Sean Koerner

Sean Koerner

2473 Posts
Sean Koerner
2473 Posts
Role
Director of Predictive Analytics
Experience
20 years
Location
Los Angeles
Total Bets
4.2K
Followers
465.6K

Experience

Sean is one of the most decorated fantasy analysts in the industry, finishing first in the FantasyPros In-Season Accuracy standings in 2023 – which measures almost all fantasy football analysts on their in-season projections over the course of the season. You can read more about their methodology here. He also won the in-season ranking title in 2015, 2016 and 2017. This past season, he not only finished first overall, but was the No. 1 ranker out of 180+ entrants in running back, wide receiver and kicker rankings. He was top 10 in quarterbacks and tight ends, as well.

His 2023 performance was arguably the best in the contest’s history:

  • It was a record fourth No. 1 finish in the accuracy contest
  • He was the first expert in history to be No. 1 at multiple positions (RB + WR)
  • He was the expert to finish top 10 at every position

Sean started to become obsessed with sports betting & fantasy football ever since his father took him to Las Vegas for his annual fantasy football draft (at 8 years old). Sean started trying to project teams/players ever since and almost every action/decision he's made since has led him to where he is today. He began betting 20 years ago and began his sports betting/fantasy sports career as soon as he graduated from college in 2007. Prior to joining Action in 2018, he worked for MGM, RotoHog/FastPoint games, Bloomberg Sports, STATS.

Sean began his betting career in college by building sports betting models. He eventually turned into a bookie in college before moving to Vegas to work at Excalibur Sportsbook as a supervisor. He decided to move back to California to begin a career in fantasy sports/betting at RotoHog as a product manager. That was when he began entering his season-long fantasy projections into the FSTA contests and won the award for most accurate season-long NFL & MLB projections 2-3 times each.

He then moved to NY to work for Bloomberg Sports as a product manager and Head of Projections. They were eventually acquired by STATS where he maintained the same role as a product manager. That was when he began entering his weekly NFL rankings into the FantasyPros accuracy contest and won first place 3 years in a row from 2015-2017. He joined Action Network in 2018.

Education

Sean has a BA in Psychology from Long Beach State and took multiple advanced stats classes. He spent most of his time in the library reading stats/sports betting books, creating prediction models, and using them to bet on various sports (MLB, NFL, NBA, WNBA, etc.).

Specialties

  • NFL
  • College football
  • College basketball
  • Player projections
  • Have created team/player projection models for essentially every sport at some point 
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Sean Koerner🔮's Picks

Today
Wheeler is obviously pitching with a chip on his shoulder with the All Star snub (the fact it was in Philly probably made him 10x more angry). He was also pitching out of his mind before the break. I have him right around a 30% expected K rate and still showing value on his under because the Dodgers put out a much tougher lineup (to K) than expected with Call in (instead of Hernandez) and Eliezer Alfonso behind the plate (instead of Rushinf). Alfonso projects to be a very tough K (expected K rate is half of Rushing’s) so that was huge for the prop and market barely reacted. Projecting closer to -140. Game might get rained out but if they do try to play there is some delay risk too which helps the under
115
16
W.Buehler o3.5 Ks-129
SD
SD Team Abbreviation@ATL Team Abbreviation
ATL
0.65u
07/21 11:15 PM
Prop Drop. Live now!
139
21
B.Sproat o4.5 Ks-132
NYM
NYM Team Abbreviation@MIL Team Abbreviation
MIL
0.66u
07/21 11:40 PM
Gave out on Prop Drop. Live now!
119
19
Pending
Gave out on Prop Drop. Live now!
138
23
Futures
Michael Wilson u749.5-110
2026 NFL Regular Season - Total Receiving Yards
0.55u
Kicking off a new preseason series: 32 Teams. 32 Bets. One season-long prop/bet for every NFL team, with a deeper look at how I’m projecting each offense/team. First up: Arizona Cardinals Read the FULL breakdown here before asking me “why don’t you like Michael Wilson??”: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/cardinals-2026-props-michael-wilson-marvin-harrison
48
21
Quinshon Judkins u924.5-110
2026 NFL Regular Season - Total Rushing Yards
0.55u
32 teams. 32 bets. Cleveland Browns edition. Full write-up: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/browns-2026-props-quinshon-judkins
58
22
Luther Burden+9000
2026 NFL Regular Season - Most Receiving Yards
0.03u
64
15
Saquon Barkley o7.5+100
2026 NFL Regular Season - Total Rushing TDs
0.5u
60
13
Saquon Barkley+3100
2026 NFL Regular Season - Most Rushing TDs
0.05u
57
13
Jalen Hurts u8.5-105
2026 NFL Regular Season - Total Rushing TDs
0.53u
43
13
Abdul Carter o5.75-110
2026 NFL Regular Season - Total Sacks
0.55u
38
8
Past Performance
Yesterday0-0-00%
0.00u
Last 7 Days7-7-050%
0.98u
Last 30 Days40-47-145%
2.54u
All Time2292-1900-3954%
246.70u
Top Leagues
NFL1225-970-2055%
141.31u
MLB383-338-753%
46.23u
NCAAB313-254-355%
31.47u
WNBA208-172-554%
25.94u
NCAAF38-28-256%
5.17u
World Baseball Classic2-0-0100%
1.00u
UFL5-4-056%
0.60u
World Cup1-2-033%
-0.25u
Golf9-21-030%
-0.42u
NBA108-106-250%
-3.45u
Betting Highlights
Favorite Bet of All-Time
Patrick Mahomes under 30.5 rushing yards for Super Bowl LIV. He had 44 yards going into the final drive. Kneeled down 3 times for -15 yards to drop down to 29 yards and hit the under
Most Heartbreaking Bet
Max bet Jimmy Graham under 23.5 rec yards in the WC playoff game against NO in 2020. He had 6 yards heading into the final drive with the Bears down 3-21. On the final play of the game, Mitch Trubisky finds Graham in the back of the end zone for an insane one handed grab for a 19-yard garbage time TD. Graham finished with 25 yards and I'm still tilted by this. Side note: Stuckey was on this prop with me.