The Arizona Diamondbacks host the Toronto Blue Jays on April 17, 2026. First pitch from Chase Field is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on ARID.
The Diamondbacks are favored by -136 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Blue Jays are +113 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks Prediction
- Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks Pick: Blue Jays ML
My Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks best bet is on Toronto to win outright. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks Odds
| Blue Jays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -175 | 8.5 -120o / 100u | +113 |
| Diamondbacks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +144 | 8.5 -120o / 100u | -136 |
- Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks spread: Blue Jays +1.5 (-175), Diamondbacks -1.5 (+144)
- Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks over/under: 8.5 (-120 / +100)
- Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks moneyline: Blue Jays +113, Diamondbacks -136
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Braydon Fisher (TOR) | Stat | RHP Michael Soroka (ARI) |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | W-L | 3-0 |
| 0.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.4 |
| 0.93 / 3.65 | ERA /xERA | 2.87 / 5.79 |
| 2.65 / 1.88 | FIP / xFIP | 2.78 / 3.10 |
| 0.72 | WHIP | 1.21 |
| 33.3% | K-BB% | 25.4% |
| 42.1% | GB% | 40.0% |
| 96 | Stuff+ | 95 |
| 112 | Location+ | 100 |
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks Preview
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
Braydon Fisher has been a no-nonsense reliever for the Blue Jays dating back to the start of his career last season, but there's still one monkey he'd like to get off his back.
The 25-year-old will be making his second start of his career, serving as the team's opening pitcher on Friday, and the first was one to forget. He recorded just five outs against the Athletics last May, allowing five runs on four hits, a walk, and two homers. His role should be rather insignificant, given Eric Lauer is set to eat the majority of the innings behind him, but given the track record in this role we'll be watching closely.
Lauer, meanwhile, is looking for his first positive outcome of the month. He was one of Toronto's most valuable players last year, bouncing between the bullpen and rotation and remaining steady throughout, but this season has begun frustratingly.
The lefty did strike out nine over 5 1/3 innings in his season debut, but fell ill in his second turn and didn't look fully recovered when he allowed seven runs to the Twins on five hits and five walks last time out.
I don't see any real reason to panic over Lauer; it's very likely the illness has cost him a couple of outings and the results last year were no fluke. He finished with a 3.88 Expected ERA, walking just 6.1% if batters and striking out 23.9%, and while the K:BB hasn't been quite as tasty in 2026, he's still running a .190 Expected Batting Average.
The lefty has been his own worst enemy with the walks in the early going, but if he can hone those in — which he did hugely last year — the contact against him hasn't been so bad.
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview
The Diamondbacks will counter with Michael Soroka, a man who feels much older than 28 given the number of years he's been in the league. His once-promising career took an unfortunate turn due to injury, but he's looked much better since the start of 2025.
Last year, Soroka turned in a positive 25.1% strikeout rate — maintaining gains from 2024 — but significantly lowered his walk rate to 7.7%. A heavy dose of fly balls led opponents to a low .209 xBA against him, and they didn't seem to bother the righty too much on account of his low 6.7% barrel rate and .351 xSLG.
So, you'd think moving to Arizona would seem to be a wise move given the park tends to keep fly balls in the yard — and judging by the results you'd be right. Despite allowing eight barrels through 15 2/3 innings — already half as many as his 2025 total — Soroka has given up just one home run and owns a tidy 2.87 ERA.
Hitters are squaring him up, but his defense — and his park — are working overtime. Maintaining a solid strikeout to walk ratio will help the right-hander out of trouble and prevent further damage on contact. He was able to strike out 10 Phillies in his last turn through the rotation, already matching a season high.
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks Picks
Neither of these offenses is really hitting at the moment, ranking 20th and 24th in wRC+, respectively, and both pitchers should have an eye towards the fly ball in the fifth-hardest park to homer in. For these teams, however, that's generally meant good things, considering they've both begun the year ranked top-10 in OPS versus fly-ballers.
The Diamondbacks do own a much better .747 OPS against lefties than righties (.660), but it's come along with a low 6.1% walk rate. That means we should see plenty of contact, and with the expected numbers looking great for Lauer, it should mean many field outs and a reduction in his bloated walk rate.
Toronto is walking at a better 8.6% clip for the year, and like Arizona it's sporting a great 18.3% strikeout rate. Given that strikeouts are such a big part of Soroka's arsenal, it's hard to imagine the veteran shutting down innings with some timely punchouts, and unlike Lauer we've seen the right-hander yield some scorching-hot contact.
That pushes Toronto over the edge for me; this will be a competition to see who can induce more flyouts, and we'll take the one who's demonstrated for over a year that he can get soft contact and who also pitches in front of the superior outfield defense this season.
Pick: Blue Jays ML (+113) | Play to +105
