Dolphins vs. Chiefs Odds & Betting Predictions - January 14, 2024

Dolphins at Chiefs

1:10 am • Peacock

Miami Dolphins

3-6

7 - 26

Kansas City Chiefs

9-0

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Dolphins 3-6	+4.5	+4.5-105	o43.5-110	+194
Chiefs 9-0	u43.5	-4.5-115	u43.5-110	-240

Sunday 1:10 a.m.

January 14, 2024

GEHA Field at Arrowhead StadiumKansas City

MIA +195

$50.00

T.Kelce Anytime TD Scorer Yes+125

1.5u

MIA +4.5-105

KC -4.5-105

1.9u

Under 43-105

2.86u

MIA +4.5-105

0.5u

Bet365 7:09.

MIA o19.5 Team Total-120

$120.00

J.Waddle u19.5 Longest Reception-115

Full analysis: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/jaylen-waddle-player-prop-saturday-night-bet-for-dolphins-chiefs

M.Hardman u16.5 Rec Yds-110

Had been under in 4/4 before last week’s 77 yard performance… in a meaningless game with the backups. Still likely to be 4th in line for WR snaps, behind MVS, Rice and Watson - and maybe even Richie James. It’s a terrible passing environment, and even though he could see a screen pass or two - he’s only 8 ypc with the Chiefs.

Over 43.5-110

MIA +5-110

1.1u

R.Mostert Anytime TD Scorer Yes+160

@GDAWG5000 and Brian Matthews

T.Hill Anytime TD Scorer Yes+155

3.1u

@charliedisturco and @nick_giffen

R.Rice Anytime TD Scorer Yes+165

3.3u

@nick_giffen and @charliedisturco

N.Gray Anytime TD Scorer Yes+800

0.25u

@GDAWG5000

Under 43.5-110

Chiefs unders at Arrowhead are 8-1 this year. For more, check out Fantasy Life.

T.Hill Anytime TD Scorer Yes+155

1.55u

@TheTDShow

R.Rice Anytime TD Scorer Yes+160

1.6u

@TheTDShow

T.Tagovailoa u21.5 Pass Comp-140

0.71u

T.Tagovailoa u21.5 Pass Comp-135

0.74u

@The_Oddsmaker

Under 44-110

0.91u

@SimonHunterNFL

MIA +5-108

@ChrisRaybon

T.Tagovailoa u21.5 Pass Comp-130

Over 43.5-110

R.Mostert Anytime TD Scorer Yes+165

T.Hill Anytime TD Scorer Yes+130

$65.00

R.Mostert o48.5 Rush Yds-108

$54.00

M.Hardman u14.5 Rec Yds-115

0.87u

P.Mahomes u248.5 Pass Yds-109

1.09u

P.Mahomes u26.5 Rush Yds-110

P.Mahomes o25.5 Rush Yds-108

0.93u

Over 43.5-110

T.Hill Anytime TD Scorer Yes+155

0.78u

Upgrading to a full. Tune into TD Show

R.Mostert o45.5 Rush Yds-113

1.69u

T.Kelce o55.5 Rec Yds-130

MIA +190

T.Hill Anytime TD Scorer Yes+155

MIA o19.5 Team Total-108

2.7u

P.Mahomes o12.5 Longest Rush-110

0.91u

MIA +4.5-110

$110.00

MIA +4.5-105

5.25u

FUCK WITH ME 🐬

Over 44-105

Co-worker fade - Sorry Evander but you talk too much

MIA +4.5-110

0.5u

T.Tagovailoa u233.5 Pass Yds-121

0.41u

@AnthonyDabbundo

J.Watson 40+ Receiving Yards Yes+225

0.5u

@ChrisRaybon

P.Mahomes o25.5 Rush Yds-112

0.45u

@AnthonyDabbundo

T.Kelce o5.5 Recs-114

0.44u

@tkalinowski12

Under 21.5 (2H)-110

0.45u

@tkalinowski12

R.Rice Anytime TD Scorer Yes+150

0.75u

MIA +4.5-110

Via Maria Marino

T.Hill Anytime TD Scorer Yes+145

0.73u

M.Hardman o14.5 Rec Yds-125

0.25u

Under 44-105

M.Hardman u15.5 Rec Yds+100

MIA +4-110

1.1u

Raybon 2

Under 44-115

0.5u

Under 44-110

0.91u

MIA +4.5-110

1.1u

Under 44-118

1.27u

I.Pacheco o64.5 Rush Yds-114

Under 44.5-115

0.87u

N.Gray Anytime TD Scorer Yes+800

0.25u

R.Mostert Anytime TD Scorer Yes+150

Would still bet to +140. When these teams played in Germany, he scored. Had -115 ATD odds entering the game.

K.Toney u9.5 Longest Reception-114

1.14u

As I wrote this up DK dropped to 8.5 (along with other books). Can still get it at 9.5 at BR, but I’m still showing 58% chance he stays under 8.5. Per my write up, I’m probably being too generous with his projection to begin with.

