The New York Liberty (7-0) and Washington Mystics (3-5) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 7:30 p.m. EDT at CareFirst Arena in Washington, DC. The game will be broadcast live on Amazon Prime Video.
The Liberty are favored by -13 on the spread, with the over/under set at 163.5 (-109o / -110u). The Liberty are a -900 favorite to win outright, while the Mystics are +590 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Liberty vs. Mystics prediction and WNBA picks.
Liberty vs. Mystics Odds, Pick
| Liberty Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-13 -110 | 163.5 -109o / -110u | -900 |
| Mystics Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+13 -110 | 163.5 -109o / -110u | +590 |
- Liberty vs. Mystics Spread: Liberty -13 (-110), Mystics +13 (-110)
- Liberty vs. Mystics Over/Under: 163.5 (-109o / -110u)
- Liberty vs. Mystics Moneyline: Liberty -900, Mystics +590
- Liberty vs. Mystics Best Bet: Mystics +13
Liberty vs. Mystics Preview
There's no doubt about it — the Liberty are the best team in the W. At 7-0, New York has been dominant. The Liberty are coming off a 48-point win over the Sun and recently beat Washington by 22.
Can the Mystics keep it closer tonight?
Washington has lost back-to-back games and five of its past six, but we don't need the Mystics to win for this bet to cash. We simply need them to keep it close and four of their five losses have been by single digits.
Liberty vs. Mystics Prediction
This system focuses only on games after a non-close loss — defined as a margin of defeat worse than seven points. These situations heighten market negativity and inflate the next spread. However this system suggests that WNBA teams — even teams with poor records — can respond competitively, especially when lines cross a key value threshold like 11.5 or more. You’re capturing max line inflation driven by poor optics, not predictive fundamentals.
Overall, this system has generated a ROI of 19% and has a 140-87-4 (62%) record. This season, it is 3-1 with a 43% ROI.
Best Bet: Mystics +13
