Welcome back to another edition of my player props.
It's the final Saturday of the regular season, and after a 3-0 sweep last week, we are poised to enter March Madness on a high note.
Let's dive into my top three college basketball player props and NCAAB picks for Saturday, March 7.
College Basketball Player Props for Saturday, Mar. 7
- Trevon Brazile Over 6.5 Rebounds (-130, bet365)
- Denzel Aberdeen Over 1.5 Threes Made (-112 bet365)
- Nijel Pack Over 15.5 Points (+100, bet365)
Trevon Brazile Over 6.5 Rebounds
This over has already seen some steam this morning as Trevon Brazile and the Arkansas Razorbacks are in for a battle on the boards. It's no secret by now that the Missouri Tigers use their size to control the glass and make a concerted effort to grab offensive rebounds.
While Arkansas may not be an elite rebounding team, they do have a big man who is tremendous on the defensive glass in Brazile. Brazile has averaged seven rebounds per game this season and has shown a high floor in this category, exceeding this total in 62 percent of games.
Given that his presence on the glass will be essential for the Razorbacks this afternoon, he is a strong pick to go over this total again.
Pick: Trevon Brazile Over 6.5 Rebounds -130
Denzel Aberdeen Over 1.5 Threes Made
The Kentucky Wildcats have gotten it going on the offensive end of the floor down the stretch, and a big part of that has been the hot hand of Denzel Aberdeen. Aberdeen is a 37 percent shooter from long range and has maintained that accuracy while increasing his volume.
For the season, Aberdeen has averaged 4.5 three-point attempts per game, but over his last 10, we've seen that number jump to 5.8. His consistency at that volume has allowed him to go over this total in eight of his last 10 games and 13 of his last 20.
So, while he may not have the best matchup in the form of the Florida Gators, his uptick in volume has not been properly accounted for, and we must capitalize on him being underpriced here.
Pick: Denzel Aberdeen Over 1.5 Threes Made -112
Nijel Pack Over 15.5 Points
Lastly, we turn our attention to the Oklahoma Sooners' leading scorer, Nijel Pack. The senior has flashed his scoring prowess all season long and has tremendous upside tonight against the Texas Longhorns.
Pack is a high-volume shooter who is not afraid to let it fly from anywhere on the court. He is shooting 47 percent from the floor on an average of 12.2 field goal attempts per game. Additionally, over seven of those attempts have come from beyond the arc, where he is shooting an incredible 45 percent.
Texas is far from elite on the defensive end of the floor, and we've seen them get punished from long range on multiple occasions. The Longhorns are 318th in three-point percentage allowed, and Pack contributed to that in their first meeting this season.
In late January, Pack dropped 23 points as he went 9 for 22 from the field and 3 for 8 from downtown in a loss. We should see a similar effort this time around with even more efficiency as he's been hot, going over this mark in seven of his last 10 games.
Pick: Nijel Pack Over 15.5 Points +100
