Falcons vs. Broncos Odds & Betting Predictions - November 17, 2024

Falcons at Broncos

9:05 pm • FOX

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Atlanta Falcons

6-4

Denver Broncos

5-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Falcons 6-4	-3.5	+2-110	o44-110	+110
Broncos 5-5	u44.5	-2-110	u44-108	-130

Sunday 9:05 p.m.

November 17, 2024

Empower Field at Mile HighDenver

52°Fahrenheit

0%Rain

4Wind

B.Nix o19.5 Pass Comp+104

B.Robinson o24.5 Rec Yds-120

1.2u

-Bijan has 28+ Receiving Yards in 4 straight games avg 5.8 targets -Denver is allowing the 5th most RB receiving yards and they have allowed 5 RBs over this number in the last 3 games: Perine 37, Hunt 65, Henry 27, Hill 43, Sanders 38 -Denver is top 5 in man coverage ran this season -> Bijan has been elite vs man with an 83.8 PFF grade, 14.1 YAC per reception and 2.00 Y/RR

ATL +112

Falcons are favored in my model thanks to a much superior offense and a defense that is good enough to get the job done.

DEN -126

0.6u

Featured Insight
The Falcons have allowed 9.1 PPG during the second half this season -- T-10th-best in NFL; the Broncos have scored 9.0 points per game in the second half this season -- 10th-worst in NFL.

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Featured Insight
The Broncos have run successful plays on 53.0% of pass attempts against a base rush since Week 7 -- T-5th-best in NFL; the Falcons have pressured opposing QBs on 14% of pass attempts with a base rush since Week 7 -- T-worst in NFL.

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Pass or Play: The NFL Week 11 Bets To Make
Jacob Wayne•
Nov 14, 2024 UTC

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NFL Public Betting

Broncos are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Broncos are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Broncos are 5-1 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Broncos' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Broncos' 4 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Broncos	7-3	2-2	5-1	3-0	4-3
Falcons	5-5	2-4	3-1	4-4	1-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Broncos	6-4	3-1	3-3	3-0	3-4
Falcons	4-6	2-4	2-2	4-4	0-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Broncos	5-5	N/A	N/A	3-0	2-5
Falcons	6-4	N/A	N/A	5-3	1-1

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Nov 10th	@KC	L 14-16	+7.5 W	U 42.5	KC +290
Nov 3rd	@BAL	L 10-41	+9 L	O 46.5	BAL +340
Oct 27th	CAR	W 28-14	-13 W	O 40.5	DEN -797
Oct 18th	@NO	W 33-10	-2.5 W	O 37	DEN -148
Oct 13th	LAC	L 16-23	+3 L	O 37	LAC +125

Josh Reynolds
WR
Reynolds is out with hand
Out

Luke Wattenberg
C
Wattenberg is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Delarrin Turner-Yell
S
Turner-Yell is out with knee
Out
Drew Sanders
LB
Sanders is out with achilles
Out

Jakeem Grant
WR
Grant Sr. is out with knee
Out
Drew Dalman
OL
Dalman is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Ruke Orhorhoro
DT
Orhorhoro is out with ankle
Out
JD Bertrand
LB
Bertrand is out with concussion
Out

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passing yards
Bo Nix
1968
pyds
passing touchdowns
Bo Nix
10
ptd
rushing yards
Javonte Williams
388
ryds
rushing touchdowns
Bo Nix
4
rtd

	Starter	2ND	3RD	4TH
QB	Bo Nix	Jarrett Stidham	Zach Wilson
RB	Javonte Williams	Jaleel McLaughlin	Audric Estime	Blake Watson
WR	Marvin Mims	Lil'Jordan Humphrey	Michael Bandy
TE	Adam Trautman	Greg Dulcich	Lucas Krull	Nate Adkins	Thomas Yassmin
LT	Garett Bolles	Matt Peart
LG	Ben Powers	Calvin Throckmorton	Nick Gargiulo
C	Luke Wattenberg	Alex Forsyth
RG	Quinn Meinerz
RT	Mike McGlinchey	Alex Palczewski	Frank Crum
LDE	Zach Allen	Jordan Jackson
RDE	John Franklin-Myers	Eyioma Uwazurike
LCB	Pat Surtain	Levi Wallace	Tremon Smith
SS	P.J. Locke	JL Skinner
FS	Brandon Jones	Devon Key
RCB	Riley Moss	Damarri Mathis
PK	Wil Lutz
P	Riley Dixon
H	Riley Dixon
PR	Marvin Mims	Tremon Smith	Michael Bandy
KR	Marvin Mims	Tremon Smith	Jaleel McLaughlin
LS	Mitchell Fraboni
LILB	Cody Barton
LWR	Courtland Sutton	Devaughn Vele	David Sills
NB	Ja'Quan McMillian	Kris Abrams-Draine	Reese Taylor	Quinton Newsome
RILB	Alex Singleton	Justin Strnad	Levelle Bailey
ROLB	Jonathon Cooper	Jonah Elliss
RWR	Josh Reynolds	Troy Franklin
NT	D.J. Jones	Malcolm Roach	Matt Henningsen	Jordan Miller
KO	Wil Lutz
FB	Michael Burton
LOLB	Nik Bonitto

Total

Passing

2504

YDS

1866

228/335

Comps/Atts

209/327

7.904

YPA

6.119

17/8

TDs/INTs

11/6

20/144

Sacks/Yards

17/135

Falcons

Rushing

Broncos

1247

Rush Yards

1171

269

Attempts

269

4.636

YPC

4.353

TDs

Falcons

Turnovers

Broncos

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Falcons

Efficiency

Broncos

17/31 54.84%

Redzone

17/32 53.13%

45/118 0%

3rd Down

48/135 0%

12/17 0%

4th Down

9/16 0%

Falcons

First Downs

Broncos

207

Total

172

122

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Falcons

Misc

Broncos

Penalties/Yards

Possession

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MatchupOverUnder
Falcons 6-4	N/A	N/A
Broncos 5-5	N/A	N/A

Falcons vs. Broncos Odds & Betting Predictions - November 17, 2024

Falcons at Broncos

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