The Green Bay Packers (2-1) and Dallas Cowboys (1-2) are to set meet on Sunday Night Football on Sept. 28. Kickoff is set for 8:20 p.m. ET from AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. The game will broadcast live on NBC.
Cowboys vs Packers odds have the Packers as -355 moneyline favorites and Cowboys as +278 underdogs. The game total is 46.5. The Packers are 6.5-point favorites on the spread (Packers -6.5).
Continue below to find my Cowboys vs Packers prediction and Sunday Night Football picks — plus the latest odds, SNF betting trends, injury reports and more.
Cowboys vs Packers Prediction, Odds, Spread, Over/Under, Moneyline
| Packers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-6.5 -110 | 46.5 -110o / -110u | -355 |
| Cowboys Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+6.5 -110 | 46.5 -110o / -110u | +278 |
- Cowboys vs Packers Spread: Packers -6.5, Cowboys +6.5
- Cowboys vs Packers Over/Under: 46.5
- Cowboys vs Packers Moneyline: Packers -355, Cowboys +278
Cowboys vs Packers Betting Trends
Sunday Night Football Trends
- Since 2009, Green Bay is 10-1 straight up (SU) and 9-2 against the spread (ATS) against the Cowboys
- Matt LaFleur is 20-12 SU and 19-13 ATS after a SU loss as coach of the Packers
Cowboys vs Packers Preview, SNF Prediction
The Dallas defense has been dreadful through three games. The Cowboys have surrendered 30.6 points per game and are 31st in yards per play allowed. They simply cannot get off the field on 3rd down.
Teams are converting 53% of their 3rd downs against them, which makes them the worst third-down defense in football. Green Bay just happens to be one of the better teams on the all-important down, converting 47% of the time, the 2nd best in the league.
The Cowboys haven’t been terrible at stopping the run to open the season, limiting opposing running backs to just 3.5 yards per carry.
It’s the passing defense that continues to be a major weakness. Dallas ranks 32nd in completion percentage over expectation, allowed at an astounding 12.2% over the normal expected rate.
Teams are completing the ball with ease, and this defense struggles to limit yards after the catch, ranking 22nd in yards allowed after the catch on a per-completion basis.
Cornerbacks Trevon Diggs and Kaiir Elam grade out as the 84th and 76th best in coverage grade, respectively, according to Pro Football Focus out of the 99 qualifying cornerbacks graded this season.
Not only do the Cowboys lack the personnel on defense to defend the pass, but they are also highly predictable because of it. Defensive coordinator Matt Eberflus has called a zone defense on more than 93% of their defensive snaps in coverage, the highest mark in the league.
Matt LaFleur and the Packers’ offensive staff know exactly what to prepare for heading into Sunday night.
The Cowboys also struggle to generate a pass rush. They rank 26th in pressure rate this season, getting absolutely shredded whenever they fail to affect the opposing passer.
According to Sharp Football analysis, quarterbacks have a perfect 158.3 passer rating when throwing from a clean pocket against the Cowboys, averaging 14.4 yards per attempt.
