Chris Raybon

Chris Raybon's Picks

Today
Pending
Jalen Milroe o38.5-122
1u
84
22
K.Walker u84.5 Rush Yds-114
SEA
SEA Team Abbreviation@NE Team Abbreviation
NE
1u
02/08 11:30 PM
NE D 3.2 YPC, 52.8 yd/g to RB in 15g with Milton Williams. Walker 19-62 last week vs LAR D allowing 4.1 YPC, 87.1 YPG to RB.
144
33
D.Maye o35.5 Rush Yds-114
SEA
SEA Team Abbreviation@NE Team Abbreviation
NE
1u
02/08 11:30 PM
6.6 car, 38.9 rush yd (5.9 YPC) w/ 41+ in 4-of-7g post-bye vs. 6.2-24.5 (3.9) w/ 31 or less in 10-of-13g pre-bye. SEA D 6.5% scramble rate allowed 6th-highest. Maye 10.4% scramble rate with rookie LT Will Campbell + rookie LG Jared Wilson both active vs. 8.7% when one/both miss.
273
38
R.Shaheed u5.5 Rush Yds-115
SEA
SEA Team Abbreviation@NE Team Abbreviation
NE
1u
02/08 11:30 PM
2 or less in 16 of 20g overall, 5 or less in 7 of 11 with SEA. 5 carries in 1st 4g with SEA, but 5 in his last 7g including 3g with 0 carries. Only 13 of 29 (44.8%) career carries have gone for more than 5, including only 5 of 12 this season (41.7%)
161
26
D.Maye Player To Have Most Rushing Yards Yes+750
SEA
SEA Team Abbreviation@NE Team Abbreviation
NE
1u
02/08 11:30 PM
SEA D #1 rush DVOA, 3.6 YPC, 73.5 YPG to RB. NE D 3.2 YPC, 52.8 yd/g to RB in 15g with Milton Williams. Maye 3g of 62+ including 65 in CC, 66 in WC could be enough
179
30
T.Henderson 50+ Rushing Yards Yes+950
SEA
SEA Team Abbreviation@NE Team Abbreviation
NE
1u
02/08 11:30 PM
53+ rush yd in 9-of-20 (45%), 32 or less in the rest. 4 carries of 52+ so not dead even if usage doesn’t rebound.
162
24
D.Maye o0.5 Int-120
SEA
SEA Team Abbreviation@NE Team Abbreviation
NE
1u
02/08 11:30 PM
INT in all 3 losses and 9-of-13g (69%) w/ 24+ pass attempts. SEA D INT in 12-of-19g (63%), 2.9% INT% (8th), 4.2% TO-worthy (6th).
182
26
E.Arroyo o0.5 Recs-110
SEA
SEA Team Abbreviation@NE Team Abbreviation
NE
1u
02/08 11:30 PM
Has been TE2 in every game active and bet voids if inactive. 1+ rec in 9-of-13 (69%) active.
73
18
D.Douglas o9.5 Rec Yds-110
SEA
SEA Team Abbreviation@NE Team Abbreviation
NE
1u
02/08 11:30 PM
1.8 rec, 29.6 yd, 10+ rec yd in 12-of-16g (75%) since Oct after 5 rec, 13 yards total (3.3/g) in 4g in Sep. 10.0% TarMS tied/trailing vs 8.4% leading.
144
17
J.Smith-Njigba Anytime TD Scorer Yes-105
SEA
SEA Team Abbreviation@NE Team Abbreviation
NE
1u
02/08 11:30 PM
TD in 10-of-19 (52.6%). NE D 22 pass TD (85%), 4 rush TD (15%) in 15g w/ Milton Williams. 70% of rec TD allowed by NE have gone to WRs.
145
22
C.Kupp u3.5 Recs-160
SEA
SEA Team Abbreviation@NE Team Abbreviation
NE
1u
02/08 11:30 PM
3 or less in 12-of-18g (66.7%). NE D 4.9 sched-adj Tar/g to WR2s T-4th-fewest.
105
12
K.Walker u73.5 Rush Yds-110
SEA
SEA Team Abbreviation@NE Team Abbreviation
NE
1u
02/08 11:30 PM
#SundaySixPack NE D 3.2 YPC, 52.8 yd/g to RB in 15g with Milton Williams. Walker 19-62 last week vs LAR D allowing 4.1 YPC, 87.1 YPG to RB.
