The Ole Miss Rebels take on the Auburn Tigers in SEC Tournament. Tip-off is set for 1 p.m. ET on ESPN.
Auburn is favored by 12 points on the spread with a moneyline of -750. The total is set at 155 points.
Here are my Ole Miss vs. Auburn predictions and college basketball picks for March 14, 2025.
Ole Miss vs Auburn Prediction
My Pick: Auburn -11 (Play to -12)
My Ole Miss vs Auburn best bet is on the Tigers to cover the spread, with the best odds currently available at Caesars. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
Ole Miss vs Auburn Odds, Spread, Pick
Ole Miss Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+12 -110 | 155 -110o / -110u | +525 |
Auburn Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-12 -110 | 155 -110o / -110u | -750 |
- Ole Miss vs Auburn spread: Auburn -12
- Ole Miss vs Auburn over/under: 155 points
- Ole Miss vs Auburn moneyline: Auburn -750, Ole Miss +525
- Ole Miss vs Auburn best bet: Auburn -11 (Play to -12)
My Ole Miss vs Auburn SEC Tournament Betting Preview
The Auburn Tigers are still vying for the No. 1 overall seed in next week's NCAA Tournament. As of now, Auburn likely slots in as the second No. 1 seed behind Duke, which might have trouble winning the ACC Tournament without Cooper Flagg.
This is a real shot for Auburn to recapture the top spot.
The Tigers and Rebels played twice during the regular season, and one thing was obvious — Ole Miss was no match for Auburn.
Honestly, Ole Miss is pretty fortunate to even be in this matchup. Arkansas had the game virtually locked down, then it fouled Dre Davis, and he scored to tie it before Trevon Brazile missed two free throws and Sean Pedulla hit a game-winner.
Once again, I came away unenthused about Ole Miss’s defense. It’s regularly getting shredded, which is abnormal for a Chris Beard-led team. Since Feb. 1, Ole Miss ranks a jaw-dropping 125th in defensive efficiency.
The Rebels' biggest problem is their small frontcourt. There are just some matchups where Ole Miss will struggle since it sold out for more skilled offensive-centric bigs instead of a rim protector.
They rank 304th in defensive rebounding rate and 347th in 2-point field goal defense in their past eight contests. That doesn’t bode well against Auburn, which has two stud bigs in National Player of the Year candidate Johni Broome and defensive stalwart Dylan Cardwell.
Ole Miss is still really strong offensively. But its offense isn’t good enough to compensate for not getting stops.
Auburn has been the nation’s most efficient offense from virtually the first day of the year. The Tigers shoot a strong 37% from downtown (32nd nationally) and are equally effective from inside the arc (31st).
The brilliant thing about Auburn is that its offensive success isn’t directly tied to Broome going off. He can have a rough game, and others can make up for him.
For example, when Auburn throttled Kentucky at Rupp, it was Miles Kelly and Chad Baker-Mazara who shined.
Kelly and Baker-Mazara are two of four Auburn guards who shoot 38% or better from deep. Denver Jones — who’ll play a pivotal role defensively on Pedulla — is also a perimeter marksman, as is Tahaad Pettiford.
I also think Auburn will punish Ole Miss on the glass. I already touched on how bad the Rebels are at finishing possessions with a rebound. Conversely, Auburn grabs offensive rebounds on 34% of misses.
The Tigers already don’t miss many shots, so it’ll be difficult to contain the nation’s top offensive unit.
The line sits at Auburn -10.5. That seems pretty fair, but coming off a pair of losses and being well-rested and energized, I expect a blowout win for Auburn here.