Panthers are the highest scoring low-major in the first half at 43 ppg and lead by an average of 10 ppg at the break. - Asheville is a slow-starting team, they like to play half-court grinders, and they don’t share the ball well (6th-worst AST-To-FGM). They’re also coming off an OT period last night right into a noon tip.  - High Point leads the nation in turnover margin and Asheville doens’t have the size to make up for it on the glass - Panthers led the Bulldogs by 15 and 13 at half in the two regular season meetings.

- Greg Gard has been a big game hunter with top ten wins over Michigan, Illinois and Michigan State, two of those on the road.  - Boilermakers have lost three of five, and that includes a double-digit comeback at Northwestern. - Since mid-February, Purdue’s defense has fallen off a cliff (165th Torvik). Everyone is getting open looks from deep and making them (41.2%, 337th). No one takes and makes more triples in the B1G Ten than Wisconsin (5th nationally). - This line is inflated because of their meeting in Madison when the Boilers beat them by 16. It was a 4-for-25 shooting night from deep for the Badgers, their worst of the season. Boyd and Blackwell can catch fire from deep.

* Gerry Mac’s backcourt is the best in the MAAC, giving the Saints over 30 ppg from Doty and Shoats * Siena was far and away the highest-rated offense in conference play, and they do it with twos…one of the lowest 3PM rates (5.3, 352nd) * This is key because the rims are unforgiving at the Boardwalk Hall, historically shooting is close to 30% from long range at this venue, sitting at 32% this year on a small sample * First game for both teams, and the Mount needs more three to fall to keep pace * This line is tighter than I projected it at (-5.5) and I think a big part is that Mt. St. Mary’s has been running hot on defense, 12th in low major defensive momentum per Haslem. But a lot of that has been an underwhelming schedule.

My second favorite Redhawks can muck this thing up