Red Wings vs. Wild Odds & Betting Predictions - February 26, 2025

@rsura_

Sura

After beating the Red Wings 4-3 in overtime on Saturday, I think it’s a good time to fade the Minnesota Wild. First off let’s look at all the demoralizing factors going against the Wild here: Kaprizov’s injury timeline has increased, Hartman just got suspended 8 games, and Gustavsson makes his first start after getting pulled and sat in the 4 Nations Face-off. You then look at that game on Saturday. The Red Wings outplayed the Wild at even strength, Cam Talbot just had an awful game. I see things going differently with the Wild at home. Filip Gustavsson should draw the start after Fleury played on Saturday. Gustavsson had a hot start but has been struggling since the start of December. Gustavsson’s home numbers have been down all year - .907 SV%, 3.05 GAA. Not to mention, his home penalty kill numbers are near the bottom of the league. Gus owns a .816 SV%, and .737 high danger save %, which ranks 28th out of 34 goalies who have played at least 50 mins on the penalty kill at home this season. This is bad news for Gus Bus considering the Red Wings have the 2nd best ranked powerplay and the Wild have the third worst ranked penalty kill. If the Red Wings can play the same game at even strength that they did on Saturday, I’d find it hard to see the Wild overcome the Wings in this one for a second straight game.