
Road to CFB

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Road to CFB
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Road to CFB's Picks
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Louisiana, NC State ML parlay+110
1u
Louisiana dropped last night’s opener, but should still take this series at home. Ryland Bozenhart turned in a spirited effort last Saturday for USA but the bullpen behind him fell apart. Needless to say, the UL bats need to get going and dig deeper into the Jags’ bullpen.
NC State nudged by yesterday but bats will prevail. They’re in line to host a regional come May.
4
Notre Dame ML vs. Louisville+112
1u
Louisville appears to have course-corrected on paper after that head-scratching opening weekend series loss to Michigan State, but the Cards have yet to show it against a quality opponent.
Notre Dame is a quality team with a dangerous lineup (one that won it a 14-11 decision last night). Targeting a team I believe should be favored here.
4
Missouri State ML vs. Liberty-113
1.13u
Power ratings point to MO State here, who go against Liberty’s No. 2, Jaxon Lucas (1-1, 5.29 ERA). Last night’s game was a pitcher’s duel won by MO State, I expect more runs here.
Bears bring in 125 wRC+, 26th-best in the country.
5
1
High Point vs. USC Upstate U15.5 runs-115
1.15u
Ty Brachbill takes the mound for High Point. He carries a 3.12 ERA and a perfect 4-0 record in starts. This is a lofty total considering HPU hasn’t played a Saturday game that crossed nine runs yet this year.
5
UConn ML vs. Portland-130
1.3u
3
Tennessee ML vs. Georgia+125
0.8u
Other books are marching here. I anticipate TN will close worse than even.
7
Nebraska ML vs. Wichita State+120
1u
Appraisals for this game are all over the place, with Nebraska being as high as -115. DSR ranks Nebraska 50 spots ahead of the Shockers and Massey, 40 spots. The Huskers won, 8-1, last night and we’re asking for pitching depth. The Huskers clear in that category.
7
2
Santa Clara ML vs. UConn+114
1u
Santa Clara has passed UConn in power ratings. The Huskies, at just 9-11, are 115th in Massey and 106th in DSR. They also play their fifth straight West Coast game and dropped the weekend series to Portland (115th in DSR). Santa Clara probably takes another pitch-by-committee approach tonight, which has led to a 2-0 weeknight record allowing just 9 total runs (3 to red-hot Pitt last week).
Great spot for the home ‘dog.
6
1
Charlotte ML vs. Wichita State+102
1u
Charlotte is simply the superior team here. They rank 44 spots better in Massey and 71 spots better in DSR. The 49ers have played the tougher schedule, by far.
6-foot-5 righty Matthew Cuccuas makes his fifth start and his composite performance is pretty good (4.35 xFIP and 28.9% K) but he allowed six ER on eight hits his last two outings (10 IP).
When faced with competent pitching, the Shockers’ offense slows down — they scored two combined runs this week against Nebraska (compare to 77 in four games vs. Butler last weekend).
5
1
FAU ML vs. UTSA+140
1u
Full writeup coming soon to Action Network.
5
1
Oregon State, North Carolina MLP+107
1u
Full writeup coming soon to Action Network.
4
1
Oregon State, UCSB ML parlay+106
1u
Full writeup coming soon to Action Network.
3
1
Oral Roberts ML vs. Air Force+124
1u
Full writeup coming soon to Action Network.
5
1
UC San Diego ML vs. Oregon+320
0.31u
Full writeup coming soon to Action Network.
5
1
Missouri State ML vs. DBU+130
1u
Full writeup coming soon to Action Network.
4
Jacksonville State ML vs. Louisiana Tech-145
1.45u
Full writeup coming soon to Action Network.
2
Wake Forest ML vs. Clemson-113
1.13u
Full writeup coming soon to Action Network.
4
UAB regular season American Conference winner+3000
0.17u
UAB off to scorching start with wins over Florida and two over Cincinnati. Bats are effective and bullpen is solid. Perhaps an overreaction, but rather get ahead on this number.
6
1
Weat Virginia Big 12 regular season winner+600
0.5u
WVU avoids Arizona and Oklahoma State in conference play and hosts TCU to close the regular season. Draw 7 of bottom 8 according to preseason odds.
B12 play starts with Baylor & BYU to gain momentum.
Talented team highly spoke of but not represented in rankings. Return ace Chase Meyer, a first-team preseason AA selection. Good funding helped land a decent transfer class.
Quietly landed atop the Big 12 last year and finished in the Super Regional for a second straight year.
