Our cutting-edge PRO touchdown predictor highlighted eight TD picks for Sunday of NFL Week 11, all +300 or better.
Top picks from expert PRO Projections feature a +900 tight end, two running backs at +600 or higher nobody's talking about and more. Picks run from the early 1 p.m. window through Sunday Night Football.
If you've been following data-driven touchdown picks powered by our experts, I hope you're as giddy as I am for another week of premium selections.
For those joining the ride, let's jump into what's becoming my favorite NFL betting market, especially on huge Sunday slates: Anytime touchdown picks from Action PRO models.
NFL Touchdown Picks and Expert TD Predictions Sunday Week 11
Last week, the Action Analytics Team engineering PRO TD projections kept the train rolling: Tanner Hudson (+1000) scored on Thursday Night Football; PRO's top Week 10 edge, John Metchie III (+1000), delivered on Sunday Night Football, notching his first career NFL score.
What else is there to say?
These are the top Week 11 touchdown picks from Action PRO predictive models, above the recommended grade of 3.5%, starting with the strongest edge overall.
NFL Touchdown Prediction No. 1 for Sunday
Sunday's biggest edge to score is Broncos WR Devaughn Vele. His best odds are +425 to score at BetMGM.
We predict the Utah Utes product to score 30% of the time vs. the Falcons Sunday, for a fair price of closer to +233. The rookie hauled in a TD pass from Bo Nix last week from the Chiefs, and is the leading edge from Action PRO TD models for Week 11.
PRO Projections Pick: Devaughn Vele Touchdown (+425)
NFL Touchdown Prediction No. 2 for Sunday
Here's an under-the-radar player in the early window: Miami RB Jaylen Wright.
Expert Sean Koerner talked up the rookie Dolphins running back, noting he's passed up Raheem Mostert on the depth chart, and started eating into carries last week.
Wright is +650 to score (DraftKings), implying a 13.3% chance. We are way off that, giving Wright a +354 fair price to score vs. the Raiders.
PRO Projections Pick: Jaylen Wright Touchdown (+650)
NFL Touchdown Prediction No. 3 for Sunday
PRO Projections were all over Tanner Hudson to score last week. The Bengals TE makes the cut again!
He's +900 to score at FanDuel, meaning the market's giving him about a 10% shot to score. Action PRO models give Hudson a 17% chance to score against the Chargers on Sunday Night Football
PRO Projections Pick: Tanner Hudson Touchdown (+900)
NFL Touchdown Prediction No. 4 for Sunday
Sunday Night Footbal produces another touchdown pick: Chargers TE Will Dissly.
He's +425 at MGM as the best odds, but our NFL experts tab Dissly for a TD about 30% of the time.
Dissly is getting more playing time and has usurped Hayden Hurst for the No. 1 spot. It's another solid look for SNF.
PRO Projections Pick: Will Dissly Touchdown (+425)
NFL Touchdown Prediction No. 5 for Sunday
One player priced all over the place is Vikings RB Cam Akers. He's +600 at FanDuel, which winds up a chunky edge stacked up to our odds.
That price implies Akers gets in the endzone about 14% of the time. We're much higher, at a 22% chance vs. the Titans.
PRO Projections Pick: Cam Akers Touchdown (+600)
NFL Touchdown Prediction No. 6 for Sunday
Saints TE Juwan Johnson was a pick last week, and he's a projection edge again Sunday of Week 11 vs. the Browns.
His best odds are +450 at bet365, but our fair price for Johnson to score at any point vs. the Browns is more like +280.
PRO Projections Pick: Juwan Johnson Touchdown (+450)
NFL Touchdown Prediction No. 7 for Sunday
Jets RB Braelon Allen to score against the Colts is a great bet Sunday. His odds are a market-best +300 at Caesars. We give Allen a 32% chance, for a fair number of +212.