After a rocky first start, SWR has been awesome since returning from injury. He’s posted a 2.81 ERA in 3 starts in September. SWR has been spamming a splitter and the results have been tremendous. He struck out a career-high 11 last time out. Cleveland ranks 24th or worse in OPS, wOBA, and wRC+ vs. RHP over the past 30 days. Minnesota used plenty of arms in the doubleheader yesterday, so they could use some length here.

I’m adding a half unit here. The splitter is his best whiff pitch and he’s leaned on it heavily since coming off the IL. The Guardians are an above-average strikeout matchup.

Herbert is off to an excellent this start this season, largely due to an adjustment in offensive mindset for the Chargers. They lead the league in pass rate over expectation through 2 games and are 5th in neutral pass rate. The ground-and-pound nature of this team under Jim Harbaugh and Greg Roman has given way to an aerial attack. The increase in passing plays has boosted Herbert's production on the ground. He's posted 16 carries for 63 yards. After recording 7+ carries in just 2 games last season, he's done it in both games to begin this season. Herbert averaged 1.8 scrambles per game last season. He's up to 3.5 per game so far this season. Herbert has 30+ rushing yards in each game. Denver has played man coverage at the 2nd-highest rate this season. They were 5th last season. Man coverage typically leads to more scramble opportunities, as the defensive backs are focused on their assignments and not looking at the quarterback.

Shoutout to Jacob Gibbs of CBS Sports for this crazy nugget on Daniel Jones from Week 2: His 97% first-read target rate was the highest in any game since Fantasy Points Data began charting that metric (2021). Jones now has an 84.1% first-read target rate for the season. This is point-and-shoot quarterback play at an extreme level, and it's working. Danny Dimes is 6th in EPA/play through 2 games. He's completing more than 71% of his passes and is averaging 294 passing yards per game. So who leads the Colts in first-read target rate? Of course it's Warren at 24.5%. He paces all tight ends (minimum 25 routes) in targets per route run at 29%. Warren is 3rd in yards per route run at the position (minimum 25 routes) behind only the Green Bay tight ends (Tucker Kraft and Luke Musgrave). Warren is the focal point of a red-hot passing game and should continue to see plenty of volume.

Adding a half unit here. Also like Warren to lead the game in receiving.