5
1
TCU to make College World Series+550
0.36u
Stud roster. This team fell short in another regional but has the talent to make a run at Omaha. High-end bats like Sawyer Strosnider and Noah Franco, high-end arms like Tommy LaPour and Mason Brassfield, and lots of returning contributors.
Even without Louis Rodriguez (season-ending injury), Frogs have the depth in the bullpen to compete.
Must score more runs against top arms and think another year with the core lineup will help.
7
1
UCLA to make College World Series+175
1.14u
Preseason No. 1 team not priced like it. Return 8 starters from last year’s Omaha team. Check all the boxes — star power, depth, and coaching.
7
2
Southern Miss to make CWS+425
0.71u
Stellar start for USM that proves they’re not just hot, they’re excellent. Strong on both sides with a deep bullpen and potent lineup. Sun Belt schedule gives them the inside track to host a Regional — no Coastal until the postseason.
Probably longest this number is going to be.
8
2
UCLA College World Series winner+1500
0.67u
Return Golden Spikes favorite Roch Cholowsky and 8-of-9 starters from Omaha team last year. Pitching is solid, though depth of pen needs to show.
Schedule is good balance of test (host TCU early, tourney vs. Tennessee, A&M, MSST) and manageable in Big Ten. Should contend for 40 wins again.
Roster & staff understands how to win in postseason. Debuted as D1Baseball No. 1 team and is not priced like it everywhere.
9
2
TCU 2026 College World Series winner+5000
0.5u
Frogs return a strong nucleus. Last year bats were frustratingly silent but Bill Mosiello has a history of producing elite offenses. Sophomore class is as good as any. Tommy LaPour is a legitimate ace and bullpen is deep. Consistent program that has Omaha experience in the coaching staff.
8
1
Mississippi State 2026 College World Series winner+2800
0.89u
Hired an elite coach in Brian O’Connor (Virginia). Few programs spend on baseball like Mississippi State and four straight disappointing seasons are followed by major buy-in. Big time transfer class with two high MLB prospects in Ace Reese and Jack Bauer.
8
1
Futures
Darian Mensah+1600
2026 NCAAF Heisman Trophy Winner
0.32u
Already one of the country’s most productive players brings his No. 1 WR to Miami and joins another alpha WR in Toney.
Upgrades to OL and RB. Miami should remain near the top of preseason rankings and the high-profile nature of his breakup with Duke ensures Mensah’s name is known among voters.
Miami should be favored in 11-of-12 games (sans at Notre Dame).
11
2
Washington Huskies u7.5+115
2026 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
0.87u
Find this writeup on Action Network!
4
1
Kansas Jayhawks u5.5+122
2026 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
0.82u
Find this writeup on Action Network!
5
1
Penn State Nittany Lions u9.5-122
2026 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
1.22u
Find this writeup on Action Network!
3
1
Clemson Tigers u7.5+100
2026 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
1u
Find this writeup on Action Network!
5
1
Drew Mestemaker+9000
2026 NCAAF Heisman Trophy Winner
0.11u
Importing ultra efficient schemes and players from Go6 schools is a viable strategy at the P4 level. See:
- Vanderbilt/Pavia
- Ole Miss/Trinidad Chambliss (D2 import)
- Everything Curt Cignetti did at Indiana
Eric Morris turned North Texas into the No. 1 PPD offense and Mestemaker into a household name. He brings top target Wyatt Young and Caleb Hawkins at RB.
With such variability with transfers, we could see a return to “QB of No. 1 team” votes like with Mendoza last year. Getting ahead of a potential massive jump from OKST this year and 90-1 is a buy price.
5
1
Michigan Wolverines+1200
2026 NCAAF Big Ten Conference - To Win
0.42u
Full writeup coming soon to Action Network.
3
1
LSU Tigers+700
2026 NCAAF SEC Conference - To Win
0.71u
Full writeup coming soon to Action Network.
3
1
Oklahoma State Cowboys+3500
2026 NCAAF Big 12 Conference - To Win
0.09u
Full writeup coming soon to Action Network. Flier.
5
1
| Past Performance | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 0-0-0 | 0% | 0.00u |
| Last 7 Days | 0-0-0 | 0% | 0.00u |
| Last 30 Days | 0-0-0 | 0% | 0.00u |
| All Time | 90-58-0 | 61% | 29.19u |
| Top Leagues | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| NCAAF | 90-58-0 | 61% | 29.19u |
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