The Minnesota Twins host the Toronto Blue Jays on May 3, 2026. First pitch from Target Field is scheduled for 12:45 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SN1.
The Twins are favored by -112 on the moneyline. The Blue Jays are -104 on the moneyline. The total is set at 8 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Blue Jays vs Twins prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Blue Jays vs Twins Prediction
- Blue Jays vs Twins Pick: Twins ML (-130 or Better)
My Blue Jays vs Twins best bet is on Minnesota to win. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Blue Jays vs Twins Odds
| Blue Jays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +168 | 8 -112o / -108u | -104 |
| Twins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -205 | 8 -112o / -108u | -112 |
- Blue Jays vs Twins moneyline: Blue Jays -104, Twins -112
- Blue Jays vs Twins over/under: 8 (-112 / -108)
- Blue Jays vs Twins spread: Blue Jays -1.5 (+168), Twins +1.5 (-205)
Blue Jays vs Twins Pitchers
| Trey Yesavage (RHP, TOR) | Stat | Joe Ryan (RHP, MIN) |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | W-L | 2-3 |
| 0.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.1 |
| 0.00 / 1.16 | ERA / xERA | 3.76 / 3.10 |
| 2.01 / 4.70 | FIP / xFIP | 2.98 / 3.87 |
| 15.0% | K-BB% | 19.4% |
| 31.3% | GB% | 35.6% |
| .235 | BABIP | .275 |
| 111 | Stuff+ | 108 |
| 99 | Location+ | 108 |
Blue Jays vs Twins MLB Betting Preview
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
A bit of a World Series hangover seems to be bothering the Toronto Blue Jays, who are 16-17 and in third place in the AL East. Last year, the Blue Jays got star performances from non-stars and carried it to the World Series. That's not happening this year, though.
Taking the hill for the Blue Jays is Trey Yesavage, who is a welcome sight for a scuffling ball club. His big league career feels a lot longer than just four regular season outings, but he has the postseason experience of a seasoned vet.
He held the hapless Red Sox offense to zero runs in 5 1/3 innings in his 2026 debut, striking out three hitters and walking zero. I expect more strikeouts from him moving forward and more walks to come with it. He punched out over 10 batters per nine last year, while walking 4.5 per nine. Yesavage has yet to allow a home run at the MLB level. He only throws three pitches, but his sinker and splitter combo is perfect for keeping the ball in the yard.
Long-term, I have some real concerns about this Blue Jays lineup. They have a Bo Bichette-sized hole and haven't filled it. Kazuma Okamoto has shown flashes, but he's no Bichette.
Since April 15th, Toronto is 26th in MLB with an 87 wRC+. It still puts the ball in play like last year, walking just 5% of the time and walking at a 17.7% rate in those 15 games.
The Blue Jays' lack of power output is a worry, though. They rank 24th with 12 homers in that span, while Vlad Guerrero Jr. has just two long balls this year. He's on more of a Luis Arraez arc, hitting .338 and punching out 11% of the time. However, the lack of power is jarring.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Twins came into the year without a real sense of direction. Most expected a full rebuild after selling most of their expensive pieces last July, but they started the 2026 season on fire. Since then, they have dropped eight of their last ten games and sit at 14-20 overall.
Joe Ryan figures to be the most intriguing trade chip the Twins have on the table, and he'll draw the start on Sunday. Ryan boasts a 3.76 ERA with a 3.10 xERA and a 2.76 FIP, so his ERA should get close to the high 2.00 range.
The biggest shift for Ryan is cutting down his HR/9 from 1.37 last year to 0.70 this year. He's been a bit unlucky in terms of stranding runners, as his LOB% is 55.4%, down from 70% last year and the prior year. Once Ryan starts to strand runners again, his numbers will get back to a comfortable territory.
Minnesota is struggling offensively of late, ranking 23rd in MLB with a 90 wRC+ in the past two weeks. It's not all bad, as Byron Buxton is on a tear, hitting six homers in his last 14 games with a 152 wRC+.
Nothing stands out about the Twins' approach. They walk 9% of the time and strikeout at a 21% rate, which is close to the league average. I view them as a slightly below-average offense with the upside to be better when some of Buxton's co-stars perform.
Blue Jays vs Twins Pick, Betting Analysis
I'm rolling with the Twins.
The Blue Jays crushed them in the first two games of the series, and it was particularly heartbreaking on Saturday, as Luis Garcia and Anthony Banda gave up eight runs in the eighth inning.
Ryan should give Minnesota six or seven innings as the "stopper". He shuts the door and gets the Twins back on track.
Pick: Twins ML (-130 or Better)
