Team USA enters Monday's highly anticipated Olympic showdown against Canada with prediction markets giving the Americans a 64% chance of victory.
The market reflects significant confidence in the U.S. women's hockey team following their dominant performance against Switzerland, with 145,319 contracts already traded on the USA outcome compared to just 33,917 on Canada. The Americans are priced at $0.63-$0.64 (63-64% probability), while Canada sits at $0.37-$0.38 (37-38% chance), indicating traders believe recent form favors the Stars and Stripes.
If you also want to get in on the action, Kalshi offers trading on a variety of markets. Kalshi is offered in most states and allows users to make predictions across several unique markets, including sports, politics, and entertainment.
USA vs Canada Predictions
ESPN and NBC are calling this matchup "one of the greatest rivalries in sports," with both teams having circled this date since the 2022 Olympics ended. Team USA swept Canada in the 2025 Rivalry Series just a few months ago.
"We hate each other so much in the most respectful way," U.S. player Laila Edwards told NBC Sports.
The market's strong lean toward Team USA appears justified by their recent form, including a victory over Switzerland that showcased the USA's offensive depth and defensive structure.
With nearly 171,000 contracts open across both outcomes, Monday's clash represents one of the most heavily traded Olympic hockey markets, further illustrating the global attention this rivalry commands. The 64% probability suggests traders believe the USA's recent dominance over their northern neighbors will continue on hockey's biggest stage.
What is Kalshi
Different than a traditional sportsbook and available in most states, Kalshi allows users to make predictions across several unique markets, including sports, entertainment, elections, and even weather.
Kalshi operates on a contract-based system where users buy "contracts" (priced between 1-99 cents) based on whether they believe a specific event will happen. The price of each contract fluctuates in real time based on market sentiment and like the stock market, traders can sell positions early to lock in profits (or minimize losses).