104
21
D.Maye o36.5 Rush Yds-117
SEA
SEA Team Abbreviation@NE Team Abbreviation
NE
1u
02/08 11:30 PM
#SundaySixPack 6.6 car, 38.9 rush yd (5.9 YPC) w/ 41+ in 4-of-7g post-bye vs. 6.2-24.5 (3.9) w/ 31 or less in 10-of-13g pre-bye. SEA D 6.5% scramble rate allowed 6th-highest. Maye 10.4% scramble rate with rookie LT Will Campbell + rookie LG Jared Wilson both active vs. 8.7% when one/both miss.
54
21
SEA u106.5 Rush Yds-106
SEA
SEA Team Abbreviation@NE Team Abbreviation
NE
1u
02/08 11:30 PM
NE D 80.6 rush YPG in 15g w/ Milton Williams. NE D 87 or less rush yd in 11-of-15g (73%) w/ Williams, 111+ in 5-of-5g w/o.
58
13
K. Walker No TD+150
SEA
SEA Team Abbreviation@NE Team Abbreviation
NE
1u
02/08 11:30 PM
NE D 1.2% rush TD rate in 15g w/ DT Milton Williams (4.7% w/o), including 2 TD on 262 RB carries (0.8%).
87
13
J. Smith-Njigba Super Bowl LX MVP +550
SEA
SEA Team Abbreviation@NE Team Abbreviation
NE
1u
02/08 11:30 PM
If SEA wins and everyone lands around median outcome, JSN wins (possibly even w/o TD if game is low-scoring enough). Prop-implied stat lines: JSN 7 rec, 93 yd, 1 TD Darnold 20-29, 228 yd, 2 TD, 1 INT JSN projects to account for ~40% of Darnold’s pass yardage.
96
24
Futures
Buffalo Bills+750
2025 NFL Superbowl - To Win
1u
Better path to #1 seed than KC, BAL. Over wins in 7/8 with McDermott so high floor, unrealized ceiling. Teams +600 to +999 to win SB win 18.6% of time vs 12.3% implied odds (+6.3%) since 2002.
93
17
Baltimore Ravens+775
2025 NFL Superbowl - To Win
0.9u
Teams +600 to +999 to win SB win 18.6% of time vs 12.3% implied odds (+6.3%) since 2002.
77
15
Kansas City Chiefs+850
2025 NFL Superbowl - To Win
0.9u
SB win in 3 of 7 since Mahomes took over, SB appearance in 5 of 7. Tough first half schedule so opportunity to add more in-season.
61
15
San Francisco 49ers+2200
2025 NFL Superbowl - To Win
0.5u
Last 9 Super Bowls feat a combo of Mahomes (5), Brady (4), PHI (3), McVay (2), Burrow (1)...and 3 Shanahan offenses. Efficient QB (Purdy 8.9 career YPA), 8 draft picks in top 160, Saleh back at DC, #1 easiest SOS. SF last 6: 2 last place finishes, to NFC Championship Ls, 2 Super Bowl Ls. This sets up as a year where the 49ers let a season ruin their injury plans.
61
18
Los Angeles Rams+2200
2025 NFL Superbowl - To Win
0.5u
Last 7 Super Bowls have featured some combo of Mahomes (5), Brady (2), PHI (2), Shanahan (2), Burrow (1)...and McVay (2). McVay/Stafford/LAR the only non-KC/non-Brady/non-PHI SB winner since 2016 (9 seasons).
53
17
Green Bay Packers+2500
2025 NFL Superbowl - To Win
0.5u
GB went 0-6 vs DET/MIN/PHI and 11-1 vs everyone else. DET/MIN/PHI got worse, GB got better. Love top-5 in QBR (69.3) and NYA (7.50) in a "down" year, defense went from No. 27 to No. 7 in DVOA, and Alexander loss will be overrated (hasn't appeared in more than 7g since 2022, 2 INT over that span).
67
16
Past Performance
Yesterday0-0-00%
0.00u
Last 7 Days0-0-00%
0.00u
Last 30 Days13-9-059%
2.20u
All Time2186-1772-6954%
192.44u
Top Leagues
NFL1048-831-3355%
132.22u
NBA782-632-2454%
54.09u
NHL108-86-355%
19.74u
MLB61-45-455%
5.30u
UFC5-2-071%
1.73u
World Cup1-1-050%
0.50u
NCAAF1-1-050%
-0.09u
UFL5-8-233%
-3.77u
NCAAB155-156-349%
-23.07u