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College Football Weather Report: A Windy Pick for Saturday Night

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Oklahoma Sooner wagon. Credit: William Purnell-Imagn Images

As summer gives way to fall, the college football weather report is becoming more and more windy.

Week 4 is a great example.

Our college football weather models in Bet Labs flagged four windy games across Saturday's card.

Naturally, we know just how to pick these games using data-driven insights.

PRO weather data, available to subscribers, shows which matchups are truly impacted by weather from a betting odds standpoint.

Below, readers can check out four over/under picks for Saturday off the college football weather report utilizing backtested, winning systems developed by our researchers.

Windy games start in the early window and run all day.


College Football Weather Report, 4 Picks for Saturday

On Saturday, it's all about betting the four games under the total. But there's a kicker to Saturday's predictions.

Three of the four model picks suggest betting the full-game under; the other recommends betting the first-half under.

In Week 4, the "High Wind, Low Adjustment" angle flagged three games.

This model reveals a hefty, 57% win rate. When wind speeds range from 9 to 100 mph, passing efficiency drops and field goals are less successful.

The system focuses solely on games with moderate home spreads to avoid blowouts, and totals between 47.5 and 69.5, where weather impacts scoring most.