Falcons vs. Buccaneers Odds & Betting Predictions - October 22, 2023

Falcons at Buccaneers

5:00 pm • FOX

Atlanta Falcons

6-3

16 - 13

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

4-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Falcons 6-3	+2.5	+3-118	o37.5-110	+124
Buccaneers 4-5	u37.5	-3-104	u37.5-110	-148

Sunday 5:00 p.m.

October 22, 2023

Raymond James StadiumTampa

ATL +130

1.3u

TB -2.5-118

C.Otton u2.5 Recs-136

ATL +3-110

0.91u

TB -150

1.5u

TB -2.5-118

$100.00

TB -3-110

1.65u

K.Hodge Anytime TD Scorer+1400

0.25u

@GDAWG5000

M.Pruitt Anytime TD Scorer+1900

0.25u

@GDAWG5000

TB -145

1.2u

ATL +2.5-104

TB -1.5 (1H)-109

ATL +2.5-104

0.96u

ATL +3-120

0.83u

TB -0.5 (1H)-109

@SimonHunterNFL

TB -2.5-115

0.58u

B.Robinson o25.5 Rec Yds-112

$56.00

Under 37.5-110

1.82u

Retirement home snooze fest

D.London o48.5 Rec Yds-110

Full write up: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-player-props-week-7-picks-drake-london-josh-downs?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=propbetguy

K.Hodge Anytime TD Scorer+1400

0.25u

Bet at PointsBet. Down to +1200 everywhere else. I’m banking on a longshot TD scorer for Falcons this week. Hodge and Mycole Pruitt. Both playing out of slot and get short throws from Ridder. Perfect goalline candidates. For full analysis, watch The Touchdown Show on Sunday at 11:30am ET on Action Network YT page.

M.Pruitt Anytime TD Scorer+1900

0.3u

Bet at DraftKings. Down to +1200 everywhere else. Has 7 TD since start of 2021 season. Pitts/Jonnu have 6 TD combined in same stretch. For full analysis, watch The Touchdown Show on Sunday at 11:30am ET on Action Network YT page.

TB -2.5-110

1.1u

Raybon 2

ATL +2.5-110

Big Balls Bet of the Week

B.Robinson o3.5 Recs+120

TB -1.5 (1H)+100

D.London o3.5 Recs-130

0.77u

TB -1 (1H)-110

Week 7 Best Bets pod!

R.White o70.5 Rush + Rec Yds-105

TB -135

TB -2.5-112

Available at FanDuel. I think laying less than a field goal here is pretty attractive given the way the two teams match up. The Bucs' rush defense showed some life again Sunday, even if it was against a beaten-up Lions backfield. After adjusting for opponent, the Bucs are now allowing -0.06 Rushing EPA per attempt on early downs, according to numberFire's EPA model, a good chunk better than the league average of -0.01. The pass defense has been good on early downs, too -- they've just struggled to get off the field on late downs. Meanwhile, the Falcons' defense has gotten shredded through the air while stopping the rush effectively. With the Bucs' passing attack being healthy, I think they should be able to move the ball on this defense, and they should be able to hold the Falcons' rushing offense in check. I have the Bucs favored by more than a field goal, so I'll lay the 2.5.

Featured Insight
The Falcons have scored on 52% of their drives in late and close games since Week 17 of the 2022 Season -- fourth-best in NFL. The Buccaneers defense has allowed scores on 39% of opponent drives in close and late situations since Week 17 of the 2022 Season -- 10th-worst in NFL.

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Featured Insight
The Falcons have turned the ball over 10 times this season -- tied for sixth-most in NFL. The Buccaneers have forced 10 turnovers this season -- tied for eighth-most in NFL.

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NFL Public Betting

Buccaneers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Buccaneers are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Buccaneers are 3-1 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Buccaneers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Buccaneers' 5 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Buccaneers	5-4	2-3	3-1	2-1	3-3
Falcons	5-4	2-4	3-0	4-3	1-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Buccaneers	7-2	4-1	3-1	2-1	5-1
Falcons	4-5	2-4	2-1	4-3	0-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Buccaneers	4-5	N/A	N/A	2-1	2-4
Falcons	6-3	N/A	N/A	5-2	1-1

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 15th	DET	L 6-20	+3 L	U 43.5	DET +134
Oct 1st	@NO	W 26-9	+4.5 W	U 41	TB +180
Sep 25th	PHI	L 11-25	+6 L	U 44	PHI +205
Sep 17th	CHI	W 27-17	-2.5 W	O 41	TB -130
Sep 10th	@MIN	W 20-17	+4 W	U 44.5	TB +166

Mike Evans
WR
Evans is out with hamstring
Out
Chris Godwin
WR
Godwin is out with foot
Out
Greg Gaines
DE
Gaines is out with calf
Out
Evan Deckers
LS
Deckers is out with hamstring
Out

Jalen McMillan
WR
McMillan is questionable with hamstring
Questionable
Kameron Johnson
WR
Johnson is out with ankle
Out

Drew Dalman
OL
Dalman is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Drake London
WR
London is questionable with hip
Questionable
Troy Andersen
LB
Andersen is out with knee
Out
Ruke Orhorhoro
DT
Orhorhoro is out with ankle
Out
JD Bertrand
LB
Bertrand is out with concussion
Out

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Falcons

Total

Buccaneers

401

Total Yards

329

Total Plays

6.3

Yards Per Play

5.1

Falcons

Passing

Buccaneers

250

YDS

275

19/25

Comps/Atts

27/42

9.423

YPA

5.689

0/0

TDs/INTs

1/1

1/5

Sacks/Yards

3/19

Falcons

Rushing

Buccaneers

156

Rush Yards

Attempts

4.105

YPC

3.65

TDs

Falcons

Turnovers

Buccaneers

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Falcons

Efficiency

Buccaneers

1/5 20%

Redzone

0/2 0%

7/13 0%

3rd Down

6/12 0%

0/0 0%

4th Down

0/1 0%

Falcons

First Downs

Buccaneers

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Falcons

Misc

Buccaneers

9/60

Penalties/Yards

9/66

29:59

Possession

30:01

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MatchupOverUnder
Falcons 6-3	o17.5+100	u17.5-122
Buccaneers 4-5	o20-109	u20-112

Falcons vs. Buccaneers Odds & Betting Predictions - October 22, 2023

Falcons at Buccaneers

Atlanta Falcons

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Falcons at Buccaneers Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

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Buccaneers

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Falcons vs. Buccaneers Public Betting Percentages

Falcons

Public

Buccaneers

Bets%

Money%

Betting Trends

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Last 5 Matchups

Buccaneers vs. Falcons Injury Updates

Buccaneers Injuries

Falcons Injuries

Falcons vs. Buccaneers Odds Comparison

Falcons at Buccaneers Team Totals