NFL Odds Today: Bets for Every Game, Every Team | Week 7

NFL Odds Today: Bets for Every Game, Every Team | Week 7

Game Preview, Odds	Road Pick	Home Pick
Dolphins vs Eagles Odds: Eagles -3
49ers vs Vikings Odds: 49ers -6.5
Falcons vs Buccaneers Odds: Bucs -3
Browns vs Colts Odds: Browns -3.5
Bills vs Patriots Odds: Bills -7.5
Commanders vs Giants Odds: Commanders -3
Raiders vs Bears Odds: Raiders -2.5
Lions vs Ravens Odds: Ravens -3
Cardinals vs Seahawks Odds: Seahawks -9.5
Chargers vs Chiefs Odds: Chiefs -5.5
Steelers vs Rams Odds: Rams -3.5
Packers vs Broncos Odds: Packers -1.5

Here's everything you need to know about NFL Week 7 odds and bets for every game and every team, plus my expert betting picks.

Yes, all of them. Every single game. Every single team. To go to a specific game or team, click on the matchup or logo below!

Below, we'll go through the latest, updated NFL odds for every game in Week 7, plus how to bet on every team in each game, with a focus on bets for fans of those teams (or those who just want to rent a rooting interest for a game), with my NFL Week 7 picks at the end.

Regardless of your level of betting experience, this is the NFL preview for you. These bets are designed to give you something to cheer for, with the updated odds for every game and every team. So let's get to the picks!

NFL Week 7 Betting Preview by Schedule

NFL Week 7 Late Afternoon Games: Odds, Bets

Cardinals vs Seahawks Odds, Bets

Sunday, Oct 22

4:05pm ET

FOX

Cardinals Odds
Spread	Total	Moneyline
+8.5 -110	44.5 -105o / -115u	+315

Seahawks Odds
Spread	Total	Moneyline
-8.5 -110	44.5 -105o / -115u	-400

Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.

• The Cardinals shocked everyone playing competitive ball against the Commanders, Giants, and Cowboys to start the year, upsetting Dallas. But just as everyone adjusted to this team being surprisingly feisty, the Cards regressed hard and have lost all three games by 14+ since.
• Seattle's defense is trending up. The Seahawks lead the league in Defensive DVOA the last three weeks, while the Cardinals rank dead last and have ranked near the bottom all season.

It looks like Arizona's rookie tight end is stepping into a bigger role. McBride out-snapped Zach Ertz for the first time last week, 44 to 35. Ertz tied his season low with two catches while McBride caught four passes for 62 yards on five targets. That was almost half his production from the first five games combined.

Seattle ranks 30th against tight ends by DVOA, so this is a good spot to target McBride. My first pick would be a receptions over but I haven't spotted a McBride line. I like the receiving yards, and I don't mind nibbling 50+ yards at +650 or Anytime TD at +850 (Bet365). Ertz has hit 50 yards twice already and scored one TD, so if McBride is getting those snaps now, those numbers look too long.

This looks like a high line in a division battle, but it's not high enough. The market hasn't caught up to Arizona's regression after that frisky start, nor to how well Seattle has been playing.

The Seahawks offense ranks top 10 both running and passing by many metrics and should have its way against Arizona, and now Seattle's defense is catching up too, right as the Cards' offense has gone in the tank without James Conner.

Seattle is good! The Seahawks probably should've beaten the Bengals, and they rank bottom five in red zone offense and third down defense, two metrics key to winning but typically more random over time. Seattle should look even better as those numbers even out, and it might start here against Arizona.

Seattle already has comfortable double-digit wins against the Panthers and Giants, and that's what I think this line ought to be. Instead, this line is still identical to its preseason open and hasn't adjusted enough to what we've seen from either of these teams.

This is my favorite teaser of the week too, teasing Seattle at -8.5 or below to get the Seahawks under a field goal. I'll be betting Seattle both ways.

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Chargers vs Chiefs Odds, Bets

Sunday, Oct 22

4:25pm ET

CBS

Chargers Odds
Spread	Total	Moneyline
+5.5 -110	47.5 -115o / -105u	+198

Chiefs Odds
Spread	Total	Moneyline
-5.5 -110	47.5 -115o / -105u	-240

Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.

• This rivalry has been electric since Brandon Staley joined the Chargers. Los Angeles has led or tied in the fourth quarter of all four games. Kansas City ultimately won three of the four, but all four games were one-score affairs that came down to the final minutes. Sounds like the Chargers!
• It wouldn't be a Chargers game without an injury update. You already know the offense is missing Mike Williams and C Corey Linsley, but Austin Ekeler and Justin Herbert are fine now. The defense is full of question marks. Joey Bosa and Derwin James are limited participants in practice but expected to go, while a few other starters look limited or questionable too. Sounds like the Chargers!

Los Angeles is, yet again, playing for its season at 2-3 after a disappointing Monday night loss. For all his deserved criticism, Brandon Staley has actually had some answers for Mahomes and given his defense a chance. The Chargers might have the better offense right now too. LA can hang — they usually do.

The script is already written. We know this Chargers team. They're too talented to let the Chiefs run away and hide, especially this year's Kansas City offense. But it's not like the Chargers could ever win a normal game either. They've now played 19 of their last 23 games (83%) within seven points either way.

Please sir, may I have another?

Fine, the Chargers can hang around. They always find a way to stay close. Brandon Staley (9-4 ATS) and Justin Herbert (13-7 ATS) have been profitable as underdogs, and both of them are 67% ATS as division dogs. This year's Chiefs aren't built to blow these Chargers out.

But doesn't it feel like this particular matchup leans Kansas City's way? The Chargers probably can't run on this defense, and Chris Jones should wreak havoc up the middle with Linsley out. LA's pass defense is the weak spot, so Mahomes will find a way, even if it's late and close.

Let's give the Chargers credit for keeping it close and profit off a close win.

Chargers +5.5 feels like the sharp side the way these games have gone in recent years, but I trust Mahomes to find a way in the end against a Chargers secondary that's been beaten time and again. The line feels about right to me, but if it looks like a one-score Chiefs victory, why not bet on it?

You can find this bet under Scoring Margin at most books or just create it yourself with a Same Game Parlay of Chiefs moneyline and Chargers +6.5.

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Steelers vs Rams Odds, Bets

Sunday, Oct 22

4:05pm ET

FOX

Steelers Odds
Spread	Total	Moneyline
+3 +105	44 -110o / -110u	+148

Rams Odds
Spread	Total	Moneyline
-3 -125	44 -110o / -110u	-175

Odds via Caesars. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.

• The Steelers come out of the bye week with mixed injury news. It looks like WR Diontae Johnson returns at last, but TE Pat Freiermuth re-aggravated his injury and will be out a while longer.
• Sean McVay is only 2-4 ATS (33%) against opponents coming out of a bye week, while Matt Stafford is 4-7-1 ATS (36%) in the same spot.

Let's not pretend like Matt Canada really fixed the offense during the bye week. If the Steelers are going to hang, it'll have to be with the defense, same as always. This pass rush can get to a beatable Rams offensive line, and Matt Stafford is always a threat for a turnover or two.

Since joining the Rams, Stafford has thrown an interception in 19 of 29 games. That's 65% of them, and that increases to 71% when the Rams don't win by more than 10. If you think Pittsburgh keeps it close, there's value on a Stafford interception, since -145 implies just 59%. You might also sprinkle Stafford's two interceptions at +330 (Bet365). He's done that in 9-of-29 starts, a 31% hit rate versus 23% implied.

The Rams are the better team right now. Sean McVay has this offense humming, and Cooper Kupp has stepped right in without missing a beat. Kyren Williams will be missed, but Stafford and the offense will find a way. The defense has also steadily improved under Raheem Morris and might actually be the better unit on the field against a struggling Pittsburgh offense.

Everyone knows Mike Tomlin is good as a "Rah Rah" underdog, but this isn't the best spot for that. Those trends are better when Tomlin is at home, playing in the division, or coming off a loss, and none of those things are true here. In fact, Tomlin is 5-11 ATS immediately after beating Baltimore (versus 12-5 after a loss). Pittsburgh's defense has been top five by DVOA at home but league average on the road.

I've been looking for a spot to fade the Steelers, who aren't as good as their 3-2 record, and a way to invest in a Rams team I'm starting to believe in. This lines up as a way to do both, but I also think the line is about right. I'll lean at Rams -3 but pass if it gets past the key number.

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Packers vs Broncos Odds, Bets

Sunday, Oct 22

4:25pm ET

CBS

Packers Odds
Spread	Total	Moneyline
-1 -112	45 -110o / -110u	-120

Broncos Odds
Spread	Total	Moneyline
+1 -108	45 -110o / -110u	+100

Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.

• Both teams are coming off extra rest. The Packers had a full bye week, while the Broncos had a mini-bye after playing last Thursday night.
• The early bye week was well-timed for Green Bay after all the early injuries. It looks like Aaron Jones, Jaire Alexander, Quay Walker, and Elgton Jenkins may all suit up. And don't overlook the chance for Matt LaFleur to regroup with Jordan Love and this young offense after seeing what worked early.

Watson is another guy who probably didn't mind the early bye and an extra two weeks to get that hamstring back to full strength. Watson leaps off the page as the most explosive weapon on this roster, and it would behoove Green Bay to continue to look for more ways to get their star sophomore the ball.

Denver's defense has been mostly disastrous, allowing 7.2 explosive plays per game. That's second worst in the NFL, and Watson is an explosive play machine. He's had a catch over 22.5 yards in both games so far, including that 77-yarder last game. Expect LaFleur to give him a couple chances at a big play.

It's pretty clear at this point that Courtland Sutton is the go-to receiver in Sean Payton's offense as Jerry Jeudy continues to be phased out and appears to be on the trading block. That's especially been true in the red zone, with Sutton recording a touchdown in four of six games already.

Jaire Alexander would be a tough matchup for Sutton if he's a full go, but Sutton has a TD in 67% of games this year versus the 35% implied by +185. Russell Wilson is only two off the NFL lead in passing touchdowns, even with Denver at 1-5. Sutton should have a chance.

I want to back the Packers, but I'm just not sure I trust Love and the offense after the last few games. Denver has been much better offensively at home and early in games, where Green Bay has struggled, which could set up a negative game script that hasn't been kind to the Packers.

I haven't given up on Green Bay, and this could be a great chance to get back on track, with the return of Aaron Jones especially huge. I think I just need to see it first at this point.

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Sunday Night Football: Dolphins vs Eagles Odds, Bets

Sunday, Oct 22

8:20pm ET

NBC

Dolphins Odds
Spread	Total	Moneyline
+3 -115	51.5 -105o / -115u	+136

Eagles Odds
Spread	Total	Moneyline
-3 -105	51.5 -105o / -115u	-162

Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.

• Considering how this looked early, the injury report came out pretty clean. Lane Johnson, Jalen Carter, Darius Slay, DeVonta Smith, and Dallas Goedert are all expected to play for Philly. Miami is missing star LT Terron Armstead, and C Connor Williams and CB Xavien Howard are questionable.
• Tua Tagovailoa is 11-6 ATS (65%) as an underdog. Philadelphia is 14-5 to the over (74%) under Nick Sirianni.

Philadelphia's defense hasn't been as good as it was a year ago. The Eagles are bottom 10 against the pass by DVOA, and the secondary looks like it's lost a step. Philadelphia's defense ranks 28th by DVOA at home.

The Eagles defense is beatable, and it's beatable in ways Miami is specifically built to punish teams. Philadelphia purposely did not invest in its linebackers and safeties, preferring to invest into the defensive line and corners, but leaving the middle of the field in peril. The Dolphins have struggled against teams like Buffalo and San Francisco with top linebackers but feasted on other opponents over the middle.

Miami's offense is best in the league by virtually any metric, and it's consistent on early and late downs, early and late in the game, any measure really. This is a team the Dolphins will score on, and when they do, the Eagles are not built to play from behind. Miami's last three wins have come by 15 or more.

These are not last year's Eagles. It's Miami's year.

Last year's Eagles are still in there, and last year's Eagles would own this matchup the same way they owned most matchups — by winning in the trenches.

Philadelphia's defensive line remains elite, and the Eagles can disrupt Tua Tagovailoa's timing all night with their persistent four-man pressure, the exact sort of thing that's thrown Miami's offense off. For all the records the Dolphins are breaking, Miami has faced the easiest defensive schedule in the league. Sean Desai's defense and pressure will ask questions Miami hasn't answered yet.

The Dolphins defense is the weakest unit on the field, and it's been even worse on the road and in the first half. With Lane Johnson back, Philadelphia will establish the run early and grind Miami down by winning on the offensive line and running the ball down the Dolphins' throats, keeping Tagovailoa and the offense watching on the sidelines.

The Dolphins gave up 34 and 48 on the road against the Chargers and Bills and lost by 28 in Buffalo. Philadelphia gets ahead early, plays its usual script, and rolls to a big win.

Styles make fights, and these teams' styles set up for a heck of a fight. I cannot wait for Sunday Night Football — but I have this funny feeling that one of these teams solves the matchup and we end up with a big win, much like we did with Cowboys-49ers a few Sunday nights ago. I honestly have no idea which side that will be, but I'm trusting my gut and betting both sides to win big at a combined implied +324 and hoping one of them hits.

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Monday Night Football: 49ers vs Vikings Odds, Bets

Monday, Oct 23

8:15pm ET

ABC/ESPN

49ers Odds
Spread	Total	Moneyline
-6.5 -110	44 -110o / -110u	-270

Vikings Odds
Spread	Total	Moneyline
+6.5 -110	44 -110o / -110u	+220

Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.

• We've been waiting all week for San Francisco injury news, and there's still no final injury report as of Saturday afternoon publishing. It looks like Christian McCaffrey is trending toward playing, while Trent Williams and Deebo Samuel are trending toward sitting out.
• Kirk Cousins is 2-10 lifetime (17%) on Monday Night Football, both straight up and ATS.

The healthy version of the 49ers probably blow out Minnesota.

The Vikings got thumped by Dallas and Philadelphia last season, and even competitive games against the Eagles and Chiefs this year finished as six- and seven-point losses. The Vikings can't run the football and attack San Francisco's one defensive weakness, and Kirk Cousins has little chance against this pass rush, especially without Justin Jefferson.

It might not be easy for the 49ers offense without some of their top weapons. The team took off last fall right as it got Trent Williams healthy and added McCaffrey, and the offense is built to whir and purr as one big machine.

Still, the 49ers are too good to lose to a Vikings team missing their best player. Take advantage of the injury uncertainties holding the line in check and tease the 49ers to a spot where they just have to win.

Vikings fans already know how this ends for Kirk Cousins on a Monday night, so we may as well accept our fate and profit from it.

Cousins just doesn't have it in these huge night games with the spotlight on him, and chances are good that he'll be throwing from a trailing position at some point and need to force one.

Cousins has 11 interceptions in 12 career Monday Night Football games. That would imply a 92% chance of a Cousins pick, obviously far higher than what's implied by the -127, but much closer to the way Vikings fans will feel watching with dread all night.

The 49ers were my Lookahead before all the injuries, but I still trust them to get the job done. A healthy Niners would be a bet, but the Vikings aren't healthy either, and Brock Purdy isn't going to go from undefeated for his career to losing two in a row.

I like teasing the Niners with either the Seahawks or Bills, or you can start your week with a new teaser and make this the first leg on Monday night.

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Week 7 Full Betting Card, Expert Picks

(updated through Friday evening)

• Seahawks -7.5
• Browns / Colts under 41
• Bucs 1H -1
• Either Giants or Commanders to win by 8 or less
• Trey McBride over 19.5 receiving yards
• Rams -3
• Seahawks -7.5 & 49ers -6.5 teaser
• Chiefs to win by 1-6 points (+300)
• Dolphins -13.5 (+680) & Eagles -19.5 (+830) both together
• Sprinkle Bills blowout escalator: Buffalo -19.5 (+350), -27.5 (+1000), -33.5 (+1700)
• Week 8 Lookahead: Texans -3

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NFL Week 7 Early Afternoon Games: Odds, Bets

Falcons vs Buccaneers Odds, Bets

Sunday, Oct 22

1:00pm ET

FOX

Falcons Odds
Spread	Total	Moneyline
+3 -115	37.5 -105o / -115u	+136

Buccaneers Odds
Spread	Total	Moneyline
-3 -105	37.5 -105o / -115u	-162

Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.

• Desmond Ridder has struggled mightily on the road and early in games. He's 1-3 ATS on the road lifetime and an unbelievable 0-10 ATS in the first half.
• Trends suggest this is a nice buy-low spot for the Falcons, who have failed to cover five straight. Teams like that are 58% ATS, and teams at 20% ATS or below are 60% ATS in Week 6 or later.

The offense is not scoring much at this point, but maybe Jessie Bates and the defense can muck things up and keep things low-scoring and close again.

Falcons games have seen 40 or fewer points in five of six outings this year, and Bucs games are at 37 or below in all but one. This line has fallen hard since opening. History says that's exactly when we should be betting the under. Games with a total at 38 or below that dropped at least 4.5 points are 27-11-2 to the under (71%).

If Arthur Smith's offense can't score, at least we might as well cash in.

The numbers say this is a very bad situational spot for Atlanta. The Falcons offense ranks dead last on the road by DVOA and 29th in the first half. Atlanta ranks 27th in first down DVOA, versus No. 2 for Tampa Bay's defense. That Bucs defense is the one consistent standout unit in this game, with Tampa Bay near top 10 against both the run and the pass.

And really, this is just a bet against Desmond Ridder, who looks downright awful. Receivers were quitting on routes mid-play last week with slouched shoulders and dropped heads, like a team that has lots its belief. Ridder has been at his worst on the road and early in games. He's failed to cover every first half of his career by an average of 6.4 PPG, and it's been especially ugly as a first half underdog. Just check out the scores of those games: 14-3, 14-3, 13-3, and 17-0. I'll let you guess which side he was for all those.

I love this spot for the Bucs, at least early. The numbers set up for a lot of 2nd-and-9s and 3rd-and-6s for Atlanta, which could put the Falcons in a hole early and keep them playing from a position of weakness.

Beyond the trends, there's another reason I want to play just the first half: Ridder has been so bad that I fear him getting benched mid-game if this goes badly again. I don't really want to bet against Taylor Heinicke here, so let's cash at halftime and get out of there.

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Browns vs Colts Odds, Bets

Sunday, Oct 22

1:00pm ET

CBS

Browns Odds
Spread	Total	Moneyline
-3 -115	40.5 -110o / -110u	-180

Colts Odds
Spread	Total	Moneyline
+3 -105	40.5 -110o / -110u	+150

Odds via PointsBet. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.

• Deshaun Watson finally practiced Thursday for the first time in weeks, so there's a chance he could be ready to start instead of P.J. Walker. You can decide which team that's better for.
• Colts run-stuffing DT Grover Stewart has been suspended, leaving a hole up the middle on Indianapolis's defense. But that could be offset by the ongoing injuries on Cleveland's offensive line.

The Browns defense is dominant enough to win this on its own, especially against a backup quarterback. Gardner Minshew looked positively awful last week, and his YOLO play and struggles under pressure should feed right into Cleveland's plans. Jim Schwartz's defense will make Minshew's life miserable.

It's hard to trust the Browns offense on the road, but with this defense, maybe we don't have to. Even getting to 14 points might be enough to cover this line. I recommended this at -2.5, and I'd pay a little extra for an alternate line at -3 at this point or pass if the line rises too far.

Both defenses have the advantage here. Indianapolis isn't about to hang a huge number on this Browns defense the way it's dominating, but the Colts defense can hang too. Gus Bradley's unit has been stout, and don't let last week's 37 points allowed to the Jaguars throw you off. The defense was actually pretty good, just killed by constant Minshew turnovers.

Browns games are averaging 34.4 PPG, and that number would be lower if not for the one Cleveland over when there were two defensive TDs. Kevin Stefanski games with a total below 44 are 13-6 to the under (68%), and games featuring home underdogs have gone under 61% of the time the last two years.

This was my Hot Read, and though the line initially dipped from 42.5 to 39.5, it's rebounded back a bit and I still see value. This was an under all the way for me. Just grab the best number you can find.

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Bills vs Patriots Odds, Bets

Sunday, Oct 22

1:00pm ET

CBS

Bills Odds
Spread	Total	Moneyline
-7.5 -115	41 -110o / -110u	-375

Patriots Odds
Spread	Total	Moneyline
+7.5 -105	41 -110o / -110u	+295

Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.

• The trends all continue to love Bill Belichick and the Patriots, but the trends have loved New England the last couple weeks too, and where has that gotten anyone?
• Belichick has failed to cover nine straight times as an underdog. Mac Jones is 3-13 ATS as a dog.
• The Bills have dominated this division rivalry in recent years. They've won four straight by at least points and have won six of seven overall, averaging 33.5 PPG in those wins.

Buffalo clearly isn't playing its best ball right now, but come on — they're not gonna lose to the Patriots. Both teams have major injuries defensively, but only one team has Josh Allen capable of punishing the other side. New England's weapons can't hurt the new holes in Buffalo's defense, and even if Allen is at 75%, that should be enough to get over the finish line, just like it was Sunday night.

You already know the Bills usually win big, but the potential Allen injury and all those defensive injuries plus a road spot make this an enticing teaser play. That pushes it below a field goal and it's just on Buffalo to find a way to win.

Just lean into the pain.

The Patriots suck. It was always going to happen eventually, and it was a great two decades. Lean into the tank and bet on a Bills blowout. Buffalo has wins by 30 and 29 in this rivalry in recent years, and the Bills have wins already this season by 28, 28, and 34 while the Patriots lost by 34 and 35. If this gets ugly, it could get real ugly.

Break out the ugly blowout escalator and go for broke.

The Bills have scored 35, 24, 37, 33, and 38 their last five wins against the Patriots. Belichick hasn't had any answers for Josh Allen, and New England can't do anything on offense. Let's have a little fun at FanDuel and sprinkle the blowout escalator: Bills -19.5 (+350), -27.5 (+1000), and -33.5 (+1700). And if you do bet this at FanDuel, make the most of your bet with our FanDuel promo code!

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Commanders vs Giants Odds, Bets

Sunday, Oct 22

1:00pm ET

CBS

Commanders Odds
Spread	Total	Moneyline
-3 -110	36.5 -120o / -102u	-162

Giants Odds
Spread	Total	Moneyline
+3 -110	36.5 -120o / -102u	+136

Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.

• New York's injury list is long as always, and the offensive line seems to find a new injury every day. Keep an eye on Daniel Jones, who appears to be a long shot heading into Sunday. That would leave Tyrod Taylor starting a second straight week.
• The Giants have failed to score a touchdown three weeks in a row for the first time since 1976.
• Any number of trends favor the Giants in a buy-low spot with the team scoring so little and failing to cover so often. Brian Daboll is 7-3 ATS after a loss and 4-2 ATS as a division underdog.

Neither of these teams is very good, but the Commanders appear to be a little bit better. Sam Howell is the better playmaker at quarterback, the offensive line is healthier and better, and the defensive pass rush is getting home more effectively. And, you know, Washington actually scores occasional touchdowns!

The road team has won five of the last seven games in this rivalry. This has bounced down to -2.5 off and on throughout the week, so try to get a better line than the key number of -3 if you can.

The total for this game has dropped below 40 with high winds expected and a potentially low scoring, ugly game. Both quarterbacks struggle under pressure and will likely see a lot of it all game, especially with both offensive lines weak. This feels like a toss up that will be close into the final minutes.

These teams have played a one-score contest in six of the last seven, including two overtime games and a tie last season. Washington's played four one-score games already this season, and the Giants played 13 one-score games last fall. These teams just love to play things close.

You'll have to create a Same Game Parlay for this and play Washington +8.5 and New York +8.5 together, and I do want it at eight since Brian Daboll loves to go for two. If you really want to get wild, you can bet on the game to go to overtime (+1750, FanDuel) or even to end in a tie (+7000, DraftKings) as escalators.

I have absolutely no idea who is going to win this game, nor do I care, but I don't mind betting on it being close and goofy. Many analysts stay away from a game that feels like a coin flip that could go either way, but I love playing for a one-score win in that spot.

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Raiders vs Bears Odds, Bets

Sunday, Oct 22

1:00pm ET

FOX

Raiders Odds
Spread	Total	Moneyline
-2.5 -120	38.5 -105o / -115u	-152

Bears Odds
Spread	Total	Moneyline
+2.5 -102	38.5 -105o / -115u	+128

Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.

• Justin Fields and Jimmy Garoppolo are both out. That means a debut start for Bears rookie Tyson Bagent, while veteran Brian Hoyer will get the call for the Raiders.
• Gross.

Aaron Rodgers isn't the only former Packer who owned the Bears. Davante Adams was almost as lethal all those years in Green Bay. He just loves playing Chicago.

Adams has 10 touchdowns in his last 12 games against the Bears, including at least one in eight of those 12 games (67%). Adams has been making a stink this week about not getting enough looks lately, and it's usually a good idea to bet on guys like that the following game because they typically get fed.

This total has absolutely plummeted since Sunday morning, when it was listed at 46.5, before we knew both quarterbacks would be out. Historically, that means the move is to grab the under at the highest line you can snag. Totals at 38 or below that have dropped at least 4.5 points are 27-11-2 to the under (71%).

Raiders games have been at 41 or below all but once this season, so even Chicago's defense may not be bad enough to push this over. It's been an unders kind of season across the league, and unders continue to be profitable in games featuring home underdogs at 61% the last two years and 68% so far this fall.

If you want to invest your time or money into Tyson Bagent and Brian Hoyer, so be it. Personally, I intend to pretend this game never happened.

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Lions vs Ravens Odds, Bets

Sunday, Oct 22

1:00pm ET

FOX

Lions Odds
Spread	Total	Moneyline
+3 -112	43.5 -105o / -115u	+132

Ravens Odds
Spread	Total	Moneyline
-3 -108	43.5 -105o / -115u	-156

Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.

• These are the top two defenses by EPA per play over the past four weeks, with Detroit at No. 1.
• The Ravens return home after a full week in London. Teams returning from London without a bye week have been tied or trailing in the fourth quarter the following week in 12 of 13 such games.
• The Lions will be without David Montgomery again, along with LG Jonah Jackson. Detroit's talented rookie class of Jahmyr Gibbs, Brian Branch, and Sam LaPorta all look good to go though. Baltimore is relatively healthy for once but will be without S Marcus Williams.

The Lions offense has been even better than expected, especially considering all the injuries. Detroit ranks 4th in Offensive DVOA with the lowest variance in the league, a powerful combination showing that the Lions aren't just great — they're consistently great. It feels like Ben Johnson schemes up some wide open receiver down field for an easy touchdown every single week.

Baltimore's defensive metrics are great, but the Ravens have faced the third easiest schedule of offenses so far and Detroit is another animal entirely. The Lions have scored at least 20 points every game this season and 20 of 23 games (87%) with Johnson as offensive coordinator. This is a tough spot on the road against a great D but this offense has earned our trust.

Detroit's offense has been great, but this is a bad situational spot. Jared Goff's splits are not kind outdoors, and it looks like this game will see heavy winds. Baltimore is the better running team, especially with Detroit's injuries, and the Ravens could take advantage of Gibbs's pass blocking issues.

Baltimore usually finds a way in these games, especially at home, but it hasn't been pretty. Outside of easy wins when the heavily-injured Texans and Browns couldn't score, Baltimore's four other games finished within one score. Six of Detroit's nine losses the last two seasons came by six or less. Bet on the Ravens winning another close one.

This feels like a toss-up that could go either way. I can talk myself into both the Lions and Ravens bets above, which is probably a good sign to stay away. Some games are for watching and learning.

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