The Oregon Ducks take on the Alabama Crimson Tide in Las Vegas, NV, in the Players Era Festival. Tip-off is set for 9:30 p.m. ET on TNT.
Alabama is favored by 6.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -270. The total is set at 165.5 points.
Here’s my Oregon vs. Alabama predictions and college basketball picks for November 30, 2024.
Oregon vs Alabama Prediction
My Pick: Alabama -5.5
My Oregon vs Alabama best bet is on the Tide spread, with the best odds currently available at Caesars. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
Oregon vs Alabama Odds, Spread
| Oregon Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+6.5 -110 | 165.5 -108o / -112u | +220 |
| Alabama Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-6.5 -110 | 165.5 -108o / -112u | -270 |
- Oregon vs Alabama spread: Alabama -6.5
- Oregon vs Alabama over/under: 165.5 points
- Oregon vs Alabama moneyline: Alabama -270, Oregon +220
- Oregon vs Alabama best bet: Alabama -5.5
My Oregon vs Alabama College Basketball Betting Preview
Oregon Basketball
The Oregon Ducks looked buried by another SEC school in the first round of the Players Era Festival, but a furious late comeback led the Ducks to a win over Texas A&M.
Comebacks have played an integral role in the Ducks' unbeaten record — they trailed Portland by double digits with only a few minutes left, Oregon State by 12 with only 11 minutes left and Texas A&M by 10 with just eight minutes left.
Those teams let the Ducks dig themselves out of a hope that felt like a bottomless pit.
Oregon has a very balanced offensive attack, as eight players average five or more points per game. But when it comes down to it, the ball will be in the hands of point guard Jackson Shelstad or burly wing TJ Bamba.
Those two — particularly Shelstad — needs to come through in major fashion if the Ducks want to knock off the Crimson Tide.
Keep an eye on Bamba here, as he’s the exact type of guard Alabama struggles with. Once the front line of the defense gets beat by a guard with a knack for drawing fouls — like Dylan Harper and LJ Cryer — that's bad news for the Tide. That’s the prime reason why teams succeed at getting to the line against this defense.
I don’t think Oregon is truly built to win a track meet, which is the style Alabama thrives at. The Ducks play at the 172nd-fastest tempo in the country and have scored 85+ points just once in seven games.
Conversely, Alabama has clocked in five such performances this year. Dana Altman wants this game in the 70-80 point range.
Oregon’s rotation only goes about eight players deep — since Mookie Cook and Ra’Heim Moss barely play. That bodes even more in the favor of Oregon needing a slower-paced contest to battle the depth and talent Alabama has to offer.
Alabama Basketball
Alabama stacked its non-conference schedule with high-major opponents. So far, the Tide secured wins over Illinois, Houston and Rutgers, while losing to Purdue.
In each of the four games, Alabama tallied 1.12 PPP or more, and 1.12 against Houston is probably 1.25 or more against mediocre defenses.
I don’t believe it’s far-fetched to believe Alabama’s offense will get even better. It hasn’t shot the ball well this year from 3 (32%) with the same volume as last year. Alabama shot 36% from 3 a season ago.
How does that change? Well, it’s pretty simple. Once Mark Sears is back to being the Mark Sears from last year, it will likely give Alabama the best offense in college hoops. He’s shooting just 34% from 3, which is down from 43% from last year.
I’d argue that the interior is Alabama’s biggest advantage here. The rotation of defensive bigs — Clifford Omoruyi, Derrion Reid, Mouhamed Dioubate and Jarin Stevenson — could use their length to stifle Brandon Angel and Nate Bittle.
Angel and Bittle are more finesse, skilled offensive bigs, and nothing will come easy against Alabama’s forwards.
Oregon vs Alabama Betting Analysis
The game script here feels like Alabama gets up early and Oregon doesn’t have the weapons to fight back.
The Ducks defend the 3-point arc pretty well — holding opponents to 29% from 3 — but opponents shoot 3s 42% of the time.
That won’t bode well against Alabama.
The Tide enter as 5.5-point favorites, and I was willing to take it up to six.
So, I’ll be fine laying 5.5 points with this potent offense.
