFIP | 5.24 / 3.91 |
| 0.66 | WHIP | 1.46 |
| 33.3% | K-BB% | 12.6% |
| 56.3% | GB% | 43.1% |
| 99 | Stuff+ | 94 |
| 114 | Location+ | 96 |
Mariners vs Blue Jays Preview, Predictions, Props
Mariners Betting Preview: Big HR for Big Dumper?
In an exciting matchup between the Mariners and Blue Jays, our PRO Projections indicate a strong potential for home runs in the second game of their series.
With Logan Gilbert facing off against Jose Berrios, the game's total isn’t astronomically high, but there are hitters that our data favors for clearing the fences, offering potential value for bettors on Saturday.
One standout from the Mariners is Cal Raleigh. As their leading slugger and a switch-hitter, Raleigh’s admittedly offered at a short price of +375 to go yard today.
However, the price isn’t short enough — our PRO Projections model anticipates Raleigh crushing 0.33 homers.
Raleigh is excelling in barreling pitches, ranking in the 100th percentile, according to Statcast, and he’s already hit eight home runs this season.
Given that Berrios has allowed multiple home runs in half of his starts, Raleigh’s odds may be more appealing than they seem.
Pick: Cal Raleigh Home Run (+375; bet365)
Blue Jays Betting Preview: Big Value on Vlad
From the Blue Jays, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is another player to watch.
After a slow start, the newly-signed cornerstone is finally picking up momentum, with two homers in recent games.
At +575 odds at BetMGM, this is a great bet — Guerrero is projected by PRO Projections to have a 22% chance of hitting a home run.
Pick: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Home Run (+575; BetMGM)
Mariners vs Blue Jays Same-Game Parlay
- Cal Raleigh Home Run
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Home Run
Parlay odds: +1500 (BetMGM)
