The Georgia Bulldogs take on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets in Atlanta, Georgia. Kickoff is set for 3:30 p.m. ET on ABC.
Georgia is favored by 13.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -550. The total is set at 59.5 points.
Here’s my Georgia vs. Georgia Tech prediction and college football picks for Saturday, November 28.
Georgia vs Georgia Tech Prediction
- Georgia vs. Georgia Tech Pick: Georgia Tech +14 or Better | Georgia Live
My Georgia Tech vs. Georgia best bet is on the Yellow Jackets to cover, alongside a live bet on the Bulldogs. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page.
Georgia vs Georgia Tech Odds
| Georgia Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-13.5 -115 | 59.5 -110o / -110u | -550 |
| GA Tech Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+13.5 -105 | 59.5 -110o / -110u | +400 |
- Georgia vs Georgia Tech point spread: Georgia -13.5 (-115), Georgia Tech +13 (-105)
- Georgia vs Georgia Tech over/under: 59.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Georgia vs Georgia Tech moneyline: Georgia -550, Georgia Tech +400
Georgia vs Georgia Tech Preview
Georgia Bulldogs Betting Preview
Georgia is done with its SEC schedule. With a 7-1 conference record, the Bulldogs do not control their own destiny for the SEC Championship game. Instead, they need one of Texas A&M or Alabama to lose this week.
The differences between this year’s Bulldogs defense and last year’s are jarring.
Last year’s squad was great against the pass but couldn’t stop the run, which allowed Georgia Tech to walk up and down the field in the 2024 edition of this rivalry, a 44-42 Bulldogs win after eight overtimes.
The Yellow Jackets ran for 260 yards at nearly six yards per attempt, with over 100 coming from quarterback Haynes King.
This year’s defense can’t stop the pass, ranking 78th nationally in EPA Per Pass allowed and 56th in PFF coverage grading.
However, the Bulldogs have proven to be elite against the run.
King and his backfield mate, Jamal Haynes, primarily run power and counter concepts. Georgia ranks mid-FBS in Success Rate allowed against those concepts, but the Bulldogs rank 14th overall in Rushing Success Rate allowed. They rank in the top 15 nationally in broken tackles allowed and the top 10 in rushing explosiveness allowed.
Ultimately, I’m not expecting much from Georgia Tech’s rushing attack, and that’s a problem for the Yellow Jackets, given it’s their primary way of moving the ball down the field.
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Betting Preview
Georgia Tech was win-and-in the ACC Championship if it beat Pitt at home last week. Alas, the Panthers lost, 42-28, behind two interceptions from King.
Georgia Tech now needs plenty of help to make the ACC Championship game. There are two scenarios in which the Yellow Jackets will make it to Charlotte:
- Pitt wins AND Virginia loses AND SMU loses
- Miami wins AND NC State wins AND SMU loses AND Duke loses AND Virginia loses
The way to attack Georgia’s defense is through the air, rather than on the ground. Much of that is due to the fact that the Bulldogs can’t generate a pass rush, ranking 120th nationally in PFF’s grades.
King will have time to operate from a clean pocket, where he’s thrown for nearly 2,000 yards at 9.2 YPA with seven touchdowns, 11 big-time throws, no interceptions and no turnover-worthy plays.
While Georgia Tech ranks in the top 15 nationally in EPA Per Pass and Passing Success Rate, the Yellow Jackets offense is still heavily dependent on the run.
The key question in this game is whether King can march Georgia Tech down the field through the air. Georgia does a good job of preventing explosiveness overall, so King and the Yellow Jackets will have to be methodical.
Even if he can, questions remain regarding Georgia Tech’s red-zone offense.
The Yellow Jackets are arguably the nation’s most conservative red-zone unit, ranking in the top 10 in red-zone scoring but 90th in red-zone touchdown rate. They’re settling for far too many field goals.
Yet, the bigger issue is the defense.
Georgia Tech’s defense is horrific, specifically against the run. The Yellow Jackets rank 120th in Havoc, 115th in PFF tackle grading, 107th in Rushing Success Rate allowed and 115th in EPA Per Rush allowed.
At some point, the Yellow Jackets won't be able to stop Georgia from moving the ball efficiently down the field and scoring.
Georgia vs Georgia Tech Pick, Betting Analysis
Most Bulldog games follow a similar script.
Georgia struggles early before head coach Kirby Smart makes key adjustments. It’s worth noting that in the past three matchups between Smart and Georgia Tech head coach Brent Key, the Yellow Jackets have led after the first quarter.
However, there's a massive difference in the Middle 8 between these two teams. Georgia ranks 17th nationally in Middle 8, while Georgia Tech ranks 121st.
I took Georgia Tech +14 on open and recommend the same before taking Georgia live, likely at the start of the second quarter.
The Action Network Betting Power Ratings projects Georgia as a 14-point favorite, right in line with the market.
Eventually, Georgia Tech’s rush defense will wear down. I would look toward rushing props for the Bulldogs, either for Nate Frazier or Gunner Stockton, for an anytime touchdown.
Picks:
- Georgia Tech +14 or Better · Georgia Live
- Nate Frazier Anytime Touchdown
- Gunner Stockton Anytime Touchdown
