Joe Dellera
8K
Total Bets
33.1K
Followers
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 62-80-9 (-1.05u)
Joe Dellera's Picks
Today
V.Wembanyama o3.5 Blk-150
MEM
62
-
64
SAS
1u
End 2nd
🖐️ 👽 Wemby just had EIGHT against the Grizzlies and he’s averaging 4 on the season. There is reason to believe this is replicable as well.
The Grizzlies take a large percentage of their shots either at the rim or from short mid-range, two areas where Wemby is in prime position to rack up blocks. Their opponents record the seventh-most Blocks in the league.
This aligns with how he’s played against Memphis before. He’s averaged 6 blocks against them in 5 games with 8, 4, 3, 7, and 8 in two seasons.
I like him to get at least 4 and will sprinkle 5+ (+130).
73
16
V.Wembanyama o4.5 Blk+130
MEM
62
-
64
SAS
0.25u
End 2nd
58
10
A.Reaves o6.5 Ast-135
BKN
15
-
15
LAL
1u
1st 4:28
The Lakers play the Nets on Friday night in a game where they should not have difficulty scoring the basketball. The Nets have the fifth-worst Defense in the NBA and they are allowing the ninth-most Assists per game.
Austin Reaves has been awesome since Dlo was traded away. In 8 games without him this season he is averaging 8.8 assists per game and has 7+ in 6/8.
This line at 6.5 is a bit low - I expect a big game from Reaves dishing the basketball against this porous Nets’ defense.
105
21
NYK -4.5-110
MIN
116
-
99
NYK
0.5u
FINAL 1/18
64
15
J.Randle o2.5 TOs-160
MIN
116
-
99
NYK
0.31u
FINAL 1/18
40
9
J.Randle o3.5 TOs+145
MIN
116
-
99
NYK
1u
FINAL 1/18
16
8
3-WAY PARLAY+203
0.15u
https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/timberwolves-vs-knicks-prediction-odds-parlay-pick-for-friday-january-17
43
10
M.Williams o15.5 Pts-110
CHA
125
-
123
CHI
0.91u
FINAL 1/18
Best Bets: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-best-bets-today-predictions-picks-odds-for-friday-january-17
Line has moved a bit since publish, but 16.5 is fine
78
12
Pending
Xavier Worthy 200+ Playoff Receiving Yards+1100
0.5u
122
10
Jared Goff Most Playoff Passing Yards+600
0.2u
12
7
Travis Kelce Most Playoff Rec TDs+1200
0.25u
13
8
Kelce 3+ Rec TDs in Playoffs+1000
0.15u
150
15
Derrick Henry 3+ rush TDs in playoffs+240
0.5u
10
Derrick Henry 5+ rush TDs in playoffs+1700
0.1u
9
🌟 Karl-Anthony Towns to be an Eastern Conference All Star+240
1u
I'm expecting a big bump from KAT on the offensive side of the ball as he returns to the Center position. It should dramatically impact his spacing and his shot profile while also seeing a bump in rebounds not playing alongside Gobert.
Couple that with the NY Boost and the comments surrounding Embiid, Paul George, etc regarding their health/health management there are multiple outs for him to get there.
I love that players designated as a replacement will also be graded as winners.
34
19
Jalen Williams to be a Western Conference All Star-110
1u
Aligned with @TurveyBets
19
12
Julius Randle 5+ Assists per game+100
1u
27
14
Jalen Brunson o6.5 Assists per Game-115
1u
40
14
Chris Paul over 6.9 Assists per game-115
1u
22
14
LaMelo Ball over 3.3 3s per Game-130
1u
22
12
Victor Wembanyama o11.5 Rebounds per Game-110
1u
Via @TurveyBets
32
13
Luka Doncic over 9.2 Assists per Game-110
1u
Via @TurveyBets
23
14
Michael Porter Jr over 2.8 3s per Game-115
1u
This is my favorite one
15
13
Michael Porter Jr over 2.8 3s per Game - 24/25 Regular Season-115
1.5u
Relogging, not doubling down.
The Denver Nuggets will be adjusting to life without KCP this season and I expect a boost for MPJ.
MPJ has averaged 2.7, 3.0, and 2.8 3s per game in the three healthy seasons he’s played in despite the Nuggets playing at a Bottom 6 Pace in the league in each of those seasons (per NBA Advanced Stats).
There’s reason to believe in a change here with the acquisition of Russell Westbrook along with the injection of Christian Braun or Julian Strawther into the starting lineup instead of KCP. This is a significantly faster and more athletic rotation and Denver will be able to play at an overall faster Pace. Further, those players are not nearly as good as KCP from shooting beyond the arc. MPJ will need to absorb a greater number of 3 point attempts to maintain the team’s spacing. He is a deadeye shooter with a 41.0% mark from behind the arc throughout his career.
Even if we see a decline in efficiency due to an uptick in volume, 2.8 3s per game is too low for MPJ.
I’ll take over 2.8 3s per game.
19
14
Ja Morant Season Assists Leader+13000
0.1u
Discussed on Buckets
19
8
Lamelo Ball Season Assists Leader+4000
0.1u
20
10
JALEN WILLIAMS TO AVERAGE 23+ PPG, JALEN WILLIAMS TO AVERAGE 4+ APG +350
1u
Team Specials on DK
- NO Giddey this year and they replaced him with lower usage guys in Caruso and Hartenstein.
