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NCAA Football Picks Tonight: Model Predicts Sam Houston vs Hawaii

NCAA Football Picks Tonight: Model Predicts Sam Houston vs Hawaii article feature image
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Sep 7, 2024; Orlando, Florida, USA; Sam Houston State Bearkats quarterback Hunter Watson (10). Credit: Mike Watters-Imagn Images

The same model which predicted Texas would struggle against the spread today has another crafty prediction Saturday night of Week 2.

Below, we're digging into trends and picks applying to a trio of games Saturday.

Betting models in PRO and Bet Labs flash whenever teams match certain spots which have historically been favorable. These three games Saturday are a perfect match for Action's "fade" system:

  • San Jose State vs Texas (12 p.m. ET)
  • Missouri State vs. Marshall (6 p.m. ET)
  • Sam Houston vs. Hawaii (11:59 p.m. ET)

Here's a neat angle to apply for Saturday's college football predictions.


NCAA Football Model Picks for Week 2

One of our premium models flagged three teams in a spot Saturday which has typically been a disaster, specifically against the spread.

Picks are scattered all throughout the day and offer a full day of action, so let's dive into it.

Among the games featuring a team to bet against is the 12 p.m. kick in San Jose State vs. Texas. The Longhorns are -36.5 against the spread, following an emotional loss to Ohio State.

Some may argue Texas is due for a get-right game against an inferior opponent; others may caution against laying a big number following last weekend's debacle. The answer?

History shows bettors would be wise fading Texas against the spread and picking San Jose State to cover.

Here's why.

College football teams at home, fresh off a game scoring only single digits, are typically a bad bet to cover the spread when they're favored.