The Orlando Magic (3-3) and Detroit Pistons (3-3) will meet for a winner-take-all Game 7 in the first round of the NBA playoffs on Sunday afternoon. Tipoff from Little Caesars Arena in Detroit is set for 3:30 p.m. ET, with the game airing live on ABC.
The Pistons are 8.5-point home favorites over the Magic in Game 7, with the over/under set at 201.5 total points. Detroit is a -305 moneyline favorite to win outright, while Orlando is priced at +245 to pull off the road upset.
Continue below for my Magic vs. Pistons predictions and NBA picks for Game 7 on Sunday, May 3.
Magic vs Pistons Prediction
- Magic vs Pistons pick: Magic Moneyline (+245)
My Pistons vs. Magic Game 7 betting prediction is on Orlando moneyline (+245). Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
Magic vs Pistons Game 7 Odds
| Magic Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+8.5 -115 | 201.5 -108o / -112u | +245 |
| Pistons Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-8.5 -105 | 201.5 -108o / -112u | -305 |
Orlando Magic vs Detroit Pistons NBA Playoffs Preview
Magic Betting Preview, Analysis
The Pistons return home for today's series finale, and they are listed as 8.5-point favorites over the Magic. However, road teams have been doing very well lately in Game 7s.
It’s probably all noise, but I do think this one might be different. Road underdogs are 7-6 SU and ATS in Game 7s since 2021-22, which is when fans returned to arenas after the pandemic.
Road 'dogs that previously led 3-1 in the series are 5-4 SU and ATS in Game 7s since 2003. It's a small sample, but it's also crazy that underdogs are above .500 SU in these games.
Pistons Betting Preview, Analysis
The Pistons have bounced around a lot this series.
Game 1 was a positive outlier performance for the Magic offensively. Game 3 was the classic spot for Orlando to win their first home game of the playoffs. Game 4 was Detroit making a bunch of wild mistakes and turnovers.
Game 6 was an outlier bad offensive game from Orlando, even for the Magic. It's pretty much impossible for any team to play that bad offensively in consecutive games.
Between the bounce-back offensive regression, the trend of road teams taking Game 7s, and the fact that whenever we think things have swung definitively in one direction, everything seems to turn around in these playoffs.
Magic vs Pistons Picks, Betting Predictions
Magic Moneyline
Only 10 of the last 34 underdogs in Game 7 covered but didn’t win outright.
Game 7s are largely coin flips. Most of the adjustments have already been made.
The Pistons certainly seem like they’ve turned a corner and righted the ship. However, the Magic have consistently proven they can hang in this series, and they present Detroit’s suspect offense with a bunch of problems.
I like the Magic to win outright in Game 7 today. But I'm not betting the spread here; only the +260 moneyline.
Under 201.5
When the total for Game 7 is more than three points lower than the average for the rest of the series, the under is 26-16 (62%) since 2003. It’s 15-8 in Eastern Conference games in that structure.
The odds are saying that either the Magic's offense remains where they were in Game 6 and Detroit puts the clamps down, or the Pistons join them in a miasma of terrible basketball.
This is not a rock fight. It is a sewer slinging contest. Watch your head, don’t get any on you, and bet the under.
Jalen Duren Over 9.5 Rebounds & Assists
Jalen Duren's rebounds & assists line was 12.5 in Game 5, and then 8.5 in Game 6, which he went over, so now it's back up at 9.5.
Duren has recorded over 9.5 rebounds & assists in all but the first game of the series.
The Magic are becoming increasingly desperate to blitz Cade Cunningham and get the ball out of his hands, and the Pistons have responded by setting higher screens, giving Duren more room to pass on the short-roll.
He has recorded 2+ assists in four of six games in this series, and 8+ rebounds in each of the last five games.
Jalen Suggs Under 18.5 Points & Assists
Jalen Suggs hasn’t gone over 18.5 points & assists since Game 2. His shot isn’t there, and he's slowly fading off.
The Pistons are cramming the paint, and if I’m expecting an under, this also seems like a logical result.
Magic vs Pistons Game 7 Best Bets
- Magic Moneyline (+245)
- Under 201.5 (-112)
- Jalen Duren Over 9.5 Rebounds & Assists (-135)
- Jalen Suggs Under 18.5 Points & Assists (-120)
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Magic vs Pistons Betting Trends