Under 44.5-115

#LuckRankings

MIA +4.5-110

0.5u

I.Pacheco o15.5 Rush Att-105

Over in 7/11 to finish the regular season. Weather should be perfect for the Chiefs to get some ground and pound in - freezing and a little windy. I don’t think the Dolphins will succeed in moving the ball fluidly on offense (especially with the weather) - they’ve struggled the last few weeks against stingy defenses, and they struggled against the Chiefs in Germany (in a dome).

MIA +4.5-112

KC -4-110

0.91u

Under 44-110

0.25u

Under 44.5-115

0.87u

… outside unders postseason Overall: 78-52-2,60% (ROI:16%) Season:0-0-0, 0% (ROI: 0%)

KC -3.5-110

0.91u

Almost positive this line will move - Poster Boy

MIA +3-110

0.5u

Featured Insight
The Dolphins allowed 10+ yards on 4.0% of carries to RBs in the last 4 weeks of the regular season -- 2nd-best in NFL; Chiefs RBs rushed for 10 or more yards on 7.0% of 73 carries in the last 4 weeks of the regular season -- T-4th-worst in NFL.

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Featured Insight
The Chiefs allowed a passer rating of 58.0 in the 4th quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season -- 5th-best in NFL; Dolphins QBs had a 58.1 passer rating in the fourth quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season -- 5th-worst in NFL.

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No props found

NFL Public Betting

Chiefs are 3-0 in their last 5 games.
Chiefs are 3-0 in their last 5 games against the spread
Chiefs are 2-0 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Chiefs' last 3 games
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Chiefs' 1 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Chiefs	3-0	1-0	2-0	1-0	2-0
Dolphins	0-1	0-4	0-1	1-4	0-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Chiefs	1-2	0-1	1-1	0-1	1-1
Dolphins	0-1	2-2	0-1	2-3	0-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Chiefs	4-0	N/A	N/A	1-0	2-0
Dolphins	0-1	1-3	N/A	2-3	0-1

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jan 7th	@LAC	W 13-12	+3.5 W	U 35.5	KC +143
Dec 31st	CIN	W 25-17	-7 W	U 45.5	KC -362
Dec 25th	LV	L 14-20	-11 L	U 40.5	LV -562
Dec 17th	@NE	W 27-17	-10 L	O 39.5	KC -505
Dec 10th	BUF	L 17-20	-1.5 L	U 49	BUF -125

JuJu Smith-Schuster
WR
Smith-Schuster is questionable with hamstring
Questionable

Hollywood Brown
WR
Hollywood Brown (shoulder surgery) headed to IR.
Out
Isiah Pacheco
RB
Isiah Pacheco set to miss "real time" with fibula fracture, per Ian Rapoport.
Out
Rashee Rice
WR
Rice is out with leg
Out
Jared Wiley
TE
Wiley is out with knee
Out

Alec Ingold
FB
Ingold is questionable with calf
Questionable
Austin Jackson
OL
Jackson is out with knee
Out
Patrick McMorris
DB
McMorris is questionable with calf
Questionable

See more NFL Injuries

Dolphins

Total

Chiefs

264

Total Yards

409

Total Plays

4.5

Yards Per Play

5.5

Dolphins

Passing

Chiefs

199

YDS

262

20/39

Comps/Atts

23/41

4.585

YPA

6.39

1/1

TDs/INTs

1/0

2/11

Sacks/Yards

0/0

Dolphins

Rushing

Chiefs

Rush Yards

147

Attempts

4.222

YPC

4.324

TDs

Dolphins

Turnovers

Chiefs

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Dolphins

Efficiency

Chiefs

0/0 0%

Redzone

2/6 33.33%

1/12 0%

3rd Down

6/15 0%

3/6 0%

4th Down

1/1 0%

Dolphins

First Downs

Chiefs

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Dolphins

Misc

Chiefs

8/62

Penalties/Yards

5/45

25:55

Possession

34:05

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MatchupOverUnder
Dolphins 3-6	o19.5-112	u19.5-126
Chiefs 9-0	o24.5+100	u24.5-124

Dolphins vs. Chiefs Odds & Betting Predictions - January 14, 2024

Dolphins at Chiefs

Miami Dolphins

Kansas City Chiefs

Dolphins at Chiefs Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

PRO Insights

Dolphins

Chiefs

Dolphins vs. Chiefs Previews & Analysis

Abrams' NFL Wild Card Betting Primer (Sunday Update)

Raybon's NFL Wild Card Weekend Picks

Sportsbooks Exhale After Browns Lose to Texans

PropBetGuy's Jaylen Waddle Bet for Dolphins-Chiefs

Dolphins vs. Chiefs Props

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Dolphins vs. Chiefs Public Betting Percentages

Dolphins

Public

Chiefs

Bets%

Money%

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Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Last 5 Matchups

Chiefs vs. Dolphins Injury Updates

Chiefs Injuries

Dolphins Injuries

Dolphins vs. Chiefs Odds Comparison

Dolphins at Chiefs Team Totals