- In 2 games w/o Giddey, Williams averaged 22.5 ppg
- Mins w/ and w/o Giddey last season
- 25.554 points per 100 poss w/ Giddey
- 35.029 w/o Giddey
- About half an assist bump w/o Giddey and averaged 3.5 per game last year
23
13
V. WEMBANYAMA TO AVERAGE 23+ PPG, V. WEMBANYAMA TO AVERAGE 12+ RPG+265
0.5u
17
9
Victor Wembanyama to avg 5+ Blocks per Game+370
0.25u
Under player averages
Averaged 4.455 post ASB last season
21
10
V. WEMBANYAMA TO AVERAGE 25+ PPG, C. PAUL TO AVERAGE 8+ APG, SA SPURS TO WIN 40+ GAMES+800
0.12u
22
9
V. WEMBANYAMA TO LEAD THE LEAGUE IN RPG, SA SPURS TO WIN 35+ GAMES +1500
0.1u
19
12
Luka DONCIC TO AVERAGE 10+ RPG, L. DONCIC TO AVERAGE 10+ APG+1000
0.1u
Luka averaged this post ASB last season
24
12
KAT 22+ ppg +200
0.25u
🎙️ Discussed on Cash That Podcast
12
8
KAT 24+ ppg +500
0.1u
17
9
Michael Porter Jr 20+ ppg+475
0.1u
Discussed on Cash That Podcast
20
10
Andre Drummond Regular Season Rebound Leader+7500
0.1u
With you @TurveyBets
24
11
KAT Regular Season Rebound Leader+5500
0.1u
26
10
LeBron James to average 8+ Rebounds per Game+500
0.25u
19
12
JALEN WILLIAMS TO AVERAGE 20+ PPG, OKC THUNDER TO WIN THE CHAMPIONSHIP (+10000000 DK)
1u
Team Specials on DK
- This is a “free” boost on OKC to win the title in my opinion, he averaged 19.1 last season primarily w/ Giddey and if he DOES NOT average 20+ ppg, it would dramatically affect my opinion of OKC anyway
***- This is how I'm betting OKC to win the title***
25
13
Mike Budenholzer NBA Coach of the Year+1400
0.25u
15
Futures
Golden State Warriors o41.5-110
2024-25 NBA Regular Season - Total Wins
1u
Bet on 7/16
13
Boston Celtics u58.5-110
2024-25 NBA Regular Season - Total Wins
0.5u
45
12
Orlando Magic u47.5-110
2024-25 NBA Regular Season - Total Wins
1u
Bet on 7/16 - discussed on Buckets
46
13
Memphis Grizzlies o45.5-115
2024-25 NBA Regular Season - Total Wins
1.5u
Bet on 7/16 - discussed on Buckets
37
15
Keegan Murray+10000
2024-25 NBA Most Improved Player
0.1u
🎙️ Discussed on the Cash That Podcast
Bet on 8/21
61
18
Memphis Grizzlies o49.5+150
2024-25 NBA Regular Season - Total Wins
0.25u
30
8
Memphis Grizzlies o54.5+600
2024-25 NBA Regular Season - Total Wins
0.1u
27
8
Mitchell Robinson+30000
2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year
0.1u
I am ready to get hurt again, and by I, I mean Mitch
33
17
Bennedict Mathurin+2500
2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year
0.5u
Play down to +1500
I like Mathurin's opportunity here as a guy that plays primarily off the bench. He's a microwave scorer and even though he's coming off of injury, he can easily score 17-18 ppg this season. He had better splits post ASG and at home, those are things that tend to regulate as players get more seasoned and watch more tape.
25
13
Payton Pritchard+10000
2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year
0.05u
For Pritchard, he continues to improve and Boston just destroys teams. He could sneakily score even 13 ppg this year and that's assuming perfect health from Boston who is coming off a Championship. It's worth a sprinkle.
20
12
San Antonio Spurs o39.5+200
2024-25 NBA Regular Season - Total Wins
0.25u
Discussed on Cash That Podcast
21
9
Bogdan Bogdanovic+15000
2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year
0.1u
11/18
32
12
Zach Edey+5500
2024-25 NBA Rookie of the Year
0.15u
12/14
28
15
Tyrese Maxey+2500
2024-25 NBA Clutch Player of the Year
0.5u
1/15
13
11
Past Performance | |||
---|---|---|---|
Yesterday | 6-2-0 | 75% | 2.28u |
Last 7 Days | 19-19-1 | 49% | 2.64u |
Last 30 Days | 62-80-9 | 41% | -1.05u |
All Time | 3556-4267-139 | 45% | 214.38u |
Top Leagues | |||
---|---|---|---|
NBA | 2569-3147-116 | 44% | 179.28u |
WNBA | 153-156-2 | 49% | 17.44u |
OLYMPIC_BASKETBALL | 50-76-0 | 40% | 17.13u |
MLB | 471-433-11 | 51% | 4.97u |
NCAAB | 56-53-0 | 51% | 1.09u |
UFL | 0-1-0 | 0% | -0.10u |
World Cup | 0-1-0 | 0% | -0.15u |
ATP | 1-2-0 | 33% | -0.17u |
UFC | 0-2-0 | 0% | -0.40u |
NFL | 211-284-7 | 42% | -0.44u |
NHL | 9-17-0 | 35% | -0.94u |
NASCAR | 2-16-0 | 11% | -0.97u |
Golf | 0-8-0 | 0% | -1.55u |
NCAAF | 16-21-0 | 43% | -1.76u |
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