Rays vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - July 11, 2025

Rays at Red Sox

11:10 pm • NESN

Tampa Bay Rays

50-45

4 - 5

Boston Red Sox

51-45

pitcher		team	era	w-l
H.Dobbins			4.13	4-1
D.Rasmussen			2.86	7-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rays 50-45	-1.5	-1.5+147	o9-104	-105
Red Sox 51-45	u8.5	+1.5-180	u9-114	-113

Friday 11:10 p.m.

July 11, 2025

Fenway ParkBoston

TB -105

1.05u

Sticky Road Favorites Overall: 672-396-0,63% (ROI:13%) Season:20-23-0,47% (ROI:-18%)

Under 9-106

0.53u

We played the under yesterday here and crossed the finish line, and I'm going back to it. This is a weird matchup to break down because the Rays are going to use Drew Rasmussen as more of an opener to limit his innings, and then follow him with Joe Boyle. My projections have this game close to a 9 total but I think it's possible the projections are underselling Joe Boyle, who looks like a new pitcher. He's thrown 10 scoreless innings in the Majors so far this season and this is after he racked up 96 strikeouts in 73 innings in the Minor Leagues. On the other side, we have Hunter Dobbins. Dobbins' strikeout rate is only at 17.3% but he's limiting walks (6.5% BB%) and home runs (0.91 HR/9) so far. He has a 4.10 ERA but it's backed by a 3.97 xERA. Overall, I think there's some value here with Boyle being a wildcard here and in my perspective, I like Dobbins in this spot perhaps more than a normal person would just based on the numbers. Give me the u9.

BOS -105

0.95u

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TB -104

1.04u

TB +102

D.Rasmussen u2.5 Hits Allowed-115

1.15u

Payoff Pitch: https://myaction.app/DtBjJvs7UUb

D.Rasmussen u0.5 Earned Runs+140

Payoff Pitch: https://myaction.app/DtBjJvs7UUb

BOS -1.5+180

0.75u

C.Simpson o0.5 Singles-125

0.6u

TB -104

1.04u

Over 9-115

0.58u

Bet to -122 or 9 (-102)

D.Rasmussen u1.5 Earned Runs-165

0.91u

TB -110

0.55u

Bet to -115

Rays vs. Red Sox SGP: Predictions for AL East Tilt
Chilly Bets•
Jul 11, 2025 UTC

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 25-21 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 22 of Red Sox' 50 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	52-44	27-23	25-21	33-29	19-13
Rays	47-48	22-31	25-17	19-27	27-20

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	47-47-2	22-26-2	25-21	30-30-2	17-15
Rays	39-52-4	21-29-3	18-23-1	16-27-3	22-24-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	51-45	30-20	21-25	36-26	15-17
Rays	50-45	28-25	22-20	27-19	22-25

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 10th	TB	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 9	BOS -117
Jul 9th	COL	W 10-2	-1.5 W	O 9	BOS -362
Jul 8th	COL	W 10-2	-1.5 W	O 9	BOS -290
Jul 7th	COL	W 9-3	-1.5 W	O 10.5	BOS -257
Jul 6th	@WSH	W 6-4	-1.5 W	O 8.5	BOS -245

Alex Faedo
RP
Faedo is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Lowe
2B
Lowe is out with oblique
Out
Shane McClanahan
SP
McClanahan is out with triceps
Out
Richie Palacios
LF
Palacios is out with knee
Out
Jonny DeLuca
CF
DeLuca is out with shoulder
Out

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with knee
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.Rasmussen, P	53	2	1	1
RJ.Boyle, P	60	4	1	2
RK.Kelly, P	19	1.1	0	0
LG.Cleavinger, P	8	0.2	2	0
RP.Fairbanks, P	15	0.1	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1Y.Diaz, DH	0-4	1	0
2J.Aranda, 1B	2-5	1	0
3J.Mangum, LF	2-4	1	0
4J.Caminero, 3B	1-4	0	1
5J.Lowe, RF	0-4	0	0
6T.Walls, SS	1-3	1	0
7J.Caballero, 2B	0-4	0	0
8C.Simpson, CF	1-3	0	0
9D.Jansen, C	1-4	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RH.Dobbins, P	27	1.2	2	1
RJ.Alcala, P	29	1	0	0
LB.Bernardino, P	35	2.1	2	0
RG.Weissert, P	9	1	1	0
LJ.Wilson, P	16	1	1	0
RJ.Hicks, P	11	1	1	0
LC.Murphy, P	10	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, LF	0-4	0	0	0
2A.Bregman, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
3M.Yoshida, DH	1-4	0	0	0
4C.Narvaez, C	0-3	0	0	0
5W.Abreu, RF	1-2	2	0	0
5R.Refsnyder, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5R.Refsnyder, RF	0-1	0	0	0
6T.Story, SS	2-3	1	0	0
7M.Mayer, 2B	1-4	0	0	1
8A.Toro, 1B	0-3	0	0	1
8R.Anthony, PH	0-0	1	0	0
9C.Rafaela, CF	2-4	1	1	3