The NBA Playoffs roll on Thursday as Nikola Jokic and the Nuggets travel to LA to try and regain homecourt from Kawhi Leonard and the Clippers. Cade Cunningham tries to lead the upstart Pistons to a 2-1 series lead over the New York Knicks, while Memphis just wants to have a good showing against Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the OKC juggernaut.
We've got bets from our NBA podcast Buckets for the slate, including a total and multiple props.
🎙️ Matt Moore
Clippers-Nuggets Under 213.5
“I have this projected at 209.”
• 🧊 Matt doesn’t trust either offense to generate easy looks consistently.
• “I wouldn’t be surprised if the Clippers wound up 110 and the Nuggets still under 100.”
Jalen Duren Over 2.5 Assists
“I’m going to go with Duren over two and a half assists again back to the well on that one because we’re down to minus 110.”
• Matt’s betting on home shooting variance helping assists convert. "Role players shoot better at home."
• “He had seven potential assists and only two actual assists in Game 2 — brutal.”
Kris Dunn Less than 6.5 Points (Underdog)
“I’m probably going to be on less on Kris Dunn points tomorrow.”
• 🛑 Matt cited specific blowup risk from bench rotations and minutes volatility.
Timberwolves -3 vs Lakers
“The Lakers are three-point dogs Friday. I make it Wolves -6.7.”
• 🧮 Significant power rating edge for Matt on the Wolves in this matchup.
Knicks-Pistons Overtime (Yes) +1500
“I make this number with normalized homecourt Pistons -1.”
• 💣 Matt found value in this longshot based on the game being projected as essentially a pick’em.
💥 Gilles Gallant
Dennis Schroder Over 9.5 Points (Pistons-Knicks Game 3)
“He scored 20 in game two… When he’s played 25 or more minutes, he’s cleared it in 14 of 17 games.”
• 📈 Gilles highlighted a 76%-82% hit rate when Schroder gets proper minutes.
• “The Pistons are running a slim rotation — 7, maybe 8 guys — and Schroder’s minutes are ascending.”
Jalen Williams Over 4.5 Assists (Thunder–Grizzlies Game 3)
“Potential assists: 10 in game one, 13 in game two. He’s technically leading the team in potential assists over SGA.”
• 🚀 Jalen Williams has cleared this in 5 of 6 matchups vs Memphis.
• “This is just an easy, low-maintenance wagon.”
📣 Bryan Fonseca
Mitchell Robinson Over 5.5 Rebounds (Pistons-Knicks Game 3)
“He’s gotten six and seven in these games. I think there’s room for him to get eight to ten.”
• Bryan expects increased minutes for Mitch Rob in the Knicks’ two-big lineups.
• 💪 “This is the playoff series where they’ll need his physicality.”
Isaiah Joe Over 1.5 Threes (Thunder-Grizzlies Game 3)
“He went one for five from three last game and I don’t give a shit — I’m going back to it.”
• 🏹 Joe’s taking 5+ threes per game and Bryan expects him to keep firing.
• Even with blowout risk, “Isaiah Joe’s a big part of their three-point offense.”
Jalen Williams Over 9.5 Rebounds + Assists (Thunder-Grizzlies Game 3)
“He’s hit that in six of seven. He never gets fewer than five rebounds.”
• 🔄 Bryan prefers combining the two stats for higher floor value.
• “Just reliable — he gets a lot of six and six or seven and six lines.”
Russell Westbrook 1+ Three + Nikola Jokic 2+ Threes Parlay (+147)
“Russell Westbrook has taken 12 threes in this series… and Jokic kind of feels like, ‘I have to take threes.’”
• 🎯 Bryan built this parlay off volume + matchup logic — expecting Jokic to get looks vs Zubac.
🎯 Kyle Murray
Cade Cunningham Over 36.5 Points + Assists
“I have him for 33 points and nine and a half assists.”
• 🚀 Kyle expects Cade to max out minutes in a close home playoff game — projecting 44 minutes.
• “He’s just still so good at getting to the basket.”
Ja Morant Over 30.5 Points
“I have him projected for 29 points and 8.2 assists.”
• 🏀 Ja played 40 minutes in the last game — Kyle sees upside for 42 minutes if this one stays close.
Aaron Gordon Over 2.5 Assists
“I have him projected for four and a half assists in this one.”
• Gordon’s minutes are stable at 38+ per game — Kyle likes the play despite low recent production.
Our NBA Best Bets for Thursday, April 24
- Clippers-Nuggets Under 213.5
- Jalen Duren Over 2.5 Assists
- Kris Dunn Less than 6.5 Points
- Timberwolves -3 vs Lakers
- Knicks-Pistons Overtime (Yes) +1500
- Dennis Schroder Over 9.5 Points
- Jalen Williams Over 4.5 Assists
- Mitchell Robinson Over 5.5 Rebounds
- Isaiah Joe Over 1.5 Threes
- Jalen Williams Over 9.5 Rebounds + Assists
- Russell Westbrook 1+ Three + Nikola Jokic 2+ Threes Parlay
- Cade Cunningham Over 36.5 Points + Assists
- Ja Morant Over 30.5 Points
- Aaron Gordon Over 2.5 Assists
