
Joe Dellera

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119.3K
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Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 14-29-0 (-6.63u)
Joe Dellera's Picks
Today
Pending
A’ja Wilson under 0.5 3s+170
LVA

84
-
72

IND
1u
FINAL 9/26
This is pretty gross but she's really not getting many opportunities from 3. She made 1 last game but it was only on 1 shot. She has not taken more than 1 against Indiana this season and has taken 1 or fewer shots in 8 of 9 against Aliyah Boston over the last two seasons. Anything under a half is an instant sweat but this price is great.
11
10
Brandon Miller 20+ PPG + Hornets 40+ Wins+3000
0.35u
DK Under Team Specials
Miller averaged over 20 ppg last season in part due to various injuries but this is clearly not out of reach for him, especially if they're going to get to 40 games I think this is a relatively risk free and correlated bump for the price on 40+ wins.
The best in market number for 40+ that l've seen as a straight is +1600 (MGM) so we are getting essentially double the price on a correlated outcome.
38
19
Ja Morant 25+ ppg-120
0.5u
The Huddle got it first
15
10
Ja Morant 28+ ppg+600
1u
Since Taylor Jenkins was fired the team reset around Ja Morant and he averaged 28.4 ppg in the team's last 7 regular season games. Now they moved on from Desmond Bane and they're dealing with some injuries (to the oft injured) JJJ. Morant's Usage for a full season could be insane. This swung in large part because Jenkins torched the Pick and Roll opportunities for Morant and after the firing the team leaned HEAVILY on that.
If you want to use the 28+ as an upper rung of the ladder that's fine and play 25+ ppg (-120 DK/MGM) as more of a base I won't begrudge you. I have some other plans for lower rungs for Morant so I'm splitting it unconventionally with 25+ at half a unit and 28+ as a full unit.
14
9
Joel Embiid 25+ ppg and Sixers Atlantic Division+550
1u
15
12
Victor Wembanyama 25+ ppg and Spurs 50+ Wins+400
1u
19
15
Cam Johnson 3+ 3s per Game+310
1u
Buckets
8
8
Jalen Brown 28+ ppg+380
1u
13
7
Jaylen Brown 30+ ppg+1200
0.15u
13
9
Futures
Milwaukee Bucks+10000
2025-26 NBA Championship - To Win
1u
I’ll bite. Bet right when they signed Turner before they waived Dame.
Think it’s worth a nibble down to 50/1 for a Giannis team. To me this is all a sign that the franchise is saying to Giannis we are doing anything we can to optimize your time here. Figure it out later but the number will never be this good as long as Giannis is in a Bucks jersey and is healthy.
26
9
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander+250
2025-26 NBA MVP
2u
SGA and the Thunder look to defend their title this season and he has a legitimate case to win a second consecutive MVP. Shai stacks up with Jokic in all of the advanced metrics and now Jokic is on the wrong side of 30 for the entire season while Shai is directly in his prime.
Shai’s rotation is also conducive to him seeing a consistent output throughout the season since he generally plays the entire 3Q and will sit in the 4Q if there’s a blowout. His floor is incredibly high on a nightly basis.
Jokic played the most minutes per game of his career last season and one of the primary reasons they brought in Cam Johnson is with the hope he can take some of the creation and facilitating off of Jokic as he can run a bench unit. Additionally, they brought in Valanciunas to mitigate the non-Jokic Center minutes. All of the word out of camp is to try and make Jokic’s life a little bit easier.
Shai is an elite player on both sides of the floor and has a clear path for best player on the best team. MVP generally is going to the chalk, and we rarely see any longshots leapfrog multiple top tier favorites for this. I’ll back SGA to make it two in a row, which is historically common to see. It is at the 3-peat that we see some voter fatigue.
13
7
Past Performance | |||
---|---|---|---|
Yesterday | 0-1-0 | 0% | -1.00u |
Last 7 Days | 1-1-0 | 50% | -0.13u |
Last 30 Days | 14-29-0 | 33% | -6.63u |
All Time | 4006-4893-169 | 44% | 221.92u |
Top Leagues | |||
---|---|---|---|
NBA | 2899-3610-139 | 44% | 212.37u |
OLYMPIC_BASKETBALL | 83-103-0 | 45% | 17.95u |
MLB | 471-435-11 | 51% | 3.47u |
NFL | 216-294-7 | 42% | 2.91u |
UFL | 0-1-0 | 0% | -0.10u |
World Cup | 0-1-0 | 0% | -0.15u |
ATP | 1-2-0 | 33% | -0.17u |
UFC | 0-2-0 | 0% | -0.40u |
NCAAB | 56-57-0 | 50% | -0.66u |
NHL | 9-17-0 | 35% | -0.94u |
NASCAR | 2-16-0 | 11% | -0.97u |
Golf | 0-8-0 | 0% | -1.55u |
NCAAF | 16-21-0 | 43% | -1.76u |
WNBA | 233-275-9 | 45% | -9.18u |
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