The Texas Longhorns take on the Georgia Bulldogs in Athens, Georgia, on Saturday, Nov. 15. Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET on ABC.
Georgia is favored by 6 points on the spread with a moneyline of -230. Texas, meanwhile, enters as a +6 underdog and is +185 on the moneyline to pull off the upset. The over/under sits at 48.5 total points.
Here’s my Texas vs. Georgia prediction and college football picks for Saturday, November 15.
Texas Longhorns vs Georgia Bulldogs Prediction, Picks
- Texas vs. Georgia Pick: Over 49 · Texas 1Q Moneyline (+150)
My Georgia vs. Texas best bet is on both teams to go over the total and the Longhorns to win the first quarter. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page.
Texas vs Georgia Odds, Lines, Spread
| Texas Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Point Spread | Over/Under | ML |
+4.5 -108 | 49.5 -110o / -110u | +160 |
| Georgia Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Point Spread | Over/Under | ML |
-4.5 -112 | 49.5 -110o / -110u | -192 |
- Texas vs Georgia Point Spread: Georgia -4.5, Texas +4.5
- Texas vs Georgia Total: 49.5
- Texas vs Georgia ML: Texas ML +160, Georgia ML -192
Texas vs Georgia NCAAF Preview
Texas Longhorns
Texas head coach Steve Sarkisian came up empty twice against Georgia a season ago, once in Austin and the next in the SEC Championship game.
Texas will look for double revenge in a game that should be dominated by the defenses.
The Longhorns have been fantastic against the rush in terms of high-level analytics, ranking top-20 in defensive efficiency, Line Yards and Stuff Rate.
A closer look at run concepts shows an inefficiency against inside zone read, compiling a low 42% Success Rate.
Arch Manning has busted out the passing game in two previous victories over Mississippi State and Vanderbilt.
The quarterback threw for over 300 yards and three touchdowns in each game and hasn't committed a turnover-worthy play since the Red River Rivalry win over Oklahoma.
The problem with Texas continues to be a lack of execution in scoring position. The Longhorns rank 110th in Offensive Finishing Drives.
Texas generated 4.1 points per scoring attempt in its most recent game against Mississippi State, indicating that it could find success against a Georgia defense that's 116th in Finishing Drives allowed.
Georgia Bulldogs
Georgia has consistently started games slowly over the past two seasons, most recently putting up just a field goal in the first quarter against Mississippi State.
The scripted portion for offensive coordinator Mike Bobo hasn't produced results, but the offense continues to be one of the best in creating quality drives and executing on scoring attempts.
Georgia ranks top-15 in Quality Drives and Finishing Drives, while also sitting third in offensive momentum killer, which measures fumbles, missed field goals, sacks, fourth-down turnovers and penalties. Georgia comes in just behind Ohio State and Indiana in that category.
After producing national title-caliber defenses that dominated opponents, head coach Kirby Smart is looking for answers.
The Bulldogs are bottom-15 in Havoc, failing to produce any kind of pass rush. The nickel defense never sends more than four rushers, leaning on a rank of second in PFF tackling and 15th in broken tackles allowed, per Sports Info Solutions.
Special teams also deserve a mention, as the Bulldogs are the top overall team, per SP+. Georgia comes into the game as the top punting team in the nation and ranks third in kickoff defense.
Texas vs Georgia NCAAF Week 12 Pick
Texas lost both games against Georgia in 2024 despite allowing only 4.1 yards per play and scooping five turnovers.
The loss was more about offensive play-calling in scoring opportunities, racking up an abysmal 1.8 points per trip in more than a half-dozen possessions that crossed the Georgia 40-yard line.
The Longhorns had the lead during the first quarter and first half of the SEC Championship, yet another win when fading Georgia early in games.
Texas currently has a +4.3 scoring differential in the first quarter of games in 2025, well beyond Georgia at -0.4 in its first quarters.
Action Network's betting power ratings call for Georgia to win this game by a touchdown, but no pregame bet can be made with the expectation of being behind early.
A live bet is always recommended on Georgia with respect to the Middle 8, as the Bulldogs rank 24th compared to the Longhorns at 84th.
However, there may be room for a wager on the over with a projection of 53. Both defenses are at a disadvantage from a Finishing Drives perspective. Texas has a massive edge in pass explosives against the back end of the Georgia defense.
Pick: Over 49 · Texas 1Q Moneyline (+150)
Texas vs Georgia Trend to Know
