Vikings vs. Browns Odds & Betting Predictions - October 5, 2025

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He might get hurt, he might get benched, he might have 3 turnovers. OR, he runs for a TD. Let’s sprinkle on it and see what happens

Tailing @The_Oddsmaker. Can get u47.5 on Sleeper for those playing there.

I project Jeudy’s median closer to 37.5 yards. This will be Dillon Gabriel’s first career start, and I expect the Browns to lean more on the run in a tough debut spot against a Brian Flores defense. They’re only 4.5-point underdogs, and with the Browns defense facing a Vikings offense missing several linemen, a conservative, run-heavy game plan makes sense. That should limit dropbacks, and Gabriel will likely scramble more than Joe Flacco, which could take away another 1-2 pass attempts. Some bettors may be playing Jeudy’s over with Cedric Tillman out, but that likely just means rookie Isaiah Bond sees more snaps. Bond has actually posted a higher target rate than Tillman, so Jeudy may not see much of a bump. This is also a tough matchup against a zone-heavy defense that should funnel more targets to David Njoku and Harold Fannin Jr. Jeudy’s numbers take a big hit against zone: a 13% target rate and 0.44 yards per route run, compared to 23% and 1.21 vs. man. I considered overs on Bond or Fannin, but the market is efficient there and both face the same run-heavy game environment. Jeudy, though, checks the boxes for a fade, making his under my favorite angle in this matchup.

#Tailing @nick_giffen

TJ Hockenson over 3.5 receptions (+120 BetMGM/Hard Rock) MIN o-line is completely decimated, with three starters and a backup out CLE generates pressure at the 4th highest rate relative to expectation That means Wentz should be under a ton of pressure, and when he is he throws to his TEs and RBs at more than a 50% rate (both this year and in 2022 when he last saw significant snaps in the NFL) That's more than 10% above NFL average which is just under 40% Since the start of last year, CLE has allowed targets to the TE position at a 25% rate, which is in the top quartile of teams CLE plays at a fast pace so there may be a bit extra total play volume here for MIN as well I have Hockenson projected for just over 4 receptions, so I love getting plus money on this prop

@wheatonbrando https://myaction.app/BHq4lSblaXb

Might need Browns D to score all the points but this is too many

This looks like a windy game, and windy games are 62% to the under the last four years. Outdoor totals at 38 or below that dropped over four points from open are 59% to the under. And since 2012, NFL totals below 36 are an incredible 16-5 to the under, a 76% hit rate by over four points a game. Find the best number you can and grab the under — that's under 36.5 at DraftKings as of writing — but don't stop there. When totals start to drop this low, history says books simply can't set the line low enough. Since November 2019, games with a total at 37 or below are 40-20-1 to the under (67%). But those 61 games finished at 30 or fewer points in over half of them (32 times), so it's time to take the mineshaft and play the under 30.5 at +190 (FanDuel). But why stop there? Those games finished at 27 or below 43% of the time, so let's play under 27.5 too at +290 (FanDuel). And they stop at 23 or below almost a quarter of the time, so nibble that at +520 too. Want to really get wild? We know all about key numbers, but in games with totals this low, I notice that an outsize number of them seem to finish in the 25-to-27-point range, with 11 of 61 such games (18%) falling in that range. It sounds crazy, but that means almost double the value on a Same Game Parlay of under 27.5 & over 24.5 at +900 (Hard Rock). If we're gonna watch this garbage Sunday morning overseas game, we may as well have a little fun with it. Browns-Vikings under best number you can find and mineshaft unders all the way down!

@sundaysixpack @Stuckey2 https://myaction.app/EndAFkDG7Wb

@Stuckey2 3 https://myaction.app/EndAFkDG7Wb

PLANT THE FLAG ⛳️

Even after downgrading the Vikings for their o-line issues, I have them heavily favored here. The travel advantage they possess is pretty massive even though this is technically a neutral-site game.

Smaller since not ideal spot and Browns may make QB change to rookie on international travel week with OT and WR injuries against Flores but not sure how the Vikings makeshift OL can block the Browns. Cleveland can at least go super run heavy here and just wait for Garrett strips. 4.5 in this game might feel like 10. What a treat for London.

Week 5 Hot Read @wheatonbrando https://myaction.app/jOp90ojD3Wb Favorite Total @ChrisRaybon https://myaction.app/aKIFVYwJ7Wb

🔥 Week 5 Hot Read 🔥

Travel advantage for teams that stay over seas.