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MACtion Wednesday Odds & Picks: Sharp Data Fuels +285 Prediction

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The Kent State Golden Flashes. Credit: Jeff Lange / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Sharp line movement for MACtion Wednesday produces a +285 pick to lock in — but we're not tailing the pros.

Week 13 is upon us, and Wednesday's the second straight day with MACtion. After covering the smart side for the first round of games on Tuesday, PRO data gives us another way to bet the November 19 matchups.

Miami (OH) vs. Buffalo and Central Michigan vs. Kent State are the two games played Wednesday. Both games kick off at 7 p.m. ET.

Spoiler alert: It's time to bet contrarian.


MACtion Wednesday Odds & Picks: Sharp Data Fuels +285 Prediction

Following sharp money typically offers a solid edge.

A neat system in Bet Labs, however, shows when it's smart to fade the wiseguys — and this model is popping for MACtion Wednesday.

Bettors looking for a savvy pick on Wednesday's college football games should consider getting down on the Kent State moneyline.

Here's why.

Central Michigan vs. Kent State odds opened -7.5 and are up to -9.5. The "Contrarian Underdog" model crafted by Action's Evan Abrams shows that when the spread is between +4 and +13.5, and the line has moved against the underdog by 2+ points throughout the cycle, it's the sweet spot for moneyline upsets.

Kent State, at +285 odds to win outright vs. the Chippewas, makes the cut.

Kent State was thought to be one of the worst FBS programs entering the season. However, new coaching and a little momentum have the Golden Flashes running hot, especially after a win over Akron for the Wagon Wheel.

Need a smart pick for MACtion Wednesday? It's Kent State on the moneyline, backed by PRO data.

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About the Author

Alex began his career as a freelancer before becoming a columnist, reporter, and breaking news writer for FanRag Sports, and later the leading gambling writer at theScore. He joined the Action Network as a senior news editor, handling breaking news and the sports betting market's reactions. Alex also works on Action Network’s PRO projections, transforming subscription-based models into user-friendly content.

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