Sean Koerner

Sean Koerner

2457 Posts
Sean Koerner
2457 Posts
Role
Director of Predictive Analytics
Experience
20 years
Location
Los Angeles
Total Bets
4.2K
Followers
457.8K

Experience

Sean is one of the most decorated fantasy analysts in the industry, finishing first in the FantasyPros In-Season Accuracy standings in 2023 – which measures almost all fantasy football analysts on their in-season projections over the course of the season. You can read more about their methodology here. He also won the in-season ranking title in 2015, 2016 and 2017. This past season, he not only finished first overall, but was the No. 1 ranker out of 180+ entrants in running back, wide receiver and kicker rankings. He was top 10 in quarterbacks and tight ends, as well.

His 2023 performance was arguably the best in the contest’s history:

  • It was a record fourth No. 1 finish in the accuracy contest
  • He was the first expert in history to be No. 1 at multiple positions (RB + WR)
  • He was the expert to finish top 10 at every position

Sean started to become obsessed with sports betting & fantasy football ever since his father took him to Las Vegas for his annual fantasy football draft (at 8 years old). Sean started trying to project teams/players ever since and almost every action/decision he's made since has led him to where he is today. He began betting 20 years ago and began his sports betting/fantasy sports career as soon as he graduated from college in 2007. Prior to joining Action in 2018, he worked for MGM, RotoHog/FastPoint games, Bloomberg Sports, STATS.

Sean began his betting career in college by building sports betting models. He eventually turned into a bookie in college before moving to Vegas to work at Excalibur Sportsbook as a supervisor. He decided to move back to California to begin a career in fantasy sports/betting at RotoHog as a product manager. That was when he began entering his season-long fantasy projections into the FSTA contests and won the award for most accurate season-long NFL & MLB projections 2-3 times each.

He then moved to NY to work for Bloomberg Sports as a product manager and Head of Projections. They were eventually acquired by STATS where he maintained the same role as a product manager. That was when he began entering his weekly NFL rankings into the FantasyPros accuracy contest and won first place 3 years in a row from 2015-2017. He joined Action Network in 2018.

Education

Sean has a BA in Psychology from Long Beach State and took multiple advanced stats classes. He spent most of his time in the library reading stats/sports betting books, creating prediction models, and using them to bet on various sports (MLB, NFL, NBA, WNBA, etc.).

Specialties

  • NFL
  • College football
  • College basketball
  • Player projections
  • Have created team/player projection models for essentially every sport at some point 
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Sean Koerner🔮's Picks

Today
Chennedy Carter has had one of the stranger seasons in the league. She came in as an instant scoring punch off the bench for the Aces, then started venting frustration on social media about her role. She missed a few games with a leg injury, returned on a minutes restriction, then missed five more with an “illness.” Becky Hammon runs a pretty tight ship, so it’s hard to know what was actually going on behind the scenes. Whatever the case, Carter looked like her usual self last game, scoring 11 points in just 16 minutes. Now with A’ja Wilson ruled OUT for the Commissioner’s Cup Championship, the Aces need someone to help replace all of that offense. I’m projecting Carter for around 20 minutes tonight, and she’s been an elite scorer whenever she’s on the floor. She’s averaging 33.1 points per 100 possessions with A’ja on the court, but that jumps to an absurd 45.4 points per 100 with Wilson off. There’s obviously a wide range of outcomes given everything that’s happened this season, but I have her projected closer to 15 points with around a 63% chance to clear 12.5. She’s exactly the type of player I like to ladder as well because her ceiling is enormous.
27
5
Johannes’ playing time took a big hit after Sabrina Ionescu returned, and I was fading her around that stretch. However, her usage has quietly climbed with the second unit, making this a sneaky buy-low spot now that I think the market has adjusted a bit too far. The Aces are also a favorable matchup for 3-point specialists like Johannes. If Carter sees an expanded role with Wilson out, that’s another subtle boost. Carter is known much more for her offense than her defense, so there’s a decent chance Johannes gets an extra clean look or two while they’re matched up. I’m projecting Johannes closer to -145 to make at least two 3-pointers. It also correlates nicely with Carter’s increased role tonight, so I’ll be playing them together as a parlay as well.
7
4
2-WAY PARLAY+234
0.2u
Posting as a parlay first and then both as individual plays. These get nuked so fast as solo plays I’ve noticed when I do the parlay first it buys more time to also get them individually. You’ve been warned to get those while you can! Also doing these as a two pack on PrizePicks
C.Carter o12.5 Pts-125
LVA
LVA Team Abbreviation@NY Team Abbreviation
NY
06/30 11:00 PM
29
3
N.McLean u5.5 Ks-112
NYM
NYM Team Abbreviation@TOR Team Abbreviation
TOR
0.56u
06/30 11:07 PM
Prop Drop
113
18
G.Jax o4.5 Ks-128
TB
TB Team Abbreviation@KC Team Abbreviation
KC
0.64u
06/30 11:40 PM
Prop Drop
105
22
Pending
C.Smith o0.5 SB+640
MIN
MIN Team Abbreviation@HOU Team Abbreviation
HOU
0.1u
07/01 12:10 AM
Prop Drop
77
17
Futures
Past Performance
Yesterday0-0-00%
0.00u
Last 7 Days12-12-148%
1.99u
Last 30 Days55-46-154%
10.03u
All Time2270-1870-3954%
247.96u
Top Leagues
NFL1225-970-2055%
141.31u
MLB372-328-753%
44.45u
NCAAB313-254-355%
31.47u
WNBA197-157-555%
28.07u
NCAAF38-28-256%
5.17u
World Baseball Classic2-0-0100%
1.00u
UFL5-4-056%
0.60u
Golf9-16-036%
0.48u
World Cup1-2-033%
-0.25u
NBA108-106-250%
-3.45u
Betting Highlights
Favorite Bet of All-Time
Patrick Mahomes under 30.5 rushing yards for Super Bowl LIV. He had 44 yards going into the final drive. Kneeled down 3 times for -15 yards to drop down to 29 yards and hit the under
Most Heartbreaking Bet
Max bet Jimmy Graham under 23.5 rec yards in the WC playoff game against NO in 2020. He had 6 yards heading into the final drive with the Bears down 3-21. On the final play of the game, Mitch Trubisky finds Graham in the back of the end zone for an insane one handed grab for a 19-yard garbage time TD. Graham finished with 25 yards and I'm still tilted by this. Side note: Stuckey was on this prop with me.