The sports calendar rarely slows down this time of year, and as long as it stays packed, we'll keep delivering best bets.
There are a plethora of sports on television today, and we've got bets for all of them. Of course, you can find any number of betting odds or picks on our website, but if you want a shortcut to the best expert picks for Wednesday, March 11, you've come to the right place.
Here are today's best bets, including expert picks and predictions for Wednesday, March 11.
Today's Best Bets, Expert Parlay Picks
NBA Best Bets
The Cavaliers take a lot of three-pointers and make a league-average amount, but struggle to defend from beyond the arc.
The Magic take almost none and make even fewer, but defend it well.
Orlando’s inability to shoot means the Magic need to get to the rim, and that’s a strength of the Cavaliers.
The Cavs’ baseline offense should be enough to get this win as they continue to pursue homecourt advantage in the first and second rounds of the playoffs.
I’ll lay the points with Cleveland tonight.
NCAAB Best Bets
In the Mountain West Tournament, Air Force faces off against Nevada from the Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas.
I'm on the total, and it isn't just because we're dealing with a team that's 3-28.
In fact, location matters for this one, as I have a Bet Labs Sports Insights system — "Stadium Unders" — that likes under 139.5 in this tilt out West.
This system has a superb 26% return on investment (ROI) all-time and a 19% ROI (64-39 record) this season alone, which means the value is solid.
In college basketball, games played in specific arenas (in this case, the Thomas & Mack Center) often trend under due to consistent environmental and stylistic factors tied to the venue rather than neutral-court unfamiliarity.
Many of these stadiums — both home and neutral — feature deeper backdrops, unique lighting, and court setups that slow the pace and limit shooting efficiency.
Teams playing in these environments — especially those coming off an under in their previous outing (Nevada and Air Force just played to an under in their last meeting) — tend to continue that pattern as coaches emphasize defense and control over tempo.
Across multiple seasons, these venues have shown a reliable tendency for lower-scoring outcomes, making the under a favorable position in stadiums where shooting rhythm and offensive flow are historically harder to sustain.
World Baseball Classic Best Bets
Mexico has the rest advantage, and much better bullpen quality and depth. Additionally, Mexico was off Tuesday while Italy used six arms in relief to seal its win over the United States, after deploying six relievers (including many of the same arms) in their weekend win over Great Britain. Their bullpen is MLB-caliber, but Mexico probably has four of the five most effective relief pitchers in this matchup.
Italy has the better starting pitcher, as I prefer Aaron Nola (4.08 FIP, 16.9% K-BB%) to Javier Assad (4.28 FIP, 10.9% K-BB%), and the lineups are fairly comparable; I only project Mexico about 11 points better in wOBA compared to Italy, which I believe has more team power.
In a one-game format, where teams are constantly changing pitchers, I'm going to lean toward the team likelier to hit more homers; that datapoint has led to a near 80% win rate in MLB playoff games. It's difficult to sustain a rally against good pitching, especially when you don't get more than one look against any pitcher, so homers tend to win out in tighter contests.
My model has Mexico at just -155 favorites (60.7% implied), even while giving them full credit for home-field advantage, but the market is more than 10% higher at -285 (74% implied), leaving value on the underdog Italians once again.
I would bet Italy down to around +170 if you don't have any futures tied to them.
Champions League Best Bets
Reigning European champion Paris Saint-Germain will aim to avenge the 3-0 defeat it suffered against Chelsea in last summer's Club World Cup final. We can expect Luis Enrique’s side to control possession, much like it did in that loss, where it held the ball 66% of the time. The key difference this time must be efficiency; PSG generated just 0.53 expected goals (xG) in that final, a number it must improve upon.
While PSG has been shaky at home in this competition, with just two wins in five matches at the Parc des Princes, Chelsea has its own struggles away from home. The Blues have recorded only one road win in the Champions League this season, and will likely adopt a counter-attack strategy, a tactic that has brought recent success.
While PSG possesses a formidable attack, signs of defensive frailty have appeared recently, especially in Champions League play. The last five encounters have averaged 3.2 goals, and four of those five games saw both teams score. This historical data, combined with the current team form, makes a wager on the total an attractive option.
NHL Best Bets
Action PRO projects Flyers defenseman Nick Seeler for 1.98 blocks against the Capitals tonight, giving us an interesting 4.8% edge against the market when compared to his current prop line of over/under 1.5.
He has 1.9 blocks per game this season, with a total of 113 across 63 contests so far.
Against the Capitals, he has recorded six blocked shots in their past two matchups. On February 25, Seeler blocked four shots, and on February 3, he had two.
He's also gone over this 1.5 line in eight of his past 13 games.
Let's back him tonight on his blocks line versus Washington